What’s going on everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for January 18th, 2017. Tonight we get a full slate with nine games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter Hunta512.
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SF/PF: Anthony Tolliver: (4,100) Tolliver has been a great addition to the Kings’ starting lineup in the last four games, averaging 25 DK points in 33 minutes a game. He helps stretch the floor and give DeMarcus Cousins more room to work in the paint, compared to the very immobile Kosta Koufos who used to start at PF. Tolliver isn’t used much in the offense (14.2% usage), but he takes advantage of every shot he takes, shooting 50% from beyond the arc in his last four starts.
He is in a prime position to keep up this hot shooting tonight vs The Pacers, who give up the 4th most DK points to PFs, and have allowed their opponents to shoot a high 42% from three over their last three games. (4th worst in The NBA during this stretch) Coach Joerger has been unpredictable with his starting lineups this season, but hopefully Tolliver remains this teams starting PF tonight. With a starting role, he will likely play 30-35 minutes and should score 20-25 DK points in this matchup. He doesn’t present great upside, but he is a safe value play that can be played at SF or PF if he continues to start this evening.
SG/SF: Terrence Ross: (3,600) Last night with PG Kyle Lowry resting, PF Patrick Patterson out (knee), and Lucas Nogueira exiting the game early (head/eye injury), The Raptors played much smaller lineups, which lead to 30 minutes off the bench for Ross. He responded scoring 15 points, four rebounds, two assists, two blocks, and a steal vs The Nets (30 DK points). Lowry is expected to return tonight, but Nogueira and Patterson are both questionable, and are sounding unlikely for tonight’s tilt vs The Sixers. Also I think there is a good chance starting SG Demar DeRozan is rested tonight, after the coaches gave starting PG Lowry the night off last night, on the front end of this back to back set.
The DeRozan idea is pure speculation, but if either Patterson or Nogueria are out, which seems very likely, Ross should see extended minutes off the bench tonight. By the numbers this looks like a tough matchup for him with The Sixers ranking 6th vs SGs, but they are overall a weaker defense team on the outside, and could become much more vulnerable if starting center Joel Embiid is out. (currently questionable, illness) But either way this matchup doesn’t scare me and if Ross plays around 30 minutes again, he has a great chance of score 20+ DK points. I am expecting at least one of the bigs to be out which would make Ross a solid punt play tonight, but if Derozan was rested, he would most likely start and become an elite value play at his cheap price.
C: Joffery Lauvergne: (3,200) With starting center Steve Adams out last game with a concussion, Lauvergne scored 28.25 DK points in a season high 30 minutes off the bench vs The Clippers. In this loss he posted a solid 23.6% usage rate with a 18.4% rebound percentage, putting up 0.9 DK points per minute. These numbers and minutes are somewhat the result of the starters not playing at all in the fourth quarter in this 98-120 loss, but there is a good chance he sees garbage time again tonight with Adams already ruled out and The Thunder being 13.5 point road underdogs vs The Warriors.
The last time these two teams met here in Oakland back in November, The Thunder got crushed by this Warriors team losing the game by 26 points. Russell Westbrook is going to do everything he can, but with Adams out, who is their best defensive player, it is hard not seeing this game get out of hand. Lauvergne should see 20-30 minutes off the bench and should return at least five times value at his cheap salary. There is obviously a lot of things that have to go right for him to have a good game, but he is worth the risk tonight, if you are trying to squeeze in multiple studs.
Also Consider: Cory Joseph (if DeRozan is out),Mason Plumlee, Kyle O’Quinn (huge boost if Noah is out), Sergio Rodriguez (if McConnel is out). Joakim Noah (if active), Kelly Olynyk (playing awesome right now), Sam Dekker (if Anderson is out), Jonas Valancuinas, Jahill Oakfor (if Embiid is out), Pascal Siakim (only if both Patterson and Nogueria are out), Andre Igudola (better if Thompson is out), Mindaugas Kuzminskas, and Avery Bradley.