The logic really wasn’t bad with last night’s NBA DFS picks. Injuries made Kadeem Allen a viable value dive, while Kevin Durant and LaMarcus Alridge were both elite options worth building around.
Allen was a bust (11 fantasy points), but KD (55) and Ridge (62) lived up to the hype. Elsewhere, nobody was overly crippling. Nikola Vucevic (30) didn’t meet expectations but he didn’t send you to a death necessarily, while Tyler Ulis (32), Tim Hardaway Jr. (29), Klay Thompson (34) and Robert Covington (42!) were all fine plays.
The only true gaffe here was Luke Kornet (8), but if you had pivoted to Maxi Kleber (who I also plugged), you would have fared much better. This team mostly failed to place due to Kornet and Vucevic, while fading Russell Westbrook and James Harden proved to be pretty costly.
You can’t roster everyone, though, so taking stands and a few risks is always a must in GPPs.
It should be stated that this was still not a bad team. My roster put up 305 fantasy points on the night and was 22 points from placing on a pretty explosive (and large) slate.
The picks have still been solid and if you mix and match with your own research, some of them may have helped you place last night.
Wednesday quiets things down with a six-game slate, which is really more my speed. Let’s take a look at how things could unfold tonight as I try to piece together a GPP-winner at FanDuel:
PG: Terry Rozier – Boston Celtics ($7.3k)
Kyle Lowry is the top-priced point guard on this slate and I don’t really see the need to force him into my lineup. That is, if Rozier is active tonight. He wrecked the Raptors (21 and 7) the last time he faced them and looks like a fine play if he’s able to be a full go for tonight.
I think he will, as he was probable to play last night before head coach Brad Stevens decided to hold him out. I’m hoping he did that to keep him fresh for this game, which could go a long way in deciding who wins the Atlantic Division.
There is a lot at stake here, but either way Rozier looks like a fine DFS try if he’s starting.
PG: Yogi Ferrell – Dallas Mavericks ($4.3k)
Obviously I’ll just use two intermediate PG options if Rozier sits. Guys like Reggie Jackson and D.J. Augustin could be fine as a pairing.
For now, though, I have no qualms with punting with Yogi, who should see more run than he has been now that Dennis Smith Jr. won’t be playing tonight.
Dallas has already ruled out several guys for tonight, so I can see them going small a lot. One way or another Dallas guards are in play and I’ll take my chances with Ferrell against a bad Magic defense.
SG: DeMar DeRozan – Toronto Raptors ($7.9k)
I am not enamored with Raptors tonight, but I’ll take DMR. He’s easily the best shooting guard on the table, dollar for dollar.
I’ll let others pay up for Jrue Holiday ($8.8k) in a pace down tilt with the Grizzlies. DMR should be looking at a tense battle with the Celtics, who he’s fared quite well (39 fantasy points per game) against this year.
SG: Jaylen Brown – Boston Celtics ($5.5k)
Brown is the other SG I covet, as the Celtics are banged up and need a small core of guys to do a lot of the heavy lifting on offense. Brown responded with a big game (24 points in 36 minutes) last night and barring a random rest day, he could be big again in Toronto.
The matchup isn’t sublime, but he’ll be needed to help slow down Toronto’s wing scorers. His scoring will be needed with Kyrie Irving still out as well. He’s only averaged 22 fantasy points per game against Toronto on the year, but if he can hit 30+ I’d deem it a win.
SF: Jayson Tatum – Boston Celtics ($6.6k)
Small forward is utter filth on this small slate. Taurean Prince is the same price, making Tatum the easy and obvious pick. Harrison Barnes (rest) is out for tonight too, so this position feels fairly straightforward.
Tatum has been taking on a bigger role and faring rather well, producing 31+ fantasy points in each of his last four contests. He hasn’t wrecked the Raptors (21 fantasy points per game), but with the added workload I think he should pay off on this slate.
SF: Mario Hezonja – Orlando Magic ($5.6k)
Again, SF is bad, so I’m just taking the guys that make the most sense to me and moving on. Super Mario is seeing good run these days with Evan Fournier and Jonathon Simmons both on the shelf, while Jonathan Isaac is also out for tonight.
Hezonja feels like an easy call and he’s still a decent price for a guy who is going to push for 30+ minutes and boasts a versatile skill-set. A showdown with a bad Mavericks team that he dropped 27 fantasy points on earlier this year doesn’t hurt, either.
PF: Maxi Kleber – Dallas Mavericks ($3.7k)
Kleber was a fine GPP try last night and tonight he should be uber chalk across the board. Dirk Nowitzki, Dwight Powell, Nerlens Noel and Harrison Barnes are for sure all out tonight, while backup center Salah Mejri isn’t even a lock to face the Magic.
Orlando is not a tough matchup at all but a lack of healthy bodies is the real reason for rostering Kelber. He’s cheap and is already getting run, too, so there’s not much reason to pull the fade here. Unless you love another deep dive more or just want a big edge on the field, I don’t see a way around him.
The good news is Kleber has been producing as a DFS asset, topping 21+ fantasy points in three of his last five games. Given the matchup and role at hand, I think he’s a viable threat to notch 30-35 fantasy points tonight.
PF: LaMarcus Aldridge – San Antonio Spurs ($9.1k)
I rolled with Ridge as one of my studs last night and he’s one of my favorites again on this slate. There is always going to be risk with a Spurs star on the second leg of a back-to-back set, but San Antonio probably can’t mess around right now due to playoff seeding question marks.
The Spurs even lost last night, so there’s extra incentive to trot Ridge back out there against the Lakers. This is a great matchup for Aldridge on paper, as he really has just Brook Lopez and Juliud Randle to contend with down low. As long as he’s not some random scratch, he looks like an elite play as well as a fun pivot off of potentially more popular PF plays like Anthony Davis and Ben Simmons.
C: Andre Drummond – Detroit Pistons ($10k)
The Brow is expensive, but on such a small slate, he might end up being chalky. I certainly hope so, as I’ll be fading thanks to a pace down tilt with the Memphis Grizzlies. Instead, I’ll save the extra $2.5k with Drums, who could be a monster tonight with Blake Griffin sidelined.
The Pistons have a fun matchup on paper, as they’ll be at home and won’t have to contend with Joel Embiid’s defense inside. That’s amazing news for Drummond, who still managed 40 fantasy points per game in three meetings with Embiid this year. With The Process sidelined, I think Drummond might be the top stud on this entire slate.
The one issue here is Drums is dealing with an illness. If he’s scratched I don’t mind going back to the well with Nikola Vucevic tonight (he was actually a beast in just 20 minutes last night). However, I love that he’s sick, as it could lower his ownership quite a bit.
This also happens to be probably the best game of the night (-3 spread, 216 Total at Bovada) so I want some exposure to it.
I’m not taking many risks tonight, but the dives are pretty calculated and possibly necessary. I really like my two Mavs spares, as there are a ton of dead bodies in Dallas tonight. I’ll also be fading the top Pels players in what should be a poor DFS setting.
Hopefully people go against the grain and use New Orleans players and get cute in some other spots. Overall, I love the balance here and think this could be one of my better NBA DFS squads in some time. Love or hate my daily fantasy basketball picks for Wednesday night? Let me hear it in the comments below!