What’s up everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for January 20th, 2017. Tonight we get a full slate with nine games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.
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PG: Elfird Payton: (6,000) Payton disappointed Wednesday night only playing 24 minutes and scoring 22.5 DK in a blowout loss to The Pelicans, but he should rebound tonight with SG Jodie Meeks and SF Evan Fournier out. (foot) Before Wednesday night, in the two previous games without Fournier, Payton was terrific, scoring 58.75 DK points vs a tough Utah defense, and 43 DK points vs The Nuggets. In these games he took 17 and 18 shots and posted a 27.1% usage rate with a 40% assist percentage. There haven’t been any full games this season with Meeks and Fournier both out, but when both of the guards have been off the court this season, Payton sees the highest DK +/- on the team at 2.9 points.
He should be able to score around 30 DK points with 40+ upside with the extra usage he should see. His minutes also should be slightly up just with this rotation becoming tighter tonight. This isn’t the best matchup vs The Bucks who allow the ninth fewest DK points to PGs, but he just showed us last week vs The Jazz, that he can still put up huge numbers vs a tough defense. D.J. Augustin is the punt play to attack, but Payton is the Magic player who has the most upside in this situation, and is a great gamble tonight with a low projected ownership of 5-8%. (VIA FantasyLabs)
SF: Brandon Ingram: (4,200) Starting in place of SF Loul Deng (wrist), Ingram scored 34.25 DK points in 37 minutes vs The Nuggets on Tuesday night. With Deng out “indefinitely”, Ingram will remain a starter for the foreseeable future. Deng had missed three games before Tuesday this season, and in those games Ingram is averaging 27.2 DK points in a high 35.2 minutes a game. With Deng off the floor this year, Ingram’s rates don’t move much at all. His production is more about the heavy amount of minutes he logs when he starts. Coach Luke Walton spreads his minutes out, but he isn’t shy about keeping the rookie on the floor as much as possible.
It’s hard to expect him to play 37 minutes again, but 30 minutes is a fair expectation for him with Deng out. Ingram is not a scorer, but he can contribute in all facets of the game and is averaging 0.8 DK points per minute in the full games Deng has been sidelined this year. This is a difficult matchup vs The Pacers (8th vs SFs), but I think the heavy minutes that he will likely play still makes a very viable punt. Ingram has a low floor, but I think he is worth a shot, after the success he has had this season with Deng out.
SG: Eric Gordon: (5,600) This Rockets Warriors game is by far the best game to attack on Friday night with high O/U of 239 points and tight spread of 5.5 points. You are going to want some exposure to this Western Conference showdown and outside of all the studs that are in play in this game, Gordon is my favorite way to get a piece of this high total. He is a very streaky fantasy player that relies on his shooting, but he has been great this season when The Rockets compete in elite game environments like tonight.
In the three games this season The Rockets have competed in a game with a spread of no more than six points and a total over 225 points, he is averaging an impressive 36.75 DK points a game. He is in a great position to have a similar performance tonight, with The Warriors allowing the most DK points to SGs this season. I would only target him in GPPs, but he is a player I love targeting in that format, at this this reasonable price of $5,600.
Also Consider: D.J. Augustin, Mario Hezonja, Mason Plumlee, Darren Collison (tough spot vs The Grizzlies, but would become a fine play if Lawson is out again), Tyreke Evans, Caris LeVert, Aaron Godon (very unpredictable, sees usage bumps without Fournier), Garrett Temple, Andre Igudola (love the price in this competitive game), Joe Ingles (Hood is out), and Jordan Clarkson.