Last night wasn’t an amazing one for my NBA DFS picks. Lonzo Ball (20 fantasy points) was a total bust, Terry Rozier (29) was chalk you probably should have faded and a pivot to Myles Turner (18) off of my initial favorite center Jusuf Nurkic (39!) proved to be a huge gaffe.
I did have some solid picks, though. Blake Griffin (44) was an excellent intermediate value play, Devin Booker (37) bounced back from a weak performance and Kyle Kuzma (32) exceeded expectations. T.J. Warren wasn’t amazing (29), but he was fine enough for his price.
Overall, I could have done better and was letdown by Lonzo and Myles. It’s onward and upward heading into Tuesday night’s eight-game daily fantasy basketball main slate at FanDuel. Here’s tonight’s GPP lineup:
PG: Kemba Walker – Charlotte Hornets ($8.1k)
It feels weird vouching for Kemba Walker when Chris Paul is the same price, but I like him tonight at home against the 76ers. Walker dropped 31 actual points on Philly the last time he played them and he tends to play his best ball at home. He’s also in a nice groove with 43+ fantasy points in three of his last four games.
I don’t really want to pay up for guys like Russell Westbrook and Stephen Curry tonight. Curry has been pretty weak lately and the Warriors could house the Nets, while Russ gets CP3 defense.
None of that sounds ideal, so I’ll roll with Kemba. If I drop down, Rajon Rondo, Dennis Smith Jr. and Jamal Murray are all very attractive value picks at PG on Tuesday night’s NBA DFS slate.
PG: Austin Rivers – Los Angeles Clippers ($6.3k)
This feels like too much money for Rivers and you’ll want to look at the other point guard value plays I mentioned, but I actually love him here. Rivers is at home and gets to face the team that drafted him, while targeting the Pelicans’ awful defense has been a winning strategy for a while now.
Rivers just popped off for 27 actual points in his last game and he gets tons of run. In a great spot with revenge potentially driving him, I love his value and upside.
SG: James Harden – Houston Rockets ($11.4k)
You probably need to decide between Russ, The Brow and Harden tonight. I’m only playing one of that trio and the best value feels like Harden. OKC no longer has Andre Roberson to place on him defensively, while Harden is notorious for exacting payback on the team that drafted him and refused to pay him big money.
There is always going to be a chip there on Harden’s shoulder and it was as easy as ever to see when he last faced his former squad (68 fantasy points). I wouldn’t be shocked if he had an even bigger game, as this game being in Oklahoma City could allow it to be closer.
SG: Klay Thompson – Golden State Warriors ($6.5k)
This Warriors vs. Nets game is either going to be a ton of fun or it’s going to be an ugly blowout. One way or another, though, someone in Golden State is sounding off. Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant cost a bit too much for me right now, so for GPPs, I’m betting tonight is a Klay Thompson night.
Thompson worked Brooklyn to the tune of 44 fantasy points when he battled them earlier this year and the Nets offer zero defense along with a fast pace. This game is going to produce a ton of points and at this fine price, I’m willing to wager Thompson gets his fair share.
SF: Allen Crabbe – Brooklyn Nets ($4.9k)
Small forward is Kevin Durant, Paul George and everyone else. This is a very top-heavy position and I don’t really feel like spending here. Both KD and PG-13 are certainly viable, but Durant often hovers around 40-45 fantasy point and George can be a serious sack daddy.
That’s enough to get me to pay down, especially since I am paying up for Harden tonight.
I’m fine with Crabbe, who is getting 29+ minutes with the Nets on a regular basis and has the green light to launch from deep. In a high-octane battle with Golden State, that could be DFS gold. That was already the case the last time Crabbe faced the Dubs (38 fantasy points), so I’ll be hoping lightning strikes twice here.
SF: Justise Winslow – Miami Heat ($4.3k)
The potential return of Wayne Ellington could cool off my interest in Winslow, but Miami is finding him minutes right now and they should keep trying given his strong play of late. Winslow’s role could fluctuate, but he’s killing it currently with 28+ fantasy points in four of his last five games.
Winslow needs minutes to produce and he’s not a very reliable scorer, but his recent play should keep him plugged into a solid role tonight. Unless word comes out that he’s flat out not going to get the run we’ve been seeing, I’m willing to throw caution to the wind and hope his hot streak continues.
PF: Paul Millsap – Denver Nuggets ($6.1k)
I have very real interest in Anthony Davis just like everyone else, but he is $12.5k and hasn’t been worth that hefty price tag in three of his last four games. He’s probably due to erupt so I doubt I’ll pull a hard fade here, but for this team I think bypassing him could be a good strategy.
One reason I don’t think The Brow is necessary is the elite value at the power forward position tonight. That starts off with Thrillsap, who is already starting again for Denver and has logged 23+ minutes in each of his first three games back from a wrist injury.
Millsap could push for 30 minutes tonight in a plus matchup with a bad Dallas team. There is solid value to be had here and I also like Millsap’s upside due to his immense versatility.
PF: Frank Kaminsky – Charlotte Hornets ($4.4k)
There is more value to be had with Frank the Tank, who is already locked into a 20+ minute bench role, but could see that enhanced if Marvin Williams (migraine) sits out tonight. Kaminsky is a volatile guy who relies on scoring, but he’s already getting solid run and is a GPP flier regardless of what happens with Williams.
If Williams it out, though, Tank becomes a borderline must-use option and should be quite chalky. I’m fine with eating the chalk, as he topped 29 fantasy points the last time he faced Philly and he also tends to play slightly better at home. If he starts, everything could come together to make him one of the best value plays on Tuesday night’s NBA DFS slate.
C: DeAndre Jordan – Los Angeles Clippers ($7.9k)
I know a lot of people will want Anthony Davis tonight, but I think I prefer the guy playing against him. DJ has been really good for the Clippers lately, topping 38+ fantasy points in six of his last eight contests. His size, rebounding and defense will all be needed in this one, while we’ve already seen him succeed (36 fantasy points per game across two meetings) in this matchup this year.
New Orleans is a bad defensive team and one you’ll want to target in daily fantasy basketball lineups. Jordan being paired with Rivers (and possibly Lou Williams) is a great way to attack that obvious weakness.
I do think you need at least one stud on this slate. There are so many, as I didn’t even touch on Joel Embiid, Nikola Jokic, Ben Simmons or Damian Lillard. Going the balanced route could still get you in the green, but I think a couple of chances need to be taken tonight. I’m centering my GPP build around Harden and fading The Brow, so we’ll see where that gets me.
Love or hate my NBA DFS picks? Tell me your thoughts on tonight’s daily fantasy basketball lineup in the comments below!