Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Pick – NBA December 25, 2021

There are five games on the Christmas Day NBA schedule, with the Atlanta Hawks and New York Knicks getting us started at Madison Square Garden at noon eastern. The Dallas Mavericks and Utah Jazz are the late-night matchup at Vivint Arena.

The most attention-worthy games on Christmas have to be the Golden State Warriors, Phoenix Suns in the desert, and the Brooklyn Nets and Los Angeles Lakers at Arema. Yes, the Staples Center is no more, as the sponsorship name changes on Christmas Day.

Golden State had a 113-104 win over the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday night. That one played closer than the final score suggests. The Grizzlies and Warriors were all tied up near the 2-minute mark, and then Stephen Curry happened.

Curry scored 46 points on 8-14 shooting from downtown. He came through in the clutch to bury the Grizzlies and pulled away to advance to 26-6. The Warriors travel to Arizona to take first place back in the Western Conference.

Phoenix has a half-game advantage on the Warriors for the lead in the West. They are on a five-game winning streak, winning seven of their previous eight attempts. The Suns feel good at 26-5 and are healthy for Christmas.

Devin Booker missed a bit of time but made his return a few games back for a 137-106 win over the Charlotte Hornets. On Thursday, the Suns followed up with a 108-90 win over the Lakers and then 113-101 over the Thunder.

Beating OKC by 12 points doesn’t look like much; however, that could have easily been a look-ahead spot for the Suns. They avoided that and handled their business in a winnable matchup. Head below for our free Warriors vs. Suns pick on December 25, 2021.

Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Memphis Grizzlies +6 (-105) +210 Over 215.5 (-110)
Phoenix Suns -6 (-115) -250 Under 215.5 (-110)
Team Data Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns
Overall Record 26-6 26-5
ATS Record 20-10-2 17-14-0
Away/Home Record 10-4 15-2
ATS Away/Home 7-6-1 9-8-0
Points Per Game 111.5 111.8
Points Against Per Game 101.1 104.0
Field Goal % 47.2 47.7
Three Point % 36.7 36.5

Warriors vs. Suns Prediction:

The Warriors and Suns are both very good at what they do. There aren’t many faults to find in either team. The best is probably yet to come as far as Golden State is concerned.

They await the return of Klay Thompson, who is now expected back in January. It’s scary the depth Golden State will have when they’re equipped with Thompson on the floor.

However, going into Saturday night, the Warriors will not have their full complement of depth. It almost mattered against the Grizzlies, though the Warriors figured it out late.

If Curry is going to do this alone again, then a team like the Suns isn’t going to let them hang around as Memphis did. Andrew Wiggins, Damion Lee, and Jordan Poole are in health and safety protocol.

Andre Iguodala is TBD with knee soreness, and James Wiseman is on the shelf with a meniscus tear. The Suns were without Booker recently, but he’s back in the lineup.

He and Deandre Ayton have the Suns playing at a high level. When they’re on the court together, it puts a lot of stress on opposing teams to worry about playing fundamentally sound defense.

Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Trends:


  • 1-4-1 ATS in their previous six games on the road
  • 5-12 ATS in their previous 17 games as an underdog on the road
  • 2-5-1 ATS in their previous eight games after a win
  • 11-4-1 ATS in their previous 16 games on one-day rest
  • 7-3 ATS in their previous ten games as an underdog


  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games as a betting favorite
  • 13-5 ATS in their previous 18 games on one-day rest
  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games in Phoenix
  • 10-0 overall in their previous ten games in Phoenix

The Suns are formidable on both ends of the floor. They are 3rd with 111.8 points per game, with that number going up to 113.5 points per game at home.

Phoenix can also bang on defense if they need to push opponents around. Phoenix has conceded an impressive 102.7 points against per game at home.

Against a fully-bodied Golden State squad, the Suns might have trouble in this one. However, they are not healthy and are missing guys for this important game.

Expect this matchup to play close for the first half, but the healthier Suns should pull away in the 4th quarter. Ayton is likely in for a big afternoon in the Bay Area.

Curry can only do so much, and he won’t be able to do it all versus a talented Suns team with depth. It was fine against Memphis, but not in Phoenix. I like the Suns in a 111-102 game on Christmas.


Warriors vs. Suns Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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