What’s going on everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for January 7th, 2017. Tonight we get a full slate with eight games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know or on Twitter. Hunta512.
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C: Steve Adams: (5,700) With SG Victor Oladipo back, Adams has seen higher minutes, averaging 33 minutes over the last three games, compared to his season average of 29 minutes a contest. With Oladipo back this team has relied less on Enes Kanter off the bench, and even though Kanter is still producing his minutes have gone down, only avaerging 21.3 minutes in these last three games. This has resulted in Adams seeing more stable playing time and he has been great in these games averaging 37.5 DK points a game.
Tonight he is in a great situation to keep this up vs The Nuggets who allow the 15th most DK points to opposing centers with an opponent +/- of 2.17 points. He should score around 30 DK points with 40 point upside if he approaches 35 minutes. This Nuggets Thunder game is the best game to target of this eight game slate with a spread of seven points and a slate high O/U game total of 221 points. Obviously, you want to play Russell Westbrook in this high scoring game, but outside of him, Adams is currently my preferred way to gain exposure to highest total of the night.
SG/SF: Jeremy Lamb: (4,000) With starting SF Nicholas Batum out with a knee injury there is a ton of minutes and usage to go around to The Hornets wing players. Lamb, at his current price and with SG and SF eligibility is by far my favorite option of the group. In the lone game Batum has missed this season, Lamb went off scoring 18 points with a career high 17 rebounds, two assists, and steal in 36 minutes starting in place of Batum. (43.8 DK points) Its unclear if he will jump into the starting five tonight vs The Spurs, but either way he should see at least 30 minutes, with Hornets rotation becoming tighter with Batum out. In a sample size of 329 minutes this season Lamb has seen his usage rise 1.1% to 24.6% with Batum off the floor this season.
He averages just around 1.0 DK point per minute this year and with the increased playing time, he should have no problem producing value at this cheap price. Make no mistake, this is a very tough matchup vs The Spurs (1st vs SFs), but I think the higher minutes outweighs the matchup at his current salary. When I first started doing research for tonight’s slate, I expected Lamb to have a high expected ownership on Fantasy Labs. But right now he is currently only projected to be owned between 9-12%. This can obviously change as we get closer to roster lock, but regardless of ownership he is my favorite value at SF on DraftKings tonight.
SG/SF: Tim Hardaway Jr: (4,000) Sharp shooter Kyle Korver has been traded to the The Cavs in exchange for a protected first round pick, Mo Williams, and Mike Dunleavy. None of the players of the deal are expected to be available for tonight’s games. With Korver out of the picture in Atlanta, there is 27 extra minutes a night to go around for the Hawks’ wing players, and I think it is Hardaway who sees the biggest bump in playing time going forward. Korver sat out this past Thursday with the trade pending, and with him out of the rotation, Hardaway scored 25.5 DK points in 26 minutes off the bench.
The 26 minutes was a small increase to his usual 22 minutes a game this season. With Korver off the court this year, he doesn’t see any sizable usage increases, but is averaging a nice 28.3 DK points per 36 minutes. Tonight he should play 25-30 minutes vs this Dallas defense that allows the 8th most DK points to SGs. In this matchup and with a slight increase in minutes, he should score 20+ DK points with upside, if he gets hot from three.
Also Consider: Thabo Sefolosha, Kelly Olynyk, Dirk Nowitzki (island game, played 28 minutes last game), Demarre Carroll (if Patterson is out), Kenneth Faried (better if Jokic is out), Jusuf Nurkic (great value if Jokic is out), Marcus Smart, Spencer Hawes (if Cody Zeller remains out), Amir Johnson, Doug McDermott, Wilson Chandler (boost if Jokic out), and Tyreke Evans.