I closed out last week with two NBA picks and went 1-1 on Friday. The good news is that snapped an ugly skid and I’m still a solid 18-11 on the year.
There was a bit of a rough patch there, but scoring a win with the Rockets on Friday put and end to it and moving forward the plan is to build a winning streak.
Monday supplies NBA bettors with a fun seven-game basketball betting schedule and there are a few viable directions to go in. My favorite, though, is undoubtedly the defending champs by 10 in Atlanta.
Let’s dive into why that’s one of the best bets to place for Monday night’s NBA action:
Golden State Warriors (-10, -115) @ Atlanta Hawks (+10, -105) Total: 236 (-115/-105)
The Dubs have lost two in a row and find themselves in what figures to be the perfect “get right” spot in Atlanta. They’ll take on the Hawks, who are just 3-7 on their home floor and 5-18 overall.
Trae Young will undoubtedly be up to play in a showdown with Stephen Curry, but the talent gap here is quite large. The Warriors remain one of the most explosive units in all of basketball and when they’re dialed in they’re still the best team in the NBA.
I would normally agree that a 10-point spread is a bit thick, but not when you’re talking about the Warriors – specifically in this matchup.
Golden State hasn’t been good against the spread this year, but there’s two good reason for that; some of their spreads have been egregious and they’ve had a lot of injuries. This one isn’t crazy, though, while Curry is back.
Draymond Green is still out, but I don’t see him as being absolutely necessary for the Dubs to win or do so rather easily.
Atlanta hasn’t been great ATS this year, either. They’re bad as a hole and just 3-6 ATS when regarded as the underdog at home.
The Hawks have two things working in their favor; they’re at home and they lead The Association in pace. That’d normally be good, but the Warriors can run with anyone. Their pace of play is also misleading this season, as the absence of Curry and Green in stretches has slowed them down a bit.
Curry is back on the floor and I don’t see him struggling in this matchup. The Warriors aren’t going to be the same defensively as long as Green is out, but they’re going to put up points and ultimately should run the Hawks out of their own building.
The Over is in play here, but there have been times over the years where you could confidently bet on Golden State at -15 or higher. This is one of those spots for me and the spread is obviously not where it should be.