If you rolled with my NBA DFS picks last night, you were in for a pretty fun night. I had two gaffes overall, but produced a lineup with 323 fantasy points that cracked the top 750 in FanDuel’s big $100k GPP.
My gaffes were in using Will Barton (16 fantasy points, dropped low score) and paying up at both power forward slots. Had I dropped from John Collins (23 fantasy points) to Kenrich Williams (over 40) and found a way to pay up for Damian Lillard, I could have won all of the money.
Still, a score of 323 was mighty fine and easily allowed me to x4 my buy-in. If you used that lineup in a smaller single entry tourney, you could have taken home a lot more than I did.
Either way, last night was a success and I’ll look to keep the positive momentum rolling tonight. Join me as I go over my favorite NBA DFS picks for GPPs at FanDuel for Thursday night:
PG: Stephen Curry – Golden State Warriors ($9.2k)
Chef Curry is too cheap. I realize his ceiling hasn’t been amazing since Boogie entered the starting five, but he’s at home in a fast-paced matchup with the 76ers and still has awesome upside.
Ben Simmons is a fine pivot at $9.5k, but Curry is not being priced for his talent here. His recent string of ho-hum efforts could drive ownership down, while a slew of elites elsewhere could also help.
Curry to close at low ownership? That’s the dream, folks.
PG: Rajon Rondo – Los Angeles Lakers ($6.9k)
Lonzo Ball is still on the shelf and it sounds like LeBron James won’t return tonight, so Rondo will once again get all of the run at the lead guard spot for L.A.
Rondo carries triple-double upside and has seen 35+ minutes in each of his last three games since returning from injury. He is a lock for me at this price, but Derrick White ($5.9k) and Dennis Smith Jr. ($6.2k) aren’t awful pivots down if you need extra cash.
SG: Lou Williams – Los Angeles Clippers ($7.3k)
Sweet Lou won’t stop wrecking and remains a palatable price, so I’m definitely down for using him in a revenge spot. The Lakers are a pristine matchup, too, so Williams is a great play at the shooting guard position.
Luka Doncic is doubtful, DeMar DeRozan is not 100% and both Jimmy Butler and D’Angelo Russell are priced way up.
I’ll eat the value with Lou, but if you want Klay Thompson for $400 less, I won’t shame you publicly.
SG: Wesley Matthews – Dallas Mavericks ($4.1k)
With Doncic likely out tonight, Matthews shoots up as an elite value. I was going over my NBA DFS lineups with a friend and he mentioned Wes sees a +7% usage spike when Doncic is off the floor.
At this price, that’s all I need to use him at FanDuel, where my lowest score gets dropped.
SF: Tobias Harris – Los Angeles Clippers ($8.1k)
Small forward is loaded up top, as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kawhi Leonard and Kevin Durant are all very deserving of your salary cap cash.
But so are some of the intermediate guys like Harris. With Danilo Gallinari out, Harris carries more upside than usual and a cakewalk matchup with the Lakers only helps him.
Harris could oddly enough go overlooked at such a deep position, but he might be my favorite SF play of the entire slate.
SF: Brandon Ingram – Los Angeles Clippers ($7.1k)
I also lust for Ingram, who could be getting teammate Kyle Kuzma back but will still handle a ton of the scoring load with Ball and James still sidelined.
Ingram has popped off for 41+ fantasy points in each of his last two contests and has a great matchup in front of him. I wonder if this game in general (228 Total, -5.5 spread) will go overlooked. I certainly hope so.
PF: Kyle Kuzma – Los Angeles Lakers ($6.2k)
Kuz is expected back tonight, so I’ll throw caution to the wind and fire him up as an elite value play. It’s possible he’s limited or rusty, but he’s got such a big offensive role given L.A.’s injuries that I don’t really care.
Aaron Gordon ($7.2k) is a fine value play at PF and you can consider paying up for both LaMarcus Aldridge or Blake Griffin, but I prefer the value at this position.
PF: Dwight Powell – Dallas Mavericks ($3.6k)
This is a deep dive, but if both Doncic and DeAndre Jordan (questionable) are out tonight, he’s my true punt. Powell sees 15-20 minutes off the bench regardless, but he could see extra run if DJ is out.
You can also consider Maxi Kleber here, but I like Powell’s versatility. This isn’t a bad position to save cash at and I’m well aware Powell will probably be my lowest (dropped) score.
C: DeMarcus Cousins – Golden State Warriors ($7.5k)
Center is loaded, starting up top with Joel Embiid. He hardly has an easy matchup against Boogie Cousins, though, which probably means Golden State uses Cousins the most they have all year.
Cousins is still going to be limited, but he’s locked into 24-25 minutes and could finally push for 30 in this one. His matchup isn’t easy, but he’s probably still too cheap when you consider his overall upside.
This one is admittedly a gamble due to the minutes cap and raised price, but that’s what GPPs are all about.
I certainly want some exposure to the 76ers/Warriors game, but there are several games worth attacking tonight. Instead of just game stacking them all, I’ll try to pick my spots and highlight the Lakers/Clips showdown as one that could go slightly overlooked.
Nets/Spurs and Bucks/Raptors could also be sneaky and I don’t mind dipping my toe in either one if it makes sense. For now, though, I’m loving Lakers, Clippers and Dubs and will slide in values as needed.
Like usual, you can use this roster as it stands or you can pick your spots and mix in your own NBA DFS picks with mine. Whatever you do, be sure to stay on top of the latest player news and adjust as needed.
Good luck and enjoy the games!