What’s going on everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for February 9th, 2017. Tonight we get a smaller slate with five games to attack. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know or on Twitter. Hunta512.
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PG: Kay Felder: (3,000) The Cavs are expected to rest their big three of LeBron James, Kyrie Irving, and Kevin Love tonight vs The Thunder. (all three listed as doubtful) They will be down to only eight healthy players with SG Iman Shumpert also sitting this one out with an ankle injury. PG Deandre Liggins will most likely start tonight, with Felder off the bench, but even in a bench role, the rookie out of Oakland should be one of primary ball handlers tonight. Liggins is primarily a defender and this team will need Felder on the court to provide energy and scoring to this offense. He is a very short player but the left handed guard’s game somewhat reminds of the energetic Nate Robinson.
The only other time the three Cavs stars were rested this season, Felder was a spark off the bench, scoring 26.8 DK points in 23 minutes with a 26.6% usage rate vs The Grizzlies. The Cavs are even thinner this time around (J.R. Smith and Shumpert played vs The Grizzlies), and I am expecting Felder to log 25-30 minutes with similar usage tonight. At only $3,000 he should be able to produce five times value with 20-25 DK point upside depending on The Cavs game plan. Also with him being a rookie and a bunch of older players ahead of him in this rotation, I think his minutes are rather safe even if this game gets out of hand. (-11 OKC) At his bare minimum price tag he is one of my favorite punts of this five game slate.
SF: Robert Covington: (5,400) Covington at $5,400 is underpriced for the minutes he will handle tonight, with big men Joel Embiid (knee) and Richaun Holmes (illness) both ruled out. Last night in this same situation, he scored 32 DK points in a team high 38 minutes against a tough Spurs defense. In the four other games this season that both Embiid and Holmes have missed, Covington is averaging 26.8 DK points a game. Tonight he will likely play very heavy minutes again in a solid matchup vs The Magic, who will be without their starting SF Aaron Gordon (foot) and allow the 13th most DK points to opposing SFs this season.
35 minutes of playing time is a fair expectation for Covington, and in the six previous games that he has seen at least 35 minutes, he is averaging a terrific 37.3 DK points a night. At $5,400, we are getting him at a discounted price, and if he scores 30 DK points, which is a tentative projection, he is already returning 5.6 times value on a point per dollar basis. There is upside here with both big men out and he is a safe mid tier play in all formats on Thursday night.
SF/PF: Jeff Green: (4,000) As I said above The Magic will be without SF Aaron Gordon tonight due to a bone bruise in his left foot. It is unclear who will start in his place, but Green looks like the best option to fill in for the athletic forward. There has been no games this season that Gordon has missed, but with him off the court, Green is scoring 25.2 DK points per 35 minutes of action. If he draws the start tonight, he should play 25-30 minutes vs The Sixers. (13th vs SFs)
During his whole career, he has been a very boom or bust player, but if the minutes are there, he has a good shot of hitting value with Gordon out. He also may have some extra motivation to have a good game tonight after the birth of his first child on Tuesday. Green is a very quiet guy but I could see him coming out with a lot of energy tonight, especially if he starts. He by no means is a safe option that should be used heavily, but if he is inserted into the starting five, he is a GPP dart that can be used if you want to pivot off the The Cavalier values.
Also Consider: Jahill Oakfor (36.3 DK points vs this Magic defense in their only other game this year, will see high usage with Embiid and Holmes out), Dario Saric, Channing Frye (should produce value but is a decent fade in GPPs), Jordan Mcrae/Kyle Korver, Kelly Olynyk, Evan Fournier, D.J. Augustin, Andre Roberson (back to back double doubles, has seen a 6.3% rebound percent increase in his last two games), and Clint Capela.