Our last stop on the NBA DFS train was Saturday, where we were greatly disappointed by Nikola Jokic. The Joker was excused from a shaky opener due to facing Rudy Gobert, but he managed to score 0 actual points against the Kings.
He actually only attempted three shots from the field, too. It was a weird performance and it held back our Saturday team, which got strong outings out of value picks like De’Aaron Fox (18 actual points), Kelly Olynyk (13-9-4-2-1 line) and J.J. Barea (19 actual points). Dillon Brooks wasn’t a total waste off the bench (9-2-2-1-1 line), either.
Devin Booker and T.J. Warren both struggled, while James Harden wasn’t quite as elite as we’d hoped. The same wasn’t the case for Giannis Antetokounmpo, who poured in a career-high 44 points en route to another 60+ fantasy point barrage.
It wasn’t the team we thought it’d be, but had Jokic not face-planted, it could have come close. Hopefully you at least cashed with some variation of our Saturday daily fantasy basketball picks. Either way, we’re back to do a better job on Monday’s slate:
PG: Yogi Ferrell – Dallas Mavericks ($5.3k)
You can split hairs and go back and forth between Ferrell and J.J. Barea ($5k), but Ferrell started last game, got more run and put up a solid 33 fantasy points. Both guys are going to have value if Dennis Smith (knee) is out again, but if Ferrell is locked in for more minutes (41 last game) he has to be the play.
PG: Goran Dragic – Miami Heat ($7.1k)
The Dragon has been very solid to start the year, chipping in 31+ FanDuel points in each of his first two starts. Dragic was called on a little more to score in his last game with Hassan Whiteside out, so he could have extra upside if Whiteside (knee) is again held out tonight.
I like him, regardless, as he tends to thrive at home and will face a very beatable Hawks team. His matchup with Dennis Schroder is sublime on paper, as Schroder can’t stop anyone defensively.
I really don’t see the need to spend at point guard tonight. Chris Paul is out with an injury, Schroder is banged up, Eric Bledsoe is asking to be traded, Kemba Walker has to deal with Milwaukee’s length on the road and Stephen Curry tends to be held back by his stud teammates. I don’t dislike Curry (or John Wall, for that matter), but if Ferrell can hit 30 fantasy points and Dragic can toe around 40, I think we can get away with these picks.
SG: Dion Waiters – Miami Heat ($6.4k)
I think Klay Thompson and/or Devin Booker look and sound better at the shooting guard spot, but I think we can get the same value by dropping down to guys like Dion Waiters and/or Eric Gordon. The combination is up to you, but we save a whopping $800 here alone and it could go a long way in getting us the daily fantasy basketball lineup we want.
Waiters continues to be the heart and soul of Miami’s offense, as he’s averaging 17 points per game through two games. The run and shots are both there and now Waiters is at home against a Hawks team that ranks just 17th in the league in defensive efficiency, per ESPN’s Hollinger stats.
SG: Eric Gordon – Houston Rockets ($6.2k)
James Harden is going to be the primary focus of the Grizzlies tonight, so while he will probably be fine, I like the idea of targeting Gordon. Gordon and Devin Booker have similar games, so I don’t see the point in paying up for both Booker and Klay Thompson. We can get virtually the same guy here and pay $1,000 less in salary.
It was also reported over the weekend that Chris Paul would miss about 2-3 weeks with a knee issue, so we know Gordon is primed for a big role moving forward. He can score the ball at will, but hopefully when we use him he adds some extra stats en route to a huge performance.
SF: T.J. Warren – Phoenix Suns ($5.6k)
The Suns are in a bad way right now. The team just fired head coach Earl Watson and star point guard Eric Bledsoe took to Twitter to let everyone know he wants out:
I Dont wanna be here
— Eric Bledsoe (@EBled2) October 22, 2017
It’s a murky situation, but Phoenix gets an opponent in the Kings that they actually might be able to compete with. This is still a risk, but for GPPs, I still love Warren’s price and offensive upside. Just do some digging to see if the Suns interim coach plans on making any bold changes that would alter Warren’s fantasy value.
SF: Kelly Oubre Jr. – Washington Wizards ($5.3k)
Dillon Brooks ($4.4k) is worth a look again tonight, but we get plenty of value with Oubre, who continues to see a huge role with Markieff Morris sidelined. That figures to again be the case tonight, so we can chase Oubre’s solid rebounding (7.5 rebounds per game) and outside shooting to a solid total.
PF: Paul Millsap – Denver Nuggets ($7.9k)
Kelly Olynyk is probably the top value on this slate if Hassan Whiteside is out again, but with Miami’s star center potentially back on Monday, we’ll wait to make that call until later in the day. For now, I love the idea of pairing to high upside bigs together and that starts with Thrillsap.
Millsap has looked good in his first two games with Denver, as he’s scored 19 and 18 points. His other stats will eventually come, but if he can keep scoring like this (or better) we can’t pass him up at such a nice price.
PF: LaMarcus Aldridge – San Antonio Spurs ($8.8k)
I don’t love the huge spike in Ridge’s price, but his play has demanded it. With Kawhi Leonard out, we’ve seen vintage Portland Aldridge, as the big man as double-doubled with 25+ actual points in both contests. He has a tougher assignment tonight against the Raptors, but his role and talent are too good to ignore.
I know everyone craves Giannis in this spot, but he is up to $12.2k now and I feel like tonight might be a decent spot to fade him. I’d rather get Ridge’s volume and a second quality PF next to him.
C: Dwight Howard – Charlotte Hornets ($7.4k)
Call me crazy, but I don’t see a need in paying up for center tonight. Joel Embiid, Marc Gasol, Nikola Jokic, Andre Drummond and even a healthy Hassan Whiteside all sound fantastic, but Howard has been very solid (35+ fantasy points in both games this year) and looks to be in a winnable spot against the Milwaukee Bucks.
Those other options are fine to target on this slate, but I don’t see why we can’t save and settle for 35-40 with Dwight, who averaged over 15 points and 11 rebounds per game in three meetings with the Deer last season.