Last night wasn’t a great success for my daily fantasy basketball picks for three annoying reasons; Ricky Rubio scored exactly zero real life points, Taj Gibson turned up lame with 14 fantasy points and Anthony Davis exited with yet another injury.
This was also a night where Victor Oladipo and Donovan Mitchell went completely nuts, and I wasn’t into either of them.
Last night was an overall loss, but there were still some really solid picks if you just picked your spots. Otto Porter topped 40 fantasy points, MCW was decent with 29, Jimmy Butler got 48 and DMR got 46.5. Brow exited early in the 4th quarter, but he hardly killed me with 39 fantasy points.
Had he stayed in, however, I had a good shot at cashing in both my H2H game and a single entry GPP.
It’s on to the next one on Saturday, where you will need to do two things; digest some big injury news and take a hard stand on some of the best studs at FanDuel:
PG: Rajon Rondo – New Orleans Pelicans ($4.8k)
Rondo finally blew up as a DFS option last night and I was really sad I wasn’t on him. I had been trying him in previous games, to no avail. I’m not sure yet if you can fully trust him on the second leg of a back-to-back set, but I’m going for it tonight.
Anthony Davis is going to be sidelined after exiting with a groin injury last night and that’s going to open up a ton of shots. Rondo will have the ball in his hands more than ever and after a great performance last night, he suddenly feels way too cheap to pass up.
PG: Lonzo Ball – Los Angeles Lakers ($7k)
Ball can be a nightmare to use in NBA DFS, but he’s a necessary try in GPPs just because he can post insane peripherals. He also has a great matchup by the numbers, as Denver doesn’t have a great defensive point guard and happens to rank 28th against the position.
Ball’s shooting is suspect, but he is fantastic at racking up rebounds and dimes. Hopefully his shot is falling in this one and he delivers one of his gem nights.
SG: Avery Bradley – Detroit Pistons ($5.5k)
There are some nice shooting guards available, but I can’t afford to get them all, so I’ll need to dive down in a few spots. SG is one spot to consider doing that and hopefully Bradley can out-play this solid price tag. He’s been a solid scorer for the Pistons (double figures in 11 of his last 12 games) but he doesn’t always blow you away with his peripherals.
That can be tough to see, but the Sixers rank just 22nd against shooting guards and Bradley can pop off at any time. He’s been steady lately with 24.5+ fantasy points in each of his last three games, but somehow has failed to record a single rebound during that stretch. That is a trend that can’t keep up for much longer and this is a spot where he could go for 20+ actual points.
Living the GPP life means you need to take some calculated risks and tonight I’m going low at SG to see if Bradley can’t turn in something close to a gem.
SG: Jordan Clarkson – Los Angeles Lakers ($5.3k)
I never loved pairing Clarkson with Ball, but that alone is a contrarian strategy. He keeps getting run and producing and in a fast-paced matchup with the Nuggets, there is upside to be had here.
Clarkson blew up in his last game (39 fantasy points) and if you can get him on another one of his scoring streaks, he should be able to crush this price tag.
SF: Juan Hernangomez – Denver Nuggets ($4k)
I don’t really want Hernangomez, but if Wilson Chandler and Nikola Jokic are both going to be out, he should be locked into a 25-28 minute role. That’s potentially gold against the Lakers, so I’m willing to fire him up to make my ideal lineup work.
SF: Giannis Antetokounmpo – Milwaukee Bucks ($12.4k)
You are absolutely going to need to pick either The Greek Freak or LeBron James and based on matchup and upside, I’ll roll with Giannis tonight. He is facing a bad Kings team he destroyed in just 26 minutes earlier this week, so you know he can dominate and probably will.
The pricing and floor/ceiling are so similar that choosing between these studs is a wash, but I like Antetokounmpo slightly more tonight.
PF: Julius Randle – Los Angeles Lakers ($4.6k)
Power forward could be another spot to save, as the Lakers may want to go small against the Nuggets with Nikola Jokic sidelined. In addition, Kyle Kuzma is banged up and may not play, so Julius Randle could potentially see a ton of run off the bench.
PF: Kenneth Faried – Denver Nuggets ($5.2k)
I want Ben Simmons as much as everyone else, but I’m not sure I can get a stud SF and also fit him in without taking on a bunch of risk I’m not comfortable with. I’ll see about worming him into my lineup on DraftKings, but on FD I think he’s a fade.
There isn’t much else to get excited about at PF on this site, so I’ll just drop down again and get Faried, who is already starting and should see more run with Nikola Jokic sidelined. If Faried and Randle can perform the way I think they can, not using Simmons will be one of the best calls of the night.
C: DeMarcus Cousins – New Orleans Pelicans ($10.7k)
Last, but certainly not least, is Boogie, who I’ll be all over, assuming Anthony Davis (groin) is out tonight. The matchup with Jusuf Nurkic isn’t exactly ideal and Cousins hasn’t been his usual elite self lately, but an entire game as “the guy” could wake him up a bit.
The upside is just too good to ignore here. I see the argument for Damian Lillard, Simmons or pairing the two best SF options, but fading Boogie feels like a mistake on this slate.
I’m also interested in Mason Plumlee ($4.7k) with Jokic out. The only problem is it’s tough to know just how much run he’ll get. There are other centers on the table, too, and with Boogie and Plumdog being popular, guys like Marc Gasol, Andre Drummond, Joel Embiid and Kevin Love could be super contrarian.