How’s it going everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for January 17th, 2017. Tonight we get a solid slate with five games to attack. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:30 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.
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PG: Patrick Beverly: (5,500) Clint Capela will return tonight, but The Rockets are expected to be without starting PF Ryan Anderson who is listed as doubtful with an illness. Beverly has been very inconsistent lately, but is the player on this team who has benefited the most with Anderson off the floor. In a sample size of 327 minutes with the PF not on the court this season, Beverley has seen his usage rate increase 2.6% with a team high DK +/- of 7.9 points. He scores 1.1 DK points per minute compared to his regular 0.9 per minute, averaging 38.3 DK points per 36 minutes.
This number seems a little far-fetched, but Beverly clearly is asked to do more offensively when Anderson is out. He is coming off a great game vs The Nets putting up 39.75 DK points in only 27 minutes. Tonight he gets a tough matchup vs The Heat who rank 6th vs PGs, but his price is slightly depressed when factoring in the bumps in usage he should see. He has solid upside even in this tough matchup and is sneaky GPP play that will give you exposure to this Rockets offense.
PF/C: Kenneth Faried: (4,400) Last night Faried drew the start at PF and took full advantage of the increase in minutes, scoring 33.25 DK points in the win over The Magic. The 33 minutes he played was a season high for “The Manimal” who wasn’t effected by playing alongside Nikola Jokic. With The Nuggets picking up the win last night, Faried should stay in the starting lineup tonight, in a dream matchup vs The Lakers (230 O/U) who allow the 5th most DK points to PFs, with an opponent +/- of 2.99 points.
I don’t know if he will log 33 minutes again, but he should play around 30 minutes which is more than enough for him to crush value at this cheap price. This season he is averaging 1.09 DK points per minute and with 30 minutes he should have no problem scoring 25-30 DK points in this elite matchup. This may seem like we are chasing points after last night, but either way he is a player who can’t be ignored at this cheap $4,400 price tag.
C: Salah Mejri: (3,000) With starting center Andrew Bogut out the last two games (hamstring), Mejri has played 16 and 18 minutes off the bench. He has been effective in these minutes, scoring 20.25 DK points vs The Suns, and 15.5 DK points vs The Wolves. With Bogut out he has been scoring roughly 1.0 DK point per minute off the bench. Tonight he should see 15-20 minutes vs The Bulls who give up the 11th most DK points to centers and have a high opponent +/- of 3.09 points.
This is a nice spot for him and he should score 15-20 DK points which is a great return at his minimum $3,000 salary. He doesn’t have much upside in this limited role, but he is a very serviceable punt play tonight that is expected to be low owned (0-1% VIA Fantasy Labs) if you need the salary cap relief
Also Consider: Eric Gordon, Dirk Nowitzki, Seth Curry, Sam Dekker/Corey Brewer (watch to see who starts for Anderson), Jameer Nelson, Lou Williams (really nice play if Jordan Clarkson is out, currently questionable with a sprained ankle), Nikola Mirotic, Cory Joseph (put up 35.5 DK points just last week against this same Nets team), Ricky Rubio (on a roll right now, too cheap at $5,900), Emmanuel Mudiay, and Tyler Johnson.