What’s up everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for March 4th, 2017. Tonight we get a difficult seven game slate. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 8:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.
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PF: Bobby Portis: (4,800) Portis has stepped up as the Bulls starting PF the last two games, scoring 27.5 DK points vs The Nuggets and 37.25 DK points vs The Warriors. He has been a disappointment the last two seasons, but he is finally starting to show that he was a worth a first round pick back in 2015. His minutes were low in his first two starts after Taj Gibson was traded, but he has now logged 28 and 31 minutes in these past two.
He has posted some solid numbers with the extra playing time, with a 19.9% usage rate, a 18.3% rebound percentage, and scoring 1.02 DK points per minute. The matchup isn’t the best for him tonight vs The Clippers who rank 14th vs PFs this season, but if minutes higher minutes continue, he still has a great chance of returning value at his price. If he plays around 25-30 minutes, he should score 25+ DK points tonight. He definitely has a low floor, if his minutes get cut back, but he is a player who seems like a necessary risk given the lack of clear cut values in this slate.
PG/SG: Lou Williams: (5,600) Williams struggled his last time out only scoring 11.5 DK points vs The Clippers, but I think we see him bounce back tonight in a matchup that he has had no issues with this season vs The Grizzlies. This Grizzlies defense is known as one of the best in the league, but they have struggled vs SGs this season, allowing the 7th most DK points to the position. His two previous games against The Grizzlies were when he was with The Lakers, but in these two games , Williams is averaging a great 34.9 DK points in only 24.3 minutes per game.
Before his disappointing game vs The Clippers, Williams was fitting in perfectly with The Rockets, averaging 34.5 DK points in his first three games with the team. Tonight he should play 25-30 minutes off the bench and return five times value with 30-35 DK point upside. Right now he is projected to be owned at 9-12%, but I think he may be even lower owned after his last game and with The Grizzlies reputation of being a very stout defense. But no matter what his ownership is, he is one of my favorite plays of this slate, and I am comfortable with him in both cash games and GPPs tonight.
PG/SG: Tyus Jones: (3,000) Even though there are seven games tonight, there really aren’t that many viable punt plays right now. Jones at his bare minimum salary seems like a value that can be used if you need the space to squeeze in some studs. Since The All Star Break, Jones has been a solid role player for The Wolves, averaging 18.1 DK points off the bench. With SG Zach LaVine done for the year (knee), his minutes have been rather consistent, playing 22.5 minutes a night over his last four.
Tonight he gets an average matchup vs The Spurs who give up the 14th most DK points to opposing PGs this year. He should play 20-25 minutes off the bench and put up 15-20 DK points. This doesn’t seem like much, but given the nature of this slate, this could be very valuable in GPPs, with his low expected ownership of 0-1%. (via Fantasy Labs)
Also Consider: Greg Monroe (viable in GPPs, but he has struggled vs The Raptors this season), Khris Middleton, Nene, Norman Powell, LaMarcus Aldridge, Tyler Johnson, Gary Harris, Maurice Harkless, Trevor Booker, Caris LeVert, and Jeremy Lamb.