Last night got off to a rocky start. Jeff Teague played and made Tyus Jones an afterthought and Devin Booker didn’t play and wasn’t even an option. Hopefully you pivoted off of the news associated with those two guys, but for the most part, I delivered solid picks elsewhere.
Hassan Whiteside was always going to be a risk, but the matchup was there and he paid off by wrecking the Mavericks to the tune of 45 fantasy points. I also got quality production out of T.J. Warren (35), Josh Richardson (37) and Taj Gibson (39). Kyrie Irving was solid enough, as well, while Andrew Wiggins and Jarell Martin weren’t crippling.
Yesterday was a very strong NBA DFS picks column across the board, with the only work left for you being finding replacements for Tyus Jones and Devin Booker. Hopefully things worked out for you and you found a way to cash, if not win big.
Tuesday changes things up quite a bit, as a massive Blake Griffin trade opens up a ton of value in Detroit and L.A. Griffin won’t suit up tonight and it’s likely nobody in this trade hits the floor just yet. That should open up a ton of interesting value for the Clippers and Pistons and that feels like just the tip of the iceberg for Tuesday’s daily fantasy basketball action.
Let’s see how that directs my picks as I piece together my favorite NBA DFS squad at FanDuel:
PG: De’Aaron Fox – Sacramento Kings ($5.7k)
The Kings have fully bought into their young rookie point guard, who has safely logged 27+ minutes in 11 of his last 12 contests. The only time he didn’t during that stretch, in fact, was when he left a game due to injury.
Fox will have his ups and downs, but he’s a solid value pick against a bad New Orleans defense. The Pelicans specifically have issues stopping point guards, while he’s topped 24 fantasy points per game across two meetings with them already this year. With Sac-town looking to move on from veteran lead guard George Hill, Fox’s role looks safe, too.
PG: Jarrett Jack – New York Knicks ($5k)
I see the interest in Russell Westbrook, Chris Paul and Stephen Curry, but there’s spending I’d like to do elsewhere on this slate. Curry and CP3 aren’t 100% healthy, either, so really this is about wanting The Brow over Russ tonight.
You don’t have to be with me on that, but if you are, you may want to consider Jack. He’s hovering around 28 minutes per game these days and will be at home against a weak Brooklyn defense. Jack hasn’t taken advantage of this matchup yet this year, but I think he can tonight.
I love the value at point guard on this slate and you can also look at Ricky Rubio and Spencer Dinwiddie in a similar price range.
SG: Lou Williams – Los Angeles Clippers ($8.9k)
With Blake Griffin out of town and the Detroit imports probably not playing much tonight, I am going all in on Sweet Lou. He’s delivered some masterful performances even with Griffin in the lineup, but without him he owns an absurd 34% usage.
Williams can explode at any time and will be at home with a huge role in front of him. He’s an elite pivot off of James Harden at the shooting guard position tonight and could go a long way in making Westbrook unnecessary.
I think his price could drop ownership off of him, but I’ll join the masses if his new teammates take the floor with him. I also have interest in Eric Gordon ($5.4k) as an elite value play if CP3 sits this one out.
SG: Bradley Beal – Washington Wizards ($7.9k)
Ditto for Beal, who sees a massive spike in workload when John Wall is sidelined. Wall was just ruled out (knee) for the next six weeks, so you’re going to see a lot of Beal right away. He spared me the last time I used him, but he faces the Thunder again and just dropped 66 fantasy points on them two games ago.
I don’t know if you can brace for that again, but he’s coming in at a discount when you consider his upside and past production. OKC is not a good matchup by the numbers, but they lost stud defender Andre Roberson for the year and could take a hit in that department.
SF: Jonathon Simmons – Orlando Magic ($4.7k)
Small forward is top-heavy tonight, but it also might be a great place to save cash. LeBron James could be wasted in a potential blowout in Detroit, while Paul George wasn’t worth the hassle the last time he faced the Wizards. You’ll also want to at least give Kevin Durant and Jimmy Butler a cursory glance.
I might just drop down here, especially if Aaron Gordon (hip) is ruled out. Gordon is ailing at the moment and when he’s not on the floor, Orlando goes a bit smaller and unleashes Simmons. This is a guy who can fill it up offensively and can also rack up other stats when he’s creating in isolation. I love his usage and price, so you’ll just have to hope AG sits and Orlando can keep it somewhat close in Houston.
SF: Stanley Johnson – Detroit Pistons ($4.3k)
Someone in Detroit is going to benefit from the absence of two key players tonight, while the Pistons as a whole hold some value at home against a terrible Cavs defense. Johnson logged 28 minutes in this same matchup in his last game and produced 32 fantasy points, so with two key bodies out of the lineup, I have to think he has a cemented role tonight.
The beauty here is people are paying up at SF and/or they’ll pay down at PF with his teammate, Anthony Tolliver. Tolliver chalk night isn’t something I enjoy diving head first into, so I’ll pivot to SJ and hope he has the bigger game.
PF: Anthony Davis – New Orleans Pelicans ($12.5k)
My stud of choice is absolutely The Brow tonight. He can underwhelm or exit games early, but if he’s on, he’s a threat to deliver the line of the night every time out. It certainly can’t hurt that he faces a bad Kings defense that doesn’t have a single person that can contend with him down low.
The Brow has crazy upside now that DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) is out for the year, so I look forward to going all in with him and seeing if he can explode. I don’t mind if he’s chalk, but with so many studs and a big increase in his price, there’s a decent chance he’s actually fairly low-owned. Cross your fingers.
PF: Kevin Love – Cleveland Cavaliers ($7k)
Dropping down at PF is very much in play at the other spot, while you can also make a case for other pricey options. The position is loaded, but Anthony Tolliver and other value plays are going to be tempting.
That being said, Love excelled in this same matchup just days ago and he seems to be getting back into a groove. Switching to his more natural power forward spot is helping him and I like that FanDuel did the same for fantasy purposes.
I love the position switch, the price and the matchup. Love feels like a solid bet to hit 34+ fantasy points tonight and I won’t be at all shocked to see him hit 40+ and return killer value.
C: Jahlil Okafor – Brooklyn Nets ($3.8k)
It’s important in DFS sometimes to jump on value as it trends upwards. That also takes on considerable risk, but I am not head over heels in love with center tonight, so I’m going to risk Jah being a solid play.
The Nets have been very slow to unleash this kid, but for all of his faults, he remains an adept interior scorer and he can rebound at a decent rate. Okafor can’t do anything without solid run, but he logged 23 minutes in his last game and turned that into 31 fantasy points. Demanding a repeat performance might be asking a lot, but I love the price and the Knicks aren’t the worst matchup in the world.
Overall, my core consists of The Brow, Sweet Lou and Beal tonight. The usage numbers with these guys are off the charts and I have no qualms building around that trio. That gets me off of an elite center, Russ, Harden, Steph, LeBron, KD and others, but if these guys deliver as I think they can, it won’t matter.
Whether you roll with my NBA DFS picks or not, I wish you luck on Tuesday’s big slate. Let me know if you like/hate these picks and if they work out for you in the end.