My NBA DFS picks weren’t crippling on Wednesday. I didn’t pay up for a stud and several of them went off, while some of my intermediate picks just didn’t deliver. Devin Booker wasn’t nearly as good as I’d hoped, Brook Lopez came back down to reality and Zach Lavine was a sorry sack.
None of those guys panned out as expected, but Nemanja Bejlica was fantastic, Kemba Walker and Lonzo Ball were solid, Ben Simmons was worth targeting and Corey Brewer was a solid value play. It was a mixed bag on a crazy 11-game slate and in hindsight, it was a spot where I should have paired a couple of studs together.
That wasn’t my GPP strategy, but things change again on Wednesday when DFS gamers get just four games to work with. It’s still a very interesting slate, especially since there is a long list of injuries to account for.
Right off the bat, the likes of Kyrie Irving, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Jaylen Brown, Marcus Smart, Al Horford, Draymond Green, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, John Wall, Malcolm Brogdon and Brandon Ingram are all for sure out tonight. You will not want to roster these guys, while their absence could open things up for other studs or value picks.
In addition, keep an eye on the status of impact players like Aaron Gordon, Skal Labissiere and Evan Fournier. All of those guys are questionable and could easily end up opening up even more value.
Needless to say, you should be able to get a bunch of studs in your FanDuel lineup tonight and I’ll give you a finished roster that shows you just how stacked you can potentially make things on this slate:
PG: Lonzo Ball – Los Angeles Lakers ($7.3K)
I’m going back to the well with Ball, who was plenty solid (38.8 fantasy points) last night and gets an up tempo showdown with a severely banged up Warriors team tonight. Ball has been quite solid (38 fantasy points per game) across three meetings with Golden State and I don’t expect much to change here.
The only point guard priced over Ball that’s actually healthy is Eric Bledsoe. He could be popular due to a great matchup with the Magic, so I’ll just pivot to Lonzo, who offers better peripherals.
PG: Terry Rozier – Boston Celtics ($7.3k)
Again, you could use Bledsoe or consider dropping down with guys like Goran Dragic or others, but I want the volume assocated with Rozier. The Boston Celtics are even more banged up than the Warriors at the moment, with Kyrie Irving, Jaylen Brown and Marcus Smart all for sure out for tonight’s showdown with the Wizards.
Rozier should be a very busy guy and he’s shown in the past that he has triple-double upside. FanDuel is certainly pricing him for his big role, but he’s honestly probably still too cheap considering how bad point guard is on this slate. I’m curious to see if Bleddy would be a lower-owned pivot, but I’m not sure I can fade Rozier with such a nice role in front of him.
SG: Bradley Beal – Washington Wizards ($8.2k)
I’m not sure what this Celtics vs. Wizards game will look like when it’s all said and done, but for now Vegas likes it to stay close. That should mean you get a full game from Beal, who obviously has an enhanced role with John Wall down and he can also blast off at any moment.
Rostering Beal doesn’t ever feel that amazing, but he’s actually a good price tonight and shooting guard is awful. Khris Middleton is the only viable pivot here and he’s only $800 cheaper. I’m fine with just paying up and using him and hoping Middleton doesn’t erupt against Orlando.
SG: Wayne Ellington – Miami Heat ($4k)
I don’t have the cash to spend up at both shooting guard spots, but that is certainly something to think about. I’m not sure I need to, though, as Wayne Ellington logged 31 minutes in his last game and should be locked into a pretty good role with Dwyane Wade ruled out for tonight.
There isn’t a hard sell here for Ellington, other than the fact that he should play a good amount and he’s facing a bad Kings team. There is hope for 25-30 fantasy points here and at this cheap price, that’d be a huge win.
SF: Kevin Durant – Golden State Warriors ($10.5k)
Small forward is very top-heavy with KD and The Greek Freak. I obviously would love to stack the two together, but Giannis Antetnokounmpo is $1.5k more expensive and he spared me hard (just 30 fantasy points!) his last time out. I’m sure he destroys the Magic, but Durant is the guy you want.
KD represents way more value and his upside with Stephen Curry, Draymond Green and all Klay Thompson out is through the roof. Durant is going to hoist in this one and should play a ton. In a fast-paced clash with the Lakers, Durant is a must-play option tonight.
SF: Mario Hezonja – Orlando Magic ($4.8k)
I am flirting with the idea of forcing Giannis onto this team, but I’m going to hope that keeping things a little more balanced is the right move. Hezonja looks like a great way to try to do that, assuming Aaron Gordon (concussion) misses yet another game.
AG is going to need to sit out again for me to roll with Super Mario, but if that’s the case you’re looking at a versatile scorer with 28-32 minutes of floor time. Hezonja can do a little bit of everything, so as long as Gordon is out I love the value and upside combination here.
PF: Bam Adebayo – Miami Heat ($4.3k)
I’ve said the power forward position is trash in the past, but I feel like tonight is the first time that’s actually true. You can pay for a couple of L.A. bigs or hope Gordon suits up, but otherwise this position stinks and it’s one you may want to just punt.
Bam isn’t a full punt, but he’s dirt cheap for a guy who could log 25-30 minutes. Hassan Whiteside is out again, so Miami could call on his size as they take on a Kings team that does have a solid collection of bigs down low. He’s not the safest pay, but he’s cheap and can rack up stats quickly. Hopefully he sees close to 30 minutes tonight and can chase a double-double in a favorable matchup.
PF: Jonathan Isaac – Orlando Magic ($4.5k)
Again, if Aaron Gordon is out, there is value to be had in Orlando. I don’t exactly trust the Magic against a superior Bucks squad, but this is a small slate and you’re going to need to take some risks. Isaac should be looking at a start if AG sits and that makes him good for about 25 minutes of floor time.
That’s enough for me to pull the trigger at this price tag, especially since head coach Frank Vogel called for the rookie to be more aggressive. Hopefully he responds tonight with a big game.
C: Nikola Vucevic – Orlando Magic ($8.6k)
There is actually some solid value to consider at center tonight. I could go back to the Brook Lopez well, while Trill and Boston spares are all in the mix. Personally, I’m just going to pay for Vucevic, who is far and away the top center on this slate.
I’m curious if he’ll be lower owned just because a lot of people will balk at his price and/or want to pay up at both SG and SF spots. Paying up at even one PF spot probably lessens the chance of you wanting/getting Vucevic as well.
Overall, I like the idea of an elite option at low ownership and he obviously can wreck a Bucks team that is not strong inside the paint.
This looks like a pretty straight forward slate to me. I think the big stands will come on the obvious chalk plays (Durant, Rozier, etc) and whether or not you stack the top SFs and whether or not you decide to pay up at PF. I think my lineup takes hard stands in those areas and I’m down for eating said chalk.
Hopefully this roster gives you some insight for tonight’s action. Either way, I wish you luck in Wednesday night’s daily fantasy basketball contests at FanDuel!