What’s going on everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for January 24th, 2017. Tonight we get a solid slate with six games to attack. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.
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SG: Alec Burks: (3,000) Burks has seen his minutes increase the last three games, playing 12, 19, and 25 minutes last night off the bench. He missed the first few months of the season, as he recovered from left ankle surgery, but is starting to regain his role in this rotation with starting SG Rodney Hood out (knee). Burks is a great scorer and he has produced even in a small role these last two games, scoring 21.5 DK points vs The Pacers and 20.5 DK points vs The Thunder last night. Even though this the second leg of a back to back, Burks should see around 20 minutes again tonight, with Hood expected to remain out.
The matchup couldn’t get much better for him going against The Nuggets who are dreadful defending SGs, allowing the most DK points to the position this year, with a high opponent +/- of 2.91 points for tonight, which is the highest +/- of all the SGs in action tonight. He should also benefit playing way up in pace with The Nuggets ranking 5th in pace compared to The Jazz who rank dead last in pace this season. With 20 minutes tonight he has a great shot of scoring 20 or more DK points in this elite matchup. He obviously has a very low floor, with the lack of playing time he will see, but at a bare minimum $3,000, I think he is a very viable punt in all formats on Tuesday night.
SG/SF: Terrence Ross: (4,200) With starting SG Demar Derozan out tonight (ankle), there is a ton of usage and minutes to go around to these Raptors wing players. It’s unclear who will start in place of the All Star, but, if I were to guess, I think it would be Ross. This season with Derozan off the floor, Ross has seen a nice increase in usage of 4.2%. Derozan hasn’t missed any games yet this season, but per 36 minutes, Ross is averaging 33.2 DK points with him sidelined. He has been playing around 30 minutes a night the past few weeks and, with Derozan out, he should definitely see 30 + tonight.
The Spurs are a good defense, but they have been weak defending SGs this year, allowing the 4th most DK points to the position. The Raptors have already faced this defense once this year, and, even in a reserve role of 24 minutes, Ross scored 17 points off the bench, putting up 25.8 DK points. He is a safer play if he gets the starting nod, but is a good value play either way with the added usage and minutes he should see.
C: Bismack Biyombo: (4,200) Biyombo has seen a slight bump in minutes the past two games, averaging 24.5 minutes a night. A few extra minutes doesn’t seem like much, but Biyombo has taken full advantage of the extra run, exploding for 40.25 DK points vs The Bucks, and 37 DK points vs The Warriors. The Magic have been beat up in their back court, but oddly enough, these injuries have benefited Biyombo, as he is posting a 19.2% usage rate and 25.2 rebound percentage in these two games. These are significant increases for the big man who has seen a 13.4% usage rate and 17.1% rebound percentage this season.
The Magic will remain in a tight rotation again tonight (Meeks and Fournier out), and he should play close to 25 minutes vs The Bucks. He is looking for his third straight double-double in this solid matchup with The Bucks allowing the 14th most DK points to centers, with a nice opponent +/- of 2.4 points. If the higher rates continue, he should be able to hit five times value in this matchup at his $4,200 salary. I would only reserve exposure to him in GPPs, but he is definitely a great target in that format, particularly with the upside he has shown the last two games.
Also Consider: C.J. Watson (better if Augustin is out), D.J. Augustin (if active, currently questionable), Norman Powell/DeMarre Carroll, Nerlens Noel (great play if Okafor is out), Ersan Ilyasova (GPP play if Okafor is out), Terry Rozier, Kelly Olynyk, Jameer Nelson/ Jamal Murray (Mudiay is doubftul, very tough matchup vs The Jazz but still decent punts at their prices), David Lee, Patty Mills (if Parker is out again), and Tyson Chandler.