Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks – NBA February 22nd

8:30 p.m. ET – Memphis at Dallas (-5) O/U: 232.5

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Memphis Grizzlies +5 (-110) +180 O 232½ (-115)
Dallas Mavericks -5 (-110) -220 U 232½ (-105)

The 13-13 Grizzlies travel to American Airlines Center in Dallas on Monday night to take on the 13-15 Mavericks. Memphis was unable to get out of the gate on Saturday night, trailing the Suns by 31 points at halftime, which also was ultimately the final point differential. The Grizzlies scored just 97 points, marking their lowest point total since Jan. 7. Dallas lost 121-118 to the Trail Blazers on Sunday despite Luka Doncic’s 44-point outburst on 14-of-20 shooting from the field. The Mavericks were unable to contain Portland’s offense, allowing them to shoot 52 percent from the field.

Memphis Grizzlies Logo 101x101The Grizzlies are led by reigning NBA Rookie of the Year Ja Morant, who is averaging 18.9 points and 7.8 assists per game. Memphis will be without guard Dillion Brooks (thigh) on Monday night. Brooks is averaging 15.8 points per game this season so others will have to step up in his absence. Brooks also has excelled as the Grizzlies’ best backcourt defender this season.

Dallas Mavericks LogoThe Mavericks are led by the mercurial Doncic, who not only is the league’s fifth-highest scorer with an average of 29.1 points per game but also leads the team with 9.4 assists and 8.6 rebounds per game. Doncic has scored over 40 points in his last two games, so expect him to be the main focus of the Memphis defense, making his player prop of over 9.5 assists worth a bet as he likely will be more than willing to set up others when he inevitably is double-teamed.

Please Note:
These two teams are a combined 6-14 against the spread in their last 20 games combined. It is difficult to back either of these teams due to the inconsistency displayed from both sides over the past month. Fortunately, there is a ton of value in betting the Over/Under in this game – specifically in wagering on the Over of 232.5 points. Dallas and Memphis’ Overs have been hitting with stunning regularity. The two teams boast a combined record of 15-4-1 over the last 20 games when it comes to hitting the Over. Games that have featured the Grizzlies as underdogs this season have gone Over 11 out of 15 times. On the flip side, games with the Mavericks favored have gone Over 12 of 17 times. There is no need overthink this game. Take the Over in a contest that features two explosive offenses as well as a pair of struggling defenses.
The Bets
Over 232½

*Odds courtesy of MyBookie

Bonus Pick: Luka Doncic Over 9.5 assists available at Bovada!
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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.