FanDuel NBA Picks – March 4th

Yesterday was a mild success, as my elite trio with spares strategy almost paid off. Russell Westbrook was of course my only stud that had less than 62 fantasy points, but he still chipped in a nice 51. I don’t know what it is about this guy, but anytime I fade him he gets 70+ and when I use him he struggles to top 50.

Had Westbrook been his beastly self and Shabazz Napier not been a total sack (8 fantasy points), I could have really been onto something on Saturday.

My other value picks were pretty solid, as Davis Bertans (20 fantasy points) was by far the next worst pick. Ultimately, my roster did cash, as I doubled up in a $1 single entry at FanDuel.

I’ve been at least cashing a lot lately, so at least it’s easy to see some of my picks are working out. Hopefully they’re also helping you win at FanDuel as well.

It’s back to the grind for Sunday, which produces a nice six-game schedule on the main slate. Here’s the team I’m looking at currently for FanDuel GPPs:

PG: Emmanuel Mudiay – New York Knicks ($5.4k)

This is not a slate where I feel forced to pay up at point guard. Kemba Walker and Kyle Lowry are the top options and they tend to be a bit shaky. They’re facing each other in Toronto, too. Lowry could shut Walker down and games in Canada don’t typically stay close.

I’m probably fading that game if I can help it, while Mudiay seems to be locked into a nice role as New York’s starting point guard. He’s certainly been productive with a solid role, topping 21+ fantasy points in four straight games and erupting for 40 against Golden State recently.

He is not an efficient player, so he’s always going to be a risk. Luckily he’s a good price and faces a bad Kings team, so he shapes up as an awesome GPP option.

PG: Cory Joseph – Indiana Pacers ($4.7k)

There is little that I loathe more than confiding in Cojo, but he is always a fine try in tournaments due to his volatility. Fortunately he is also very cheap and has shown signs of life with 30+ fantasy points in three of his last five contests.

Joseph has an extremely low floor, but he logs a ton of minutes and Darren Collison has been ruled out for Sunday’s tilt in D.C. Logic suggests the Wiz will be more worried about stopping Victor Oladipo, which could give Joseph a sneaky role in this one.

SG: Bogdan Bogdanovic – Sacramento Kings ($5.7k)

Full disclosure, Bogdan is the last guy into my lineup tonight, so I’m not necessarily enthralled here, but don’t mind dropping him in. New York has given up and they no longer feed their best defender (Courtney Lee) regular minutes.

Insert Bogdanovic, who is part of Sacramento’s rebuild and continues to get solid run. He’s also been a fine producer, posting 21+ fantasy points in 11 of his last 12 games. He’s also topped 30+ fantasy points an impressive five times during that stretch.

The matchup isn’t bad and Bogdanovic is at home. Here’s to hoping he can catch fire and deliver on this price tag.

SG: D’Angelo Russell – Brooklyn Nets ($7.5k)

I don’t think the Nets win in Los Angeles tonight, but I do think they put up a lot of points in what should be a fast-paced contest. The spread isn’t horrific here, so using Nets is totally in play. I’m game for D’Lo, who may have it clicking again with 31+ fantasy points in four of his last five games.

Russell returns home to L.A. where he spent his first two years in the league. Russell knows this court and could be down for putting on a show for some of his old fans. I know he’s facing the Clippers and not the Lakers, but you get the idea.

The matchup is sublime here, as L.A. The Clips don’t really have a defensive stopper on the outside with Avery Bradley (groin) on the shelf, so there’s little to worry about here.

Shooting guard is probably one of the more loaded positions on the main slate, but I’m not paying $10k for Victor Oladipo and I think Russell can get me 40+ fantasy point. If that ends up being the reality, there’s no reason to force a pricier option in here.

SF: Giannis Antetokounmpo – Milwaukee Bucks ($11k)

The Greek Freak does not seem to possess the same upside as he did before Jabari Parker returned to Milwaukee’s lineup, but he did just drop 72 fantasy points on the Wizards three games ago. In an up tempo tilt with the 76ers at home, I’m willing to pay up and take my chances.

Small forward is not attractive on the main slate, so whether you also spend to get The Brow or not, I deem Giannis pretty necessary. Robert Covington could in theory slow The Greek Freak down, but he didn’t seem too bothered when he hung 64 fantasy points on Philly earlier this year.

SF: E’Twaun Moore – New Orleans Pelicans ($4.2k)

Moore is a very volatile option, but he gets loads of run and has a beatable matchup with a bad Mavericks team. That makes him a great GPP try and also helps me pair my two favorite studs in tonight’s FanDuel GPP lineup.

You’re not getting much else beyond scoring from Moore (if that), but he’s probably the best dive at the position. He wasn’t terrible (20 fantasy points) across two games with Dallas earlier this year, so here’s to hoping he can chip in a few more points in the third meeting.

PF: Anthony Davis – New Orleans Pelicans ($12.5k)

Not even The Greek Freak can match Davis right now, so I don’t see a way around paying up for him on this slate. He is very expensive, but this is a guy who has topped 81+ fantasy points four times in his last eight games.

On top of that, The Brow has a cakewalk matchup against a Dallas defense he’s averaged 31 actual points against across two previous meetings this year. Tack on his new role with DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) down for the count, and I can’t fade him.

PF: Jabari Parker – Milwaukee Bucks ($5k)

You could also make a case for using Ben Simmons tonight, but I think the gap between him and Davis is going to be quite large. I’ll aim high and drop down at the other PF slot with Parker, who is now cemented into a solid scoring role off the bench.

Parker’s still being capped below 30 minutes, but he’s been pretty efficient and is good for 25+ minutes right now. He’s got a positive matchup against the Sixers at home and could thrive in this one. The reality is he’s producing and climbing closer to 30+ minutes, yet his price still doesn’t reflect that.

C: Marcin Gortat – Washington Wizards ($4.1k)

I also like Jarrett Allen tonight and don’t see a reason to force a stud center into your lineup. Joel Embiid should be able to crush the Bucks, but I prefer to pair Giannis and The Brow. I can’t fit him in and need to take some dives, which leads me to a very cheap Gortat.

There is no getting around the fact that Gortat’s minutes have hit a wall. However, Washington still tends to play him quite a bit against teams with traditional bigs. Indiana has Myles Turner to work with down low, so I have to think you see a good amount of Gortat tonight.

Turner is not a tough defender, either, so if Gortat can hit the 24-minute mark he’s topped in four of his last five games, I really like the value here. Gortat has safely topped 23+ fantasy points three times in those situations, so using him at this price and hoping for around 30 fantasy points isn’t crazy.

Overall, I don’t mind painting myself into a corner by pairing Giannis and The Brow. They’re my two favorite studs on this slate and I think there is enough value to warrant making a bold move like that. Hopefully the presence of Oladipo, Simmons and Embiid will help lower their ownership. Either way, I love the upside of this tourney team.

If you like these picks or have your own ideas for tonight, feel free to comment below. Regardless, I wish you luck in your daily fantasy basketball contests tonight at FanDuel!

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