What’s going on everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for March 1st, 2017. Tonight we get a huge slate with 11 games to attack. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know or on Twitter. Hunta512.
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SG: Seth Curry: (5,900) Curry has been on fire averaging 37.25 DK points over his last three games. With PG Deron Williams waived and headed to Cleveland, Curry has taken over as Mav’s primary ball handler, with a 23.8% usage rate, and 25% assist percentage. He has been very efficient shooting 58% from the field, 61% from three, and scoring 1.2 DK points per minute. Also he has been playing very high minutes leading this team with an average of 36.7 minutes per game during this stretch. Tonight he has a great chance of remaining hot going against a Hawks defense that is struggling at defending SGs, with a current opponent +/- of 2.45 points.
They have specifically struggled against three point shooters like Curry, allowing a high 11.7 three pointers made over their past three games, which is the 5th most in The NBA during this time. Also he may be in line for a few extra shots tonight, with starting SF Wesley Mathews ruled out with a hip injury. In a sample size of 123 minutes when Mathews, Williams, J.J. Barea (calf), and SF Justin Anderson (traded) have all been off the court, Curry has seen a high 25.2% usage rate. He is price has risen all the way up to a fair $5,900, but I think he is still too cheap, and he should score 30+ DK points in this matchup that is perfect for his skill set. Right now, he is only projected to be owned between 9-12% (via Fantasy Labs), which is seems rather low to me, when considering the other options at SG tonight. He is a great play in all formats and is my favorite SG value of this 11 game slate.
PF/C: Kosta Koufos: (3,600) Monday night Koufos had his best game since Cousins was traded, putting up a double-double of 14 points, 11 rebounds in 25 minutes vs The Wolves. (30.25 DK points) His minutes haven’t been as high as I thought they would be, averaging 24 minutes in these three games without Cousins, but he is still starting and scoring 1.0 DK point per minute.
He should play 20-25 minutes tonight which is just enough for him to hit value in a dream matchup vs The Nets, who give up the 11th most DK points to PFs, with a ridiculous opponent +/- of 5.87 points, which is the highest opponent +/- for any player in action on Wednesday night. I am not expecting him to explode, but he should put up 20-25 DK points vs this horrendous defense. He also is a very flexible option tonight with his PF and center eligibility on DrafKings. At only $3,600, he is a fine punt play that could be very valuable in GPPs, with his low projected ownership of 2-4%. (via Fantasy Labs)
C: Kyle O’Quinn: (5,200) O’Quinn’s $5,200 price tag might be the highest I have ever seen it, but he still should return value with the role he should see tonight with both centers Joakim Noah (knee) and Guillermo Hernangomez (ankle) out. Starting PF Kristaps Porzingis (ankle) is expected to return, but either way with the other two big men out, O’Quinn will start at center and should log at least 25 minutes tonight. He has always been an elite fantasy player, averaging 1.13 DK points per minute over the past two seasons. In the only game this season that both Noah and Hernangomez have missed this year, O’Quinn was impressive, scoring 35.25 DK points in only 21 minutes of action.
Also with back up PG Brandon Jennings waived from the team earlier this week, there’s a chance The Knicks might rely on O’Quinn to pick up his scoring. In the 357 minutes this season that he has played with all three of Noah, Hernangomez, and Jennings off the floor, he is scoring 46.41 DK points per 36 minutes and leads this Knicks team with DK point difference of 4.6 points. Obviously a lot of things would have to go right for him have this kind of night, but it just shows you the upside O’Quinn has with this team so banged up. The matchup is solid for him with The Magic presenting a decent opponent +/- of 1.06 points vs starting centers. Also he has been productive against this defense twice this season, averaging 29.6 DK points in their first two meetings. Barring any foul trouble or an injury, I am expecting at least 25 DK points from him tonight. He may end up being a popular play (13-16% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs), but regardless of ownership, he is a player that I can’t ignore in this situation.
Also Consider: Ty Lawson, Skal Labissiere, Malcom Brogdon, Tony Snell, Willie Cauley-Stein, Nerlens Noel, Caris LeVert, Gary Harris, Dante Cunnigham/Donatas Motiejunas (both should play more with Cousins suspended), Justin Holiday, Jalyen Brown, Cory Joseph, Greg Monroe, and Al Horford (his price just keeps dropping and sooner or later he is going to have a big game. Maybe tonight is the night in a huge game at home vs The Cavs).