What’s up everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for January 27th, 2017. Tonight we get huge slate with ten games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.
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C: Greg Monroe: (5,300) After seeing his playing time cut back just last week, Monroe has now played 27 and 30 minutes in his last two games. He has taken full advantage of these minutes putting up 37.5 DK points vs The Rockets and 42.25 DK points vs The Sixers. The big man has been very aggressive posting a team high 29.3% usage rate with a great 23.2% rebound percentage in these two games. Former starting center John Henson has been a DNP-CD during this stretch with Miles Plumlee starting and Monroe playing most of the center minutes off the bench.
Tonight he has a great chance to continue this run going against a Raptors defense that allows the 7th most DK points to opposing centers, with a solid opponent +/- 1.86 points. This season he is scoring 1.2 DK points per minute and, if he logs the 25-30 I am expecting, he should return fives time value with 40 DK point upside in this matchup. He is one of my favorite GPP plays of the night that could go under owned with a bunch of cheap values available at center. (currently projected 9-12% ownership VIA Fantasy Labs)
PF: Ryan Anderson: (4,800) Tonight The Rockets are expected to be without SG Eric Gordon, who is listed as doubtful with a lower back injury. Anderson benefitted with Gordon out in Wednesday night’s loss to The Celtics, scoring 29.25 DK points in a high 35 minutes. This wasn’t the first game Gordon has missed this season and, in the three full games he has sat out, Anderson is averaging 29.1 DK points in 36 minutes a game. When the SG is off the court this year, Anderson sees his usage rate rise to a solid 19.8% which is a 1.8% increase from his season average.
Tonight he should play over 30 minutes again in a nice matchup vs The Sixers who are 23rd vs PFs this season. In this match-up, he should able to produce around 25 DK points with upside if he gets hot from beyond the arc. SF Sam Dekker is the clear value to attack tonight with Gordon out, but he is expected to come with a very high ownership of 17-20%. Anderson on the other hand should get over looked and is only expected to be owned between 5-8%. (VIA Fantasy Labs) He is underpriced at $4,800 and is nice contrarian play that gives you exposure to this Rockets Sixers game that has a high O/U of 220 points.
C: Guillermo Hernangomez: (3,900) The first year player out of Spain has been dominate in his past two games, scoring 37 DK points vs The Pacers Monday night, and 34 DK points vs The Mavericks this past Wednesday. In this stretch he has actually lead this Knicks front court in minutes logging 24 minutes off the bench in both games and is producing an elite 1.4 DK points per minute.
It’s hard to say if the minutes will continue, but I think Head Coach Jeff Hornacek has to play him a decent amount tonight after his last two performances. If he sees 20-25 minutes, he will have no issues hitting value vs this Hornets defense that allows the 12th most DK points to centers, with a current +/- of 2.03 points. There is obviously risk here and his minutes could easily be scaled back, but at $3,900, the reward clearly outweighs the risk with Hernangomez.
Also Consider: Sam Dekker (great value), Norman Powell, Spencer Dinwiddie (has played over 30 minutes in back to back games), Robert Covington/Jahill Okafor (if Embiid is out), Willie Reed, James Johnson, Okaro White (risky but scored 30.75 DK points in 27 minutes on Wednesday), Jeff Green (if Fournier is out), Caris LeVert (will benefit if this game is a blowout), Jonas Jerebko (solid punt if he starts again), Spencer Hawes (if Cody Zeller is out), Rajon Rondo (huge risk but he could possibly see more minutes after a recent team meeting), and Jae Crowder.