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FanDuel NBA Picks – February 28th

Last night’s NBA DFS picks column was a bit of a joke. Kris Dunn had arguably his worst game as a pro, while C.J. McCollum laid a rotten egg as a would-be fun pivot off of Damian Lillard.

Jabari Parker and Paul Millsap were solid value dives and LeBron James was worth paying up for, but not much else went right with the team I pieced together.

It’s onward and upward come Wednesday, as I get a nice nine-game NBA DFS slate to work with. That should open things up considerably, while a few injuries might give me enough value to get the team I want. Let’s see what my FanDuel GPP roster looks like for tonight:

Update: A lot of the cheap guys I was interested are off the board thanks to early NBA news (which never happens). I’ll leave the initial guys I had just so you see who else I was on, but will be making changes to today’s lineup.

PG: Chris Paul – Houston Rockets ($8.4k)

I think a more balanced lineup is the way to go tonight, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t some studs I can nab at a bargain price. CP3 is one of them, as he goes back to the Staples Center to dish out some revenge on his former Clippers squad.

Paul has been fine lately (36+ fantasy points in each of his last four contests), but he seems due for a big game. It’d only be fitting for it to arrive tonight in L.A.

PG: Dejounte Murray – San Antonio Spurs ($6.8k)

I’m going to be short on analysis just because these are edits based on news. I love CP3, but I like Lowry’s matchup a little more. Houston has played a lot in the past week, too. In the event they’re tired or they blow the Clippers out, limiting my exposure to Paul may not be the worst idea.

Murray is also just a great play here. His price is inflated, but he crushed the Cavs in his last game and tonight he faces a bad Pels defense. This game could be pretty fast and for a guy that puts up over one fantasy point per minute, that should only mean big things.

PG: Kyle Lowry – Toronto Raptors ($8.2k)

Lowry is another solid point guard who offers elite talent and comes at an arguable bargain. He’ll also be taking on a terrible Magic defense that has coughed up high level production to point guards all year long.

Lowry’s recent form solidifies this for me, as he’s been rock solid with 31+ fantasy points in five straight contests. Look for him to top the 40-point mark in this one.

SG: Bradley Beal – Washington Wizards ($8.5k)

At first I wanted James Harden here, but I’m not sure I need him. Beal has been touch and go without John Wall, but he’s in a big pace-up showdown with the Golden State Warriors and there is no denying his upside with Wall on the sidelines.

Beal can be a beating to use, but he’s a fun middle-ground option at shooting guard tonight and I think he can thrive in this matchup.

SG: Khris Middleton – Milwaukee Bucks ($7.5k)

Middleton is simply rock solid, as he seems to threaten 20 actual points nightly and he’s now safely topped 28+ fantasy points in six straight games. Add the revenge factor against the Detroit Pistons and subtract Jabari Parker (likely resting) from the equation, and I think fantasy gamers get a gem here.

I don’t love the price, but everyone has an inflated tag at shooting guard (and just about everywhere else). I’ll pay up here to get a guy with an awesome floor and a pretty nice ceiling.

SG: Eric Gordon – Houston Rockets ($4.5k)

I love Middleton and the potential for revenge, but I already said before I wasn’t enamored with the price. I’ll keep Beal and drop down from Mids to Gordon, who is fully expected to return from an illness. Gordon missed three games while sick, but he’s not returning from an injury so it would make sense for him to play his usual 28-30 minute role off the bench.

Gordon used to play for L.A., so he’s got his own “revenge” narrative brewing here. He had been pretty weak before missing time, but tonight offers a solid blow-up spot for him. He costs close to nothing, so I’m fine with the risk involved.

SF: Mario Hezonja – Orlando Magic ($4.8k)

Aaron Gordon (hip) could end up sitting tonight’s tilt with the Toronto Raptors out, which should put both Jonathon Simmons and Mario Hezonja in play on this slate. To be frank, there is not a ton of attractive value despite there being nine games, so I will certainly take it where I can get it.

I love Super Mario here, as he should see an expanded role and could even start. Normally I don’t love targeting a strong Raptors defense, but this game being in Orlando could help make Hezonja a safer play. If he comes off the bench, all the better.

SF: Jeremy Lamb – Charlotte Hornets ($4.4)

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist hurt his hamstring last night and is probably not going to play tonight. That should be good news for Lamb, who is already viable in his 20+ minute scoring role. I liked Hezonja, but with Aaron Gordon officially active for tonight, he becomes too risky.

SF: Otto Porter – Washington Wizards ($7.2k)

Much like with Beal, I love the upside of these main Wiz options tonight. They’re at home and Golden State seems to bring out the best in everyone they face. If this game is to stay close, I have to think both Beal and Porter are destined to have huge games.

I love Porter’s outside shooting, rebounding and ability to rack up defensive stats. He is not at a price point I’m enamored with, but small forward is lacking many elite plays. I don’t mind dropping down here and shooting for some fairly cheap upside.

PF: Davis Bertans – San Antonio Spurs ($4.1k)

Do I think Bertans is going to go nuts tonight? Not necessarily, but he’s super cheap and should end up getting solid run with Pau Gasol (knee) almost certainly out. The Spurs could opt to roll out a little more size, but it could make sense to just toss Ridge in at the five and let Bertans open things up as a shooter on the outside.

Bertans has seen his minutes dip with the return of Rudy Gay recently, but no Gasol opens up 20+ minutes to be soaked up. He’s a pretty big risk with Gay back, but this is a great matchup at home and he could be needed.

PF: JaMychal Green – Memphis Grizzlies ($5.3k)

Due to changes made up top, a lot of salary opened up for me and had me thinking about re-doing the PF position. Let’s start that with Green, who has been impressive lately with a double-double in four of his last five games.

Tonight Green gets the Phoenix Suns, who are easily the worst defensive team in basketball. That makes him an elite value play.

PF: Marvin Williams – Charlotte Hornets ($3.9k)

Dwight Howard ended up finishing last night’s game against the Chicago Bulls despite getting hurt, but he admitted after the game that he’s pretty banged up. On the second night of a back-to-back set, it could make good sense for the Hornets to give their star center the night off.

That could shift Williams to a bigger role and he’s already logging 20+ minutes with regularity. I think you also need to look at Frank Kaminsky if Howard is out, but both guys would stand to benefit from the big man’s absence and Williams is cheaper. Williams also has a more versatile skill-set, so he’s the one I prefer of the two.

PF: Blake Griffin – Detroit Pistons ($7.6k)

Dwight Howard is also playing tonight, so that takes Marvin Williams off the table for me. With some extra cash to work with, I can pay up and get Blake, Draymond Green or Aaron Gordon. I like the value associated with all of these guys, but considering the awful run Griffin is on, I know almost nobody will be using him.

Griffin is not playing well in his new city, but things will click eventually and Milwaukee potentially gives him an awesome matchup. The Bucks could be tired after playing last night, they don’t rebound well and they don’t have an elite interior defender. I will not be shocked at all if Griffin comes out and dominates this game and does so at extremely low ownership.

C: Marc Gasol – Memphiz Grizzlies ($7.2k)

Joffrey Lauvergne could be in play with Gasol probably out, but I’m really focused on getting more reliability at center tonight. I think you can get that and some elite value in Gasol, who has been nothing if not stable with 27+ fantasy points in 12 of his last 13 games. Gasol popped off for 42 fantasy points in his last game, too, and tonight he has an amazing matchup with the Suns.

Overall, I’m taking dives at PF (which is weak beyond The Brow) and hoping a more balanced approach can help me rise up the GPP ranks on Wednesday night. Your daily fantasy basketball strategy doesn’t have to align with mine, but hopefully a few of these picks help you win big. Either way, I wish you luck tonight in your NBA DFS contests!

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