DraftKings NBA Sleeper Picks – January 14th

What’s going on everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for January 5th, 2017. Today we get a smaller slate with only four games to attack. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 5:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter Hunta512.

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C: Tyson Chandler: (4,900) Chandler has been logging more minutes as of late, averaging 32.5 minutes over his last four games. He has been great with the boost in playing time averaging 34.25 DK points in this span. His fantasy value strictly comes off rebounding and blocks, and over these past four games, he has been a beast on the glass, with a high 33.2% rebound percentage, which is a huge jump from his 24.2% season average.

He is in a decent spot tonight going against Pau Gasol and The Spurs who allow the 13th most DK points to opposing centers. Chandler is currently averaging 1.0 DK points per minute over the last week and he should be able to score 30+ DK points for the fifth straight game tonight if the higher minutes continue. He is a steal $4,900 and is one of the best overall values of this small four game slate.

PF/C: Jason Smith: (3,000) With center Ian Mahinmi still out (knee), Smith has carved himself a solid bench role with The Wizards the last two games. He has produced with the extra playing time, scoring 19.5 DK points in 23 minutes vs The Bulls, and 20.25 DK points in 19 minutes vs The Celtics. In these two games he has been averaging 1.0 DK point per minute with a solid 22.4% usage rate. He should see close to 20 minutes again tonight in this gorgeous matchup vs The Sixers, who give up the 3rd most DK points to PFs with an opponent +/- of 2.77 points, which is the highest for any available PF in this slate.

Even after these two productive games, DraftKings hasn’t adjusted his price, and he is still a bare minimum $3,000. Most of the players ownerships will be inflated tonight with only four games to choose from, but Fantasy Labs is only projecting Smith to be owned between 0-1%. With this ownership level at this price, he is a great punt play, and I am comfortable with him in all formats tonight.

PG: Tony Parker: (4,700) Parker has been playing great since Christmas, scoring over 24 DK points in eight out of his last nine games. Outside of the one game he didn’t hit value, he has been on a tear averaging 29.8 DK points in those eight games. He has been aggressive during this stretch posting a 26.6% usage rate with a team high 34% assist percentage. These are nice increases from his usual 22.3% usage and his 28% assist percentage. His improved play should continue tonight in this perfect matchup vs The Suns, who play at the third fastest pace, allow the 3rd most DK points to PGs, with a high opponent +/- of 3.76 points.

Even though The Spurs are favored by 12.5 points, I am not concerned with his minutes being scaled back with this being a road game. The Suns should keep it decently close all night and I am expecting him to play 20-25 minutes with 30+ upside if the game stays close. Parker should easily produce five times value in this matchup and is one of the strongest plays of the night at $4,700.

Also Consider: Denzel Valentine (great value if he is active and Butler is out), Cristiano Felicio, Robin Lopez, Nerlens Noel (little overpriced but has a great chance with Embiid resting), Dario Saric, Devin Booker (been on fire, matchup is scary vs Spurs, but still a good value at $5,800), Rajon Rondo (better if Butler is out), Danny Green, Brandon Ingram (Deng is out), and Tyreke Evans.