Andre Drummond was a sad sack last night. I don’t know what it is about guys like Drummond, Kemba Walker and Joel Embiid, but seemingly every single time I vouch for them they either barely reach value or they just flat out stink.
It’s partially timing, but Drummond had what looked like a great matchup against the Knicks and simply was awful. Blake Griffin scored 30 points, so it wasn’t about the matchup.
Regardless, last night didn’t produce a winner but I did have a few solid NBA DFS picks. Darren Collison was one strong value pick, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Josh Richardson both worked out and Kyle Kuzma was solid despite an ugly blowout loss.
Hopefully you pivoted away from Drums and paid up for your stud elsewhere.
Speaking of studs, Wednesday night’s daily fantasy basketball slate at FanDuel is loaded with them.
You will have your choice of the litter and the top option is likely James Harden (provided CP3 is out). I don’t really need to tell you to use those guys, but on these bigger slates that tend to be more spread out, I actually like fading the big names in GPPs.
The main reason is there’s just so much value to attack. If you disagree, just drop down in a couple of spots and target the stud(s) you covet. Either way, use my NBA DFS picks as needed for tonight’s big 10-game main slate:
PG: Kemba Walker – Charlotte Hornets ($9.7k)
I know I said Walker never works out for me (and he doesn’t), but I can’t fade a dude putting up almost 28 points per game for forever. He’s at home against the Hawks, too, so there’s a pretty good chance at a blow-up game here. It also doesn’t hurt that he got a solid 46.5 fantasy points against them two games ago.
PG: John Wall – Washington Wizards ($9.3k)
Wall is in the most explosive NBA DFS environment on the night and we saw what a Wizards vs. Pelicans matchup is capable of a couple of games ago. Wall loses some of his luster on the road and could draw the defense of Jrue Holiday, but he’s still looking like a terrific play on this slate.
SG: Eric Gordon – Houston Rockets ($5.5k)
Chris Paul could be out again tonight and if that’s the case you need to consider paying up for James Harden, soaking up value with EG or both. I’m opting for just using Gordon right now, as he’s crushed in his last two games with CP3 out.
Gordon isn’t nearly as appealing if Paul is back in the lineup, so feel free to work your way up to someone like DeMar DeRozan if CP3 is active tonight.
SG: Allonzo Trier – New York Knicks ($3.7k)
You can still find some elite value at shooting guard one way or another, as Trier has gone off twice in the past week and figures to be in a good spot against the 76ers tonight. Philly gives up a lot of points and has been allowing teams to stay in games, while New York is also somehow great against the spread this season.
I don’t mind if this game ends up being a blowout, though. Trier should be coming off the bench and is looking at a solid role no matter how this game plays out.
SF: Jonathan Isaac – Orlando Magic ($4.7k)
Aaron Gordon is a true game time decision tonight, so I’m considering rolling the dice here and banking on him sitting out. Giannis Antetokounmpo is the only elite SF really worth spending big money on, so dropping down at this position isn’t a bad idea.
Isaac logged 30 minutes in his last game and compiled 27 fantasy points the last time he faced the Blazers. He’s honestly a decent value play regardless, but he’s potentially an elite money-saver in the event AG sits.
SF: Danilo Gallinari – Los Angeles Clippers ($7k)
There are several intermediate small forward options, with guys like Otto Porter, Robert Covington and T.J. Warren also being on the table. I’ll ride with Gallo, who is a good price and gives me a nice late-game hammer. You can’t ask for a much better matchup than a showdown at home against the Suns.
PF: LaMarcus Aldridge – San Antonio Spurs ($8.5k)
I really like this Spurs vs. Wolves game and tonight I am also digging San Antonio to cover a +4.5 point spread. That’s assuming Ridge and the key stars on this team are in action. If so, Aldridge leads the way as one of the top options, seeing as he saves you about $4k as a pivot away from Anthony Davis and absolutely wrecked Minnesota when he faced them earlier this year.
PF: P.J. Tucker – Houston Rockets ($4.3k)
I don’t ever love fading The Brow, but he’s absurdly expensive and Ridge is an amazing pivot. You can even try Tobias Harris, but at this second PF slot I’ll chase down Tucker’s minutes and hope he can get some buckets. He’s on the floor for basically the entire game and does a solid job with peripherals. If he can show up as a shooter tonight he looks like an elite value play.
C: Julius Randle – New Orleans Pelicans ($7.3k)
I also like Deandre Ayton and Steve Adams in a similar price range, while paying up for KAT or Joel Embiid certainly isn’t silly. I’d rather get value here tonight, though, and added exposure to this crazy Wizards vs. Pelicans game isn’t a bad idea.
Randle has a nice bench role and can wreck even in limited action, so I’m not balking at his price or the fact that Anthony Davis is back in the lineup. He smashed in this matchup just days ago and he’s a very real threat to do so again.
I said I’m not paying top dollar for studs and that’s because I think I can get close to their production with cheaper options. Kemba, Wall and Ridge look like elite options on this slate and intermediate plays like Gallo and Randle should push for 35-40 fantasy points.
If Tucker, Trier and Isaac can just muster average production and only one of them are bad enough to be a true “low score” drop candidate, it could be a fun night. Certainly consider prioritizing studs like Harden and The Brow if you feel strongly about them, but to me this is a perfect slate to go a more balanced route.