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Grizzlies vs Sun NBA Pick – Jan 6th

Well, I suppose if you are going to take a loss, it might as well be a BIG one.  Assuming that’s true, both me and the Golden State Warriors are going to have to shake off last night’s blitzing by the Los Angeles Clippers.  Perhaps it was some lingering resentment over the way the Golden State benched clowned Blake Griffin after his errant three-pointer hit the side of the backboard in last week’s blowout loss, perhaps it was just a really good team hitting EVERYTHING they threw up at the rim.

The Clippers shot over 60% through three quarters, before clearing the bench (and I mean the bench-bench, it was walk-on time) and scoring just 12 points in the 4th quarter en route to a 115-89 win.   They led 67-43 at halftime, and the shooting discrepancy in the first half was 62% to 31%!

Whatever the reason, it was ugly – fortunately whether you lose by one or one million, it’s only one L in the standing (or wagering ledger)….

Let’s move on to brighter days ahead and find a few winners for Sunday’s NBA slate.

Memphis Grizzlies -5 at Phoenix Suns (Total: 194)

The Grizzlies have been in an absolute freefall, and hope that a matchup against the struggling Suns can help cure what ails them.  Memphis has dropped four of their last six, including a home loss to Portland two nights ago.  With the Clippers hitting the gas pedal the last month, and the Spurs and Thunder well ahead, it seems like Memphis is playing for fourth place in the West at best.

There is a decent chance that Zack Randolph won’t be able to suit up tonight as well.  I recommend getting your wager in early on this game, as the line will tighten if he is officially scratched.  Even with him, I like Phoenix in this game.  The Grizz have dropped 12 of 14 on the road, and have looked pretty poor in the process.  Phoenix isn’t world beaters by any stretch, but they have been serviceable at home (10-8 this season).

Phoenix has also played Memphis tough the last few years, winning three of the last five, and forcing overtime in another before falling.  They are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five matchups with Memphis and a perfect 3-0 ATS at home.

Point differential stats indicate this line is too small, and that Memphis should win easily.  However, those stats don’t look at recent play and how teams have fared against each other head to head.  If you take a look at those trends and stats, it would be possible to make an argument Phoenix should be the slight favorite tonight.  They aren’t.  They are getting five.  Take ‘em and smile.

Free Pick:  Phoenix Suns +5