What’s going on everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for January 11th, 2017. Tonight we get a solid slate with six games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter Hunta512.
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SG/SF: Corey Brewer: (3,000) Last night with Eric Gordon out (toe), Brewer scored 23.25 DK points in a season high 26 minutes off the bench. With Gordon gone from the second unit, Brewer lead the bench with a nice 20% usage rate which is a big jump from his normal 13.3% usage this season. The bump in usage was a huge boost to his fantasy value, with him averaging 0.9 DK points per minute in last night’s win. Gordon didn’t travel with the team and has already been listed as out for tonight’s game vs The Wolves.
This Wolves defense has been stout defending SGs this season giving up the 3rd fewest DK points to the position, but should be more vulnerable tonight with starting SG Zach LaVine doubtful with a hip injury. Brewer should play around 25 minutes again and should return five times value with his expanded role off bench. He definitely is a risky option with the low floor he has shown us this season, but at a bare minimum $3,000 price tag, he is a very viable punt play tonight with Gordon sidelined.
PF/C: Kelly Olynyk: (3,600) Olynyk has now scored over 20 DK points in four straight games. His minutes have slightly increased ,averaging 21.5 minutes a game in this span, with a 20.2% usage rate which is a decent 1.8% increase. He is in a solid spot to keep up his productive play tonight vs The Wizards who allow the 11th most DK points to PFs with a high opponent +/- of 2.74 points. He should play 20+ minutes again with backup center Tyler Zeller expected to miss his fifth straight game with a serious sinus infection.
In the last week he is averaging 1.0 DK points per minute and tonight he should top 20 DK points vs this Wizards defense. As of right now it looks like no one will be owning him tonight and I am expect an ownership of under 5% in GPPs. With not much injury news at the moment, he looks likes one of the better cheap values of the slate. He has decent upside if he sees close to 25 minutes like he did last night and is a great GPP flier for this six game slate.
PF/C: Zach Randolph: (5,800) Randolph has now poured in two straight double-doubles and has scored 51.25 and 38.75 DK points in his last two games. His rebounding has been better in this span with a 21.4% rebound percentage, which is a slight bump from his 19.4% season average. I am expecting a third consecutive double-double out of him tonight in this perfect matchup vs The Thunder who allow the 5th most DK points to opposing PFs this season.
Coming off the bench, he will likely be matched up with Enes Kanter who is a very weak defender and is no match for Randolph size and strength in the paint. He is a GPP play only at this price, but has 35-40 DK point upside depending on he shoots from the field. He is expected to be very low owned with Fantasy Labs currently projecting him with a low 2-4% ownership. In this difficult six game slate where a balanced roster may be the best approach, I think Randolph is a nice mid tier target who could really pay off he plays as well as he has in these past two games.
Also Consider: Avery Bradley (if he plays), Gerald Green (if Bradley remains out), Nerlens Noel, Nemanjc Bjelica, Mason Plumlee, Aaron Gordon (if Serge Ibaka is out), D.J. Augustin (great value if Elfrid Payton is out), Steve Adams/Enes Kanter, Ricky Rubio, Ryan Anderson, Jae Crowder, Derrick Rose (who knows whats going on with him right now but this matchup vs The Sixers is perfect if he wants to play), and Montrzel Harrell.