Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Pick – Game 3

The NBA is set up with another great slate of playoff basketball on April 21. Three games are up on the board throughout Thursday night. One of these games will be between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Minnesota Timberwolves. These two teams have started this series off strong and will look for a pivotal win in this one. This game will tip off at around 7:30 PM Eastern time on TNT.

Memphis finished the regular season with a record of 56-26, which had them grab the second seed in the Western Conference. The Grizzlies split the first two games of this series at home after a bit of a rough patch to end the season. Memphis will look to regain home court advantage with a win on the road. I expect the Grizzlies to come out fast in this one.

The Timberwolves put up a record of 46-36 throughout the regular season, which had them in seventh place of the Western Conference. Minnesota knocked off the Los Angeles Clippers in the play-in tournament for the seventh seed and carried that momentum into Game 1. The Timberwolves will look to stay hot as this series shifts home for them.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a pivotal win in Game 3.

The Grizzlies are coming off a big win in Game 2 of this series and will look to stay hot early in this one. Minnesota will look to get their home fans into it early. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Money Line Total
Memphis Grizzlies -1 ½ (-110) -125 Over 236 ½ (-110)
Minnesota Timberwolves +1 ½ (-110) +105 Under 236 ½ (-110)
Rank
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Team Data Memphis Grizzlies Minnesota Timberwolves
Playoff Record 1-1 1-1
Away/ Home Playoff Record 0-0 0-0
Playoff PPG 120.5 113.0
Playoff PPG Away/ Home
Playoff PAPG 113.0 120.5
Playoff PAPG Away/ Home

Memphis Grizzlies and Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Trends

Memphis Grizzlies

  • 52-30 ATS this season
  • 33-20 ATS as a favorite
  • 24-15 ATS in road games
  • 3-3 ATS in April
  • 10-9 ATS against Northwest division
  • 1-1 ATS in Playoffs
  • 8-5 ATS after allowing 100 points or less
  • 19-13 ATS after a win by 10 or more points
  • 23-14 ATS against team with a winning record

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • 47-38 ATS this season
  • 20-21 ATS as an underdog
  • 24-18 ATS in home games
  • 3-5 ATS in April
  • 11-9 ATS against Southwest division
  • 2-1 ATS in Playoffs
  • 13-8 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more
  • 5-5 ATS after scoring 100 points or less
  • 26-19 ATS against team with a winning record

These two teams met up in Game 1 on April 16. Ja Morant dropped 32 points and 8 assists, but it was not enough for the Grizzlies. Anthony Edwards put up 36 points, while Karl-Anthony Towns had 29 points and 13 rebounds as Minnesota won 130-117. Game 2 was on April 19 in Memphis. Morant scored 23 points and 10 assists as the Grizzlies bounced back with a 124-96 win.

Field Goal Shooting

The Grizzlies have been solid shooting the ball in the postseason. Memphis has made 46.6 percent of their shots from the field, which is 7th in the playoffs. The Grizzlies have shot 29.5 percent from deep, which is 13th in the NBA. Memphis has drained 76 percent of their shots from the free throw line, which is 13th in the league.

Minnesota has also been solid shooting the ball in the playoffs. The Timberwolves have been shooting 45.2 percent from the field, which is 10th in the NBA. Minnesota has made 34.2 percent of their shots from behind the arc, which is 11th in the league. The Timberwolves have sunk 89.1 percent of their shots from the charity stripe, which is 2nd in the playoffs.

These two teams will look to shoot better in this one. Memphis has been the better team from the field, but the Timberwolves are better from deep and the free throw line. The Grizzlies defense stepped up in Game 2 and will look to do so again in Game 3. Memphis will also need to shoot better from deep. If either team can hit shots early, it could give them the momentum for the win.

Top Performers

Ja Morant has been great for Memphis early in the playoffs. Morant has averaged 27.5 points and 9 assists per game. Desmond Bane and Dillon Brooks are both averaging 16.5 points per game. Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 14 points. Brandon Clarke and Xavier Tillman Sr. are both averaging 13 points per game to round out the lineup.

Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns have both been strong for the Timberwolves so far. Edwards is averaging 28 points per game this series. Towns has averaged 22 points and 12 rebounds per game. Malik Beasley is averaging 15 points off the bench in the playoffs. D’Angelo Russell has averaged 10.5 points per game to round out the lineup.

These two teams have been led by their stars in this series. Minnesota is still look for Russell to step up after a rough start to the series. The Grizzlies have not had much production from De’Anthony Melton in this series after he averaged 10.8 points per game in the regular season. Both teams will look for some players to step up early in this one.

Pick Overview

These two teams split the first two games of this series and will look to grab a pivotal win in Game 3. The Grizzlies found their groove in Game 2 and rode it to a dominant win. I think Memphis can carry that momentum on the road in this matchup. The Grizzlies were the two seed in the West for a reason. If Memphis can come out fast again, I think they can gain the series lead.

Bovada has the Grizzlies listed as a -1 ½ against the spread in this one.

This gives a slight edge to Memphis on the road in this one. I think that this line should be a bit bigger with the Grizzlies being the better team on the season. I think Memphis will look to step up early in this one on the road. As slight favorites, I like the value on the Grizzlies to take a 2-1 series lead.

The Bet
Memphis Grizzlies -1.5
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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