Heat vs. Bucks Pick NBA – January 29th

NBA All Star reserves were announced today, and it’s hard to quibble with too many of the selections. The Warriors were rewarded for their unprecedented team success with a third All Star, Klay Thompson, whose numbers one could argue with, but hard to fault the inclusion of a third Warriors. Damian Lillard was probably the casualty of Thompson’s inclusion, and one could make an argument for either player intelligently, but I think the coaches did the correct thing.

Some were wondering why the East leading Cavs didn’t get the same respect. Only LeBron will represent the Cavs in Toronto, but can we all just be bluntly honest here – Kevin Love doesn’t DESERVE to be an All Star. He hasn’t been an All Star since he left Minnesota. And Kyrie Irving missed way too many games to get the nod ahead of the more deserving John Wall and Isaiah Thomas.

On a sad note, this will be the first All Star Game without Tim Duncan or Dirk Nowitski in nearly TWO DECADES. It’s been an amazing run of greatness, and I have a feeling both will be getting the Kobe treatment sometime in the next year or two…

On to more pressing matters – notching a winner to start the weekend.

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Today’s Free Pick:

Miami Heat -1.5 at Milwaukee Bucks

The Heat are the better team in 2015-2016. At least I am pretty sure they are. But the play over the last three weeks certainly doesn’t indicate it. Miami is just 3-7 over the last ten games as they’ve battled a barrage of injuries. Surpringly, it isn’t the vets that are ailing. Dwyane Wade has been playing superbly. It is Goran Dragic and Hassan Whiteside who haven’t been able to answer the bell. Dragic is expected to return tonight, but Whiteside and his rim protection will still be absent.

Milwaukee, in addition to playing better basketball over the last three weeks than Miami, has also owned them straight up, winning every matchup over the past two seasons. They will look to make it six straight tonight in Milwaukee. The Bucks are a stunningly BAD road team at 7-21. But they are prett good at home at 13-6, especially compared to the Heat’s losing mark.

Milwaukee is 6-3 ATS in their last nine games and is 8-3-1 ATS at home. Miami is just 2-4 ATS in their last six and has lost seven of ten straight up. Yes, they get one key piece back in the lineup tonight with Dragic, but I don’t think it will be enough to snap a streak against a team that has really had their number.

I’ll take the Bucks and the slim point and a half at home.

Free Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +1.5