My last edition of TSG’s NBA DFS picks at FanDuel produced solid results, with a number of options working out. Darren Collison (50 fantasy points) was a great play versus the Cavs, while Lauri Markkanen, Kevin Love, LeBron James and Brandon Ingram all poured in 31+ fantasy points.
Jarrett Jack, Devin Booker, Kyle Kuzma and Zach LaVine all ended up being duds, but the logic behind using them was air tight.
Monday gets me started again and I get six games to work with at FanDuel. The Greek Freak is the top (and really only) stud on the board, as a lot of other top level options feel grossly over-priced. Dwight Howard is certainly viable against the Pacers, but I won’t be spending $10k to use the veteran big man.
This honestly feels like a great nice to fade the top options in terms of price and opt with a more balanced lineup. Let’s see where that gets me:
PG: Tyus Jones – Minnesota Timberwolves ($3.8k)
Let’s start things off with Jones, who could be in for a big role on Monday night if Jeff Teague (ankle) is out. Teague kept himself out of Minny’s last game due to injury and it’s possible he takes a break tonight. If that’s the case, Jones looks to be way too cheap to bypass on this slate.
Jones faded a bit when starting in place of Teague earlier this year, but looked good again in 24 minutes in his last game. He’d be walking into a favorable matchup against the Atlanta Hawks (19th versus point guards), too.
PG: Kyrie Irving – Boston Celtics ($9k)
Irving is probably my top stud on this slate. He’s really not that expensive for how he’s been playing lately and he might offer more top level value than anyone else. He’s got a dream matchup tonight against the Nuggets, who haven’t proven to be able to stop point guards (27th) all year long.
I don’t see them suddenly being able to shut him down. Irving has been in quite the impressive groove, putting up 33+ actual points in three of his last four contests. Make it four of five in another strong outing tonight.
SG: Andrew Wiggins – Minnesota Timberwolves ($6.5k)
I love Tyreke Evans ($8.2k) if he’s healthy and not limited tonight. He faces a terrible Suns defense and could go nuts, but he’s been sick. Keep an eye on that situation, but for now just consider dropping to Wiggins. I know he’s rather scoring dependent, but he’s been playing well lately and gets a plus matchup against the Hawks.
Atlanta has some solid perimeter defenders in theory, but they’ll be largely worried about KAT and Jimmy Butler. The Hawks rank just 27th against shooting guards, so don’t be shocked if Wiggins pops off a bit. At this price, you don’t need to demand the world and if he can get 32-35 fantasy points, that’s a win.
SG: Devin Booker – Phoenix Suns ($8k)
I could pivot to Reke here and I’m temporarily eating $700 in free money just to keep my options open (see: Jones, Tyus). Booker isn’t even locked in for me, as he sustained a rib injury at the end of his game yesterday. He’ll need to be monitored, but he’s slid to point guard full-time and obviously is going to provide immense upside going forward.
He’s a lock for me if he’s active, as he’s versatile and explosive and also faces an overrated Memphis defense. The Grizz aren’t scary without Mike Conley up front, while Booker has done quite well against them, scoring 32 actual points in his lone meeting with them earlier this year. He feels like a must tonight on FanDuel. Just make sure he plays.
SF: Josh Richardson – Miami Heat ($6.5k)
J-Rich continues to be a steady DFS option, as he’s poured in 29+ fantasy points in six of his last seven contests. His floor has been quite stable and while he doesn’t usually possess amazing upside, it’s worth noting he dropped 44 fantasy points on the Dallas defense he takes on for a second time tonight.
Richardson’s offensive role is locked in with Dion Waiters on the shelf, while it’s also possible Tyler Johnson could sit this one out. This isn’t the best game to target for DFS purposes due to pace, but I like Richardson’s role and floor tonight.
SF: T.J. Warren – Phoenix Suns ($6.6k)
Most everyone will gravitate toward Giannis and/or Jimmy Butler – and for good reason – but I see this slate as an opportunity to get a big edge on the rest of the GPP field. One reason is Warren, who is coming in at a discount against a bad Grizzlies team.
Memphis plays slow, but they aren’t the elite defense they’ve been in the past and Warren has had success against them (22+ actual points per game in two meetings) so far this year. I won’t at all be shocked to see him deliver in this spot again and at this price, he might be one of the best bargain buys on this entire slate.
PF: Taj Gibson – Minnesota Timberwolves ($5.8k)
Ben Simmons heads a truly terrible power forward position on Monday night. This is a great spot to just fade the top stud and pay down and I’ll start things off with Taj. His minutes are as locked in as anyone’s these days and he’s also produced a steady floor (26+ fantasy points in six of last nine games).
Gibson doesn’t come without a little risk, but the Timberwolves could be down an extra scorer in Jeff Teague and he’s going to see 30+ minutes against a bad Hawks defense. More specifically, Atlanta ranks just 23rd against power forwards this year and just got wrecked by Markieff Morris. This is a solid spot to trust in Taj.
PF: Jarell Martin – Memphis Grizzlies ($5.2k)
I will continue my cheap strategy at PF with Martin, who faces the Suns (dead last against PFs) and should have a solid role with JaMychal Green (ankle) already ruled out for Monday night’s contest. Martin isn’t an elite talent, but he’s getting run and producing in the process with 20+ fantasy points in each of his last five outings.
The floor isn’t stable here, but Martin isn’t a bad price for a starter against the league’s worst defense. He’s a threat to notch a double-double and considering how bad PF is tonight, I really don’t mind the minor dice roll.
C: Hassan Whiteside – Miami Heat ($7.9k)
The funny thing about Whiteside is he should be uber chalk in such a favorable matchup (Mavs rank 22nd against centers), but his issues with minutes and fouls make him such a huge risk. He’s strictly a GPP play, so I’m all for using him at this price on this slate.
Whiteside still is busting with DFS upside and this is the type of matchup he could dominate. That’s certainly been the case in the past, as Whiteside posted a nice 19 and 19 double-double when he last faced Dallas during the 2016-17 NBA season. It only helps that Miami crushed the Mavs inside when Hassan missed the first meeting this year, as well.