What’s going on everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for March 7th, 2017. Tonight we get a very small slate with only three games to attack. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 8:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.
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C: Steven Adams: (5,400) Adams struggled at first when Enes Kanter returned from his arm injury, but he has been playing well in his last two games, putting up 26 DK points vs The Suns Friday night and 28.75 DK points vs The Mavs on Sunday. He is still scoring a productive 0.91 DK points per minute since Kanter’s return and barring any foul trouble he should play 25-30 minutes tonight. He gets one of the best overall matchup’s on the board vs The Blazers, who have a high current opponent +/- of 3.84 points vs starting centers.
They are one of the worst rebounding teams allowing an average of 53.5 rebounds to their opponents, which is the fourth highest average in The NBA this season. He is a solid bet to return five times value with 30 point upside, especially if he records a double-double. Now all of this data also goes for Kanter who just like Adams has a great matchup with The Blazers having an opponent +/- of 3.04 points vs back up centers, but Adams is expected to come with a much lower ownership of 9-12% compared to Kanter’s high 26-30%. (via Fantasy Labs) Both are very nice plays and, given this is a three game slate, I don’t mind using both in the same lineup, but if you want to be contrarian, it makes sense to go with Adams with the lower ownership in GPPs.
C: Ian Mahinmi: (3,000) Mahinmi has been solid as he is eased back into action after getting injections in his back to help his knee pain, averaging 17.75 DK points over his last three games. His minutes were capped to around 15 minutes for the last month, but he has now played at least 20 minutes in two out of his last three. For the month of March, he is scoring 0.92 DK points per minute, and with no game since Sunday, he should be ready to go and hopefully play close to 20 minutes again tonight vs The Suns.
When you first look at this matchup for him it seems like a difficult one with The Suns allowing the 4th fewest DK points to centers this season, but they have been weaker with veteran center Tyson Chandler out of this rotation, with a current opponent +/- of 1.56 points. There isn’t much upside here but if Mahinmi plays 15-20 minutes off the bench, he should score 15-20 DK points vs The Suns. The floor is very low for a player who plays such a small role, but he is a decent value at his bare minimum price tag, if you need the salary cap relief to fit in a stud like Russell Westbrook.
SF/PF: T.J. Warren: (5,900) SF is by far the ugliest position of this three game slate. Warren in my opinion is the best value with the way he has been playing since The All Star Break, averaging 30.2 DK points in his last six games. With P.J. Tucker traded and The Suns playing their younger players, he has been playing a healthy 32.85 minutes per game in this span. His numbers have also improved with him scoring 0.91 DK points per minute, compared to the 0.75 DK points per minute, he was averaging before February 24th.
Tonight he is in a very nice spot going against a Wizards defense that allows the 7th most DK points to SFs this year. In a starting role, he should log 30-35 minutes and approach 30 DK points tonight. I know I sound like a broken record recommending Warren again, but he is by far my favorite SF option of this very small slate, especially if he ends up coming with Fantasy Labs’ somewhat low projected ownership of 17-20%.
Also Consider: Dirk Nowitzki, Tyler Ulis, Mo Harkless, Bojan Bogdanovic, Nick Young, Jared Dudley, Nerlens Noel, Taj Gibson, Doug McDermott (if Oladipo remains out), Marquese Chriss, Larry Nance/Tarik Black (if Zubac is out), and Ivica Zubac (if he is active).