What’s going on everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for January 30th, 2017. Today we get a smaller slate with only five games to attack. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:30 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.
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PG: Yogi Ferrell: (3,500) The undrafted rookie out of Indiana drew the start at PG last night, scoring 26.5 DK points in 37 minutes in a big win over The Spurs. He isn’t the most effective offensive player, but he is an athletic guard who can fill up a stat sheet in all categories. After helping this Mavs team pick up a win, he should start again tonight vs The Cavs, with starting PG Deron Williams remaining out (toe). With Pierre Jackson waived and J.J. Barea still sidelined, Head Coach Rick Carlisle has no choice, but to play Ferrell 30+ minutes again tonight.
This is a nice spot for him going against Kyrie Irving and The Cavs who allow the 6th most DK points to opposing PGs this season. If the Cavs were at full strength this game would have serious blow out concerns, but with PF Kevin Love out (back), Vegas is expecting a close game, with a tight spread of only 4.5 points in favor of The Cavs. With the heavy minutes, Ferrell should produce 20+ DK points with 30 point upside in this matchup. He is one of the better values of this five game slate at only $3,500 and is in play in all formats on Monday night.
PG: Tyler Johnson: (5,000) Johnson is going to warm up tonight with the intent to play vs The Nets after missing five games with a left shoulder injury. He is returning at the perfect time with The Heat facing off against The Nets at home. The Nets are one of the best defenses in The NBA to pick on, playing at the fastest pace in the NBA, allowing the 4th most DK points to PGs, with a high opponent +/- of 2.88 points. Johnson should be well rested and ready to go against this dreadful defense and should return to his usual 25-30 minute six man role off the bench. Not only is he in an excellent spot matchup wise, but his price has dropped $500 since the last time he played, and is now only $5,000, which is the cheapest he has been in almost two months.
For the month of January, he is averaging 30 DK points a game and, at this new price, he only needs 25 DK points to hit value. Going against this Nets defense, he should be able to return value with solid upside, if he sees over 30 minutes. Right now, he is currently projected with a 9-12% (via Fantasy Labs), but the hope is most DFS players will be too nervous about playing a player who is coming off an injury. But regardless of ownership, he is a strong value play at $5,000, that gives you a share of this Heat team that has the highest implied team total of the night at 113 points.
SG/SF: Jaylen Brown: (3,600) Brown has been impressive in his last two starts, scoring 33.5 DK points vs The Magic on Friday, and 26.5 DK points vs The Bucks on Saturday. The rookie’s minutes have been consistent, averaging 28.9 minutes a game over these past two games. During this stretch, he has posted a solid 23.3% usage rate and a 17.4% rebound percentage. The Celtics have now won three straight games with Brown starting, and he should play close to 30 minutes again tonight vs The Pistons, who give up the 12th most DK points to opposing SFs this year.
He is currently putting up 1.0 DK point per minute and with say 28 minutes tonight he should score over 20 DK points in this matchup. Also his minutes should be there, no matter how the game goes, with him playing 30 minutes in a blowout win over The Magic, and 28 minutes in an overtime win vs The Bucks. Center Al Horford may return tonight (groin), which could slightly hurt his usage, but I wouldn’t expect this to hurt his playing time. He is more of a GPP play, but is a fine target in that format, with a low projected ownership of only 2-4%. (via Fantasy Labs)
Also Consider: Iman Shumpert, Tristan Thompson, Jonas Jerebko, Kelly Olynyk (if Al Horford is out), James Johnson, Dirk Nowitzki (price has only increased $100, scored 37 DK points last night, would see a boost if Bogut is out), Zach Randolph, Tyson Chandler, Wesley Mathews, P.J. Tucker, C.J. Watson (if Fournier and Gordon are out), Serge Ibaka (nice play if both Fournier and Gordon are out), Vince Carter, Spencer Dinwiddie, and Dwight Powell (if Bogut is out).