What’s up everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for January 31st, 2017. Tuesday night’s slate is a solid slate with six games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.
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PF: Kenneth Faried: (5,400) Faired was the main beneficiary with center Nikola Jokic out Saturday night, scoring 49.75 DK points in 36.6 minutes in the win over The Suns. He led The Nuggets front court in minutes with Jusuf Nurkic only playing 15 minutes and Darrell Arthur only playing 14. His usage and rebounding rates didn’t change much it. This was just a matter of the amount playing time he saw. With the Jokic remaining out and this team picking up a win with Faried as their main big, he should log 30+ minutes again tonight in a perfect matchup with The Lakers, who allow the 3rd most DK points to PFs with a high opponent +/- of 2.77 points.
He has already played this defense once putting up 33.3 DK points in 30 minutes back on January 17th. His price has only increased $400 since his 49 DK point explosion, and at $5,400, he is still way too cheap with the heavy minutes he should play tonight vs this awful Lakers defense. Barring foul trouble, he should top 30 DK points tonight with great upside, and is one of the strongest values of this six game slate.
PG: Brandon Jennings: (5,100) Jennings will draw the start tonight with PG Derick Rose missing his second straight game with a sprained ankle. Sunday with Rose out, Jennings scored 43.25 DK points in a ridiculous 53.25 minutes, in a quadruple overtime loss to The Hawks. The 43.25 DK points in obviously dramatic with this game going to four overtimes, but in the six games Rose has missed this season, Jennings is averaging 29.5 DK points in 36.3 minutes. In these games, he had a 20.6% usage rate, a 29.2% assist percentage, with a high 7.2 DK points +/-.
Tonight he takes on The Wizards (13th vs PGs), who he has already faced twice this year, averaging 27.3 DK points in their past two meetings. He should play 30-35 minutes and easily return five times value with 35-40 DK point upside. Right now he is only projected to be owned between 13-16% (via Fantasy Labs), which is way too low to me when considering how reliable he has been with Rose out. He is a great bargain at $5,100 and is viable in all formats on Tuesday night.
SF/PF: Larry Nance Jr.: (3,600) With PF Julius Randle out tonight (illness), all the ownership will be on center Ivac Zubac, after he scored 30+ DK points in his past two games with Randle out. He is one of the best values of the night at $3,500, but I think Nance is also a nice play at much weaker SF position. This season with Randle off the court this year, Nance is scoring 30.1 DK points per 36 minutes of action. He just returned three games ago after suffering a bone bruise in his left knee, and after being limited in his first two games, he logged 23 minutes this past Thursday night vs The Jazz.
With four days off, he minutes should slightly increase again tonight, and I am expecting around 25 minutes off the bench vs The Nuggets. This isn’t the best matchup with Denver ranking 8th vs PFs, but regardless of the matchup, this is one of the best games of the night to target with a O/U 226 points, and a tight spread of only 2.5 points. Both of these teams rank in the top ten pace this season, and with a 25 minute projection, I think Lance has a solid chance of scoring 20+ DK points in this terrific game environment. At $3,600 he is a nice way to get exposure to this high total with a low ownership. (5-8% via Fantasy Labs)
Also Consider: Ivica Zubac (great value, in play in all formats), Tarik Black, Victor Oladipo, Jameer Nelson, Jordan Clarkson, Courtney Lee, Eric Gordon, Ryan Anderson, Spencer Hawes (if Zeller remains out), Evan Turner (over 30 minutes in four straight games), Ty Lawson, Montrezl Harell (if he is starting), Nene (if he is starting), Jusuf Nurik (if you want to pivot off Faried, will be very low owned), and Louis Williams.