FanDuel NBA Picks – March 12th

Sunday’s NBA DFS picks got off to a solid enough start, as Jayson Tatum ended up being a gem of a value pick with Jaylen Brown. Things went up in flames from there, as Ben Simmons wasn’t the stud I hope he’d be and values plays like Jordan Clarkson (8!) and J.J. Redick (15) failed miserably.

Lonzo Ball (22) was also a huge disappointment, while I also expected more out of RHJ (21). Terry Rozier (21) wasn’t awful, while Brook Lopez (45) was a total stud. LeBron James ended things with his usual 50 fantasy points, but he ultimately wasn’t the closing hammer I thought he’d be.

Overall, it wasn’t an elite lineup no matter where you played.

The aim is to turn things around on Monday, but it won’t be easy with another small four-game slate. You’ll have to pick your favorite stud and take some hard stands, but some early injury news could help open things up and make the entire process a little earlier. Regardless, here’s my favorite NBA DFS GPP team to use at FanDuel tonight:

PG: Damian Lillard – Portland Trail Blazers ($9.5k)

Russell Westbrook is the top point guard on this slate, but on such a small slate I want to attack the weak positions with the elite options. Fortunately, Russ is at risk of missing value in a potential blowout win over the Kings and there are viable options at point guard to drop down to.

My favorite might be Lillard, who will be at home and has just been insanely on fire lately. He’s topped 50+ fantasy points five times over his last 10 contests and 40+ eight times during that same span. Miami slow things down and defends well, but I like him to keep it going and get me over $2k in savings as an elite pivot away from Russ.

Chris Paul ($8.3k) is also in play, but with James Harden returning to the court and the defensive-minded Spurs coming to town, I’m less interested than I normally would be.

PG: Xavier Rathan-Mayes – Memphis Grizzlies ($3.6k)

Rathan-Mayes is a big dive, but he’s been getting run lately and could be in for 20-25 minutes with four Memphis point guards out for Monday. Blowout or not, Rathan-Mayes should have a role in tonight’s tilt with the Bucks and does not need to do much to pay off.

Obviously this is not an elite play, but if the minutes are there, it’s a logical one to be able to stack my roster in GPPs.

SG: James Harden – Houston Rockets ($11.2k)

Shooting guard is not fun tonight. Harden should be back from a one-game absence, and while a date with the Spurs isn’t ideal, I can’t envision myself fading him on such a weak (and small) slate.

C.J. McCollum and Khris Middleton are the only viable options below Harden, so I see this as a must. Fortunately, Harden has fared just fine (52 fantasy points per game) across two meetings with San Antonio this year.

I don’t think you always need to make a knee-jerk reaction based on position depth and value, but tonight I’m paying for at least one rock solid PG option.

SG: Kobi Simmons – Memphiz Grizzlies ($4k)

I’m sticking with the Grizz spares and using Simmons, who logged 36 minutes in his last contest. This is another guy who is far from an elite talent, but run means a lot in daily fantasy basketball and he’s safely topped 25+ minutes in each of his last four games.

Simmons has not proven to be an elite scorer thus far, but he’s showcased a fairly versatile skill-set. The Bucks do not provide you with a favorable matchup, but if Simmons is looking at 30+ minutes again, he’s going to be awfully tough to pass up.

SF: Giannis Antetokounmpo – Milwaukee Bucks ($11.9k)

The Greek Freak is one of my favorite studs to target on this slate. Memphis should slow things down and limit his upside some, but they also don’t have anyone that can actually stop him. Paul George is really the only other SF option you can turn to on this slate, too, so fading Giannis feels risky.

Antetokounmpo can go nuts in any matchup and he did drop 55 fantasy points against Memphis earlier this year. I think he can do it again and I don’t feel like paying for PG-13 on this slate, anyways.

SF: Corey Brewer – Oklahoma City Thunder ($3.8k)

Instead of PG-13, I’ll drop down to teammate Brewer, who is getting good run and currently is still too cheap to not use. Brewer is not an offensive dynamo, but he is capable of putting up points and racking up defensive stats.

Much like Kobi and Xavier, the idea here is you’re getting solid run with a guy who can potentially fill up the stat sheet. That’s been the case for Brewer lately, as he’s topped 23+ minutes in each of his last three games and 21+ fantasy points in two straight. The best part is you don’t even need to demand too much based on this super cheap price.

PF: Davis Bertans – San Antonio Spurs ($4.4k)

LaMarcus Aldridge has been ruled out for Monday’s tilt in Houston, so Bertans and other Spurs spares could be looking at big minutes. Bertans has been pretty reliable lately, topping 19.9+ fantasy points in each of his last five contests.

That isn’t eye-popping, but with Ridge sidelined, there should be more minutes and shots for Bertans. As long as he’s out there for 20-25 minutes, Bertans holds solid value at a pretty weak position.

Like some of these other positions, that’s precisely why I’m dropping down at power forward. With Aldridge out, JaMychal Green is the best option on the board. He’s obviously viable if you go a different route, but he’s also not invincible. I’d rather drop down at both PF slots and hope my picks pan out.

PF: Bam Adebayo – Miami Heat ($3.5k)

Hassan Whiteside is out for tonight’s tilt in Portland with the Blazers, which could lean to solid run for rookie big man, Bam Adebayo. This is still a risk just because the Blazers don’t always hand Jusuf Nurkic big minutes, but at the minimum, I can’t pass on the upside or value here.

I really don’t have a super convincing argument for rostering Bam. That being said, he is dirt cheap and Hassan being out does pave the way for him to crush this price tag.

C: Marc Gasol – Memphis Grizzlies ($7.8k)

Center admittedly is another spot where you could safely drop down, depending on who you like. The aforementioned Nurkic and even Pau Gasol can help you save a bit and still potentially return very nice value.

I don’t really love the odds of either panning out for me, however. Gasol, to me, is by far the top center play on this slate, so he makes sense to chase after if the rest of my roster allows it.

If you don’t love some of my value picks, it may make sense to fade Gasol and pay down at center and pay up elsewhere. For me, however, I do not like the deep value at center (I’d love it if Bam were there) and will just roll with Gasol.

Remember, this lineup doesn’t have to be the one you enter. Use my picks as needed and combine with your own picks, strategy and research. Of course, no matter what you do, I wish you luck in your daily fantasy basketball contests tonight!

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