Yesterday wasn’t my best NBA DFS lineup, but I had the right idea with targeting the Lakers vs. Mavs game. Luka Doncic and DeAndre Jordan both worked out, but I probably should have been more into the Lakers side of things.
I still had some other solid plays (as well as some nice secondary suggestions), but my NBA DFS picks as a whole just didn’t get it done.
Fortunately Tuesday allows us to bounce back with a fun eight-game slate over at FanDuel. Be sure to check on all the latest NBA player news and consider using some of my favorite NBA DFS picks in your lineups. Let’s get to it:
PG: D’Anthony Melton – Phoenix Suns ($4.2k)
Devin Booker is unlikely to play tonight:
Igor Kokoskov said there's a good chance Devin Booker won't play tonight as he missed the 2nd half of Sunday's game vs. Charlotte with back spasms. Josh Jackson will start in Booker's place if Booker doesn't play. #Suns
— Duane Rankin (@DuaneRankin) January 8, 2019
Melton already gets about 25 minutes per game. He should be locked into a fine role and is at home against the Kings, who don’t stop point guards very well. He’s a risk, but if he fails he could end up being my lowest score dropped.
PG: Stephen Curry – Golden State Warriors ($10.4k)
Ben Simmons and Kemba Walker are solid elite options and you can always pay up for Russell Westbrook. However, Curry has been slaying as a scorer and has been quite reliable in DFS with 50+ fantasy points in four of his last five contests.
Golden State is projected to smoke the Knicks tonight, but Curry should be a huge reason why. Another big performance is likely in the cards and if others are scared off by the massive point spread, all the better. A contrarian Curry to wrap up this slate sounds mighty fine to me.
De’Aaron Fox is a fine intermediate option if you want to drop down a little further as well.
SG: Bogdan Bogdanovic – Sacramento Kings ($6.5k)
I need some Kings action tonight, as they face a terrible Suns team and this game boasts one of the best combinations of spread and Total on the night.
Boggy is a versatile player who does a little bit of everything and his skill-set should translate well in a pretty busy game. He’s one of my favorite SG plays on the board, but if you insist on spending, take a gander at Victor Oladipo against the Cavs.
SG: Josh Okogie – Minnesota Timberwolves ($4.3k)
Robert Covington and Derrick Rose are both out again tonight and Okogie has logged over 30 minutes in each of his last two games. It hasn’t translated to much fantasy success, but the role is there for him to work out for you. The price is still nice, too, so I’ll roll the dice here and hope he doesn’t burn me.
SF: Paul George – Oklahoma City Thunder ($10k)
There are three stud small forward options tonight, with Kawhi Leonard also being in the mix. I don’t feel great about fading any of them and I certainly can’t fade them all. That has me loving the idea of stacking two of them and if they all work out, it won’t hurt me.
PG-13 is in a nice spot with no Covey guarding him and he has shown all year he can go off in a number of ways. He’s probably my favorite play of the trio, but I fully expect them all to compete for 45-55 fantasy points tonight.
SF: Kevin Durant – Golden State Warriors ($10.3k)
Durant and Kawhi are both at risk of playing just three quarters due to blowout potential, but Durant is killing it as a scorer and gives me a second late-game hammer to pair with Curry.
I get the feeling people will be off of the Warriors due to their insane spread tonight, but they are notorious for allowing teams to hang around. Don’t be shocked if Curry/Durant end up being two of the best plays on the board.
PF: Larry Nance – Cleveland Cavaliers ($5.8k)
I also like Domantas Sabonis with a slew of Pacers possibly sitting tonight, but Nance is a great price and put up over 50 fantasy points the last time he took on Indiana. I’m not demanding a repeat, but he gets his hands in a lot of stats and could be in for a solid outing at home.
PF: Josh Jackson – Phoenix Suns ($4.1k)
No Devin Booker means you can throw caution to the wind and stack Phoenix players tonight. I won’t get too out of control with that NBA DFS strategy, but I will try Jackson, who thrived with Booker sitting out the second half of the Suns’ last game.
Jackson can be a disaster, but he looked good last time out. At home with a positive matchup against the Kings, it’s quite possible Jackson delivers for you. Either way, much like Melton and Okogie, I’ll hope just one of these guys serves as my “low score” and the others pan out.
C: Bismack Biyombo – Charlotte Hornets ($4k)
I love a lot of centers tonight, as Joel Embiid, KAT and Nikola Jokic head a stacked group. That makes punting this spot very dicey, but there’s decent reasoning for that.
There’s even viable value in the intermediate range, as both Trill and Deandre Ayton have money matchups in what could be the best DFS environment of the night.
All true, but it’s hard not to love Biz, who is starting and gets a bad Clippers interior defense. Charlotte’s injuries to their bigs open up solid run and he can wreck on the glass and with blocks. If he shows up as a scorer, he just might be the top value pick of this entire slate.
You need to mix chalky plays with low-owned options in tournaments and I think this NBA DFS lineup does a great job of that.
There is absolutely risk in putting a large chunk of my funds in two Warriors options, but two things could easily happen; they both go nuts in a blowout win or they both wreck in a surprisingly competitive game.
Either way, the idea that others could balk at using Curry and KD and have them be contrarian is very enticing. Besides, I’m a little less into some of the other top options for a variety of reasons.
Al lot of the other possibilities attached to guys like Kemba Walker, Kawhi Leonard, Joel Embiid and others is just as scary as the Dubs winning big and two of my top studs only being useful for three quarters. If you allow every negative thing to impact you, however, you won’t find yourself with a team you like.
I still think all the aforementioned plays are on the table, but I’m choosing to stack Curry/PG-13/KD tonight and I love using the value picks around them that I’ve assembled.
Things can still change from now until lineup lock, so be sure to keep up with the latest NBA news before making your final decisions. Hopefully my NBA DFS picks help you one way or another. Either way, good luck and enjoy the games!