Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics NBA Pick – Game 4

The NBA is set up with another great slate of basketball on Monday. The Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics will meet in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals. These two teams have been strong throughout this series and will look for a big win in this one. This game will tip off at around 8:30 PM Eastern time on ABC.

Miami has earned a record of 10-4 throughout the playoffs as the top seed in the Eastern Conference. The Heat eliminated the Atlanta Hawks and the Philadelphia 76ers to reach the Conference Finals. Miami has jumped out to an early lead in this series as well. The Heat will look to take a stranglehold on this series with another win on the road.

The Celtics have put up a record of 9-5 so far this postseason after earning the second seed in the Eastern Conference. Boston knocked off the Brooklyn Nets and the Milwaukee Bucks in the first and second round. The Celtics will look for a quick start as they try to tie this series up. Boston will look to get their home crowd into this one early.

These two teams have been strong throughout the postseason and will look for a big win in this one. The Heat have taken the 2-1 series lead after a big win in Game 3 and will look to build on it. Boston will look to tie up the series once again though. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win on Monday night.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Miami Heat +6 ½ (-110) +220 Over 208 (-110)
Boston Celtics -6 ½ (-110) -280 Under 208 (-110)
Team Data Miami Heat Boston Celtics
Playoff Record 10-4 9-5
Away/ Home Playoff Record 3-3 4-3
Playoff PPG 107.6 109.3
Playoff PPG Away/ Home 102.5 106.6
Playoff PAPG 100.6 103.5
Playoff PAPG Away/ Home 100.8 101.1

Betting Trends

Miami Heat

  • 55-39 ATS this season
  • 19-6 ATS as an underdog
  • 28-18 ATS in road games
  • 15-12 ATS against Atlantic division
  • 9-5 ATS in Playoffs
  • 4-5 ATS when leading in series
  • 11-4 ATS off an upset win as an underdog
  • 29-18 ATS after allowing 105 points or less
  • 34-23 ATS against team with a winning record

Boston Celtics

  • 52-40 ATS this season
  • 34-31 ATS as a favorite
  • 22-24 ATS in home games
  • 11-10 ATS against Southeast division
  • 8-5 ATS in Playoffs
  • 4-0 ATS when trailing in series
  • 13-5 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite
  • 32-18 ATS against team with a winning record

These two teams have met in an exciting three game series so far. Jimmy Butler scored 41 points and 9 rebounds in the first game, while Tyler Herro added 18 points in a 118-107 win for Miami. Jayson Tatum put up 27 points in Game 2 as the Celtics bounced back with a 127-102 win. Bam Adebayo dropped 31 points and 10 rebounds in Game 3 as the Heat won 109-103.

Field Goal Shooting

The Heat have been solid shooting the ball in the playoffs. Miami has made 46.5 percent of their shots from the field, which is 2nd in the remaining field of 4. The Heat have been shooting 32.1 percent from deep, which is 4th in the postseason. Miami has drained 80.7 percent of their shots from the free throw line, which is 1st in the playoffs.

Boston has also been solid shooting the ball in the postseason. The Celtics have shot 46 percent from the field, which is 3rd in the remaining field. Boston has made 37.7 percent of their shots from behind the arc, which is 3rd in the playoffs. The Celtics have sunk 80.4 percent of their shots from the charity stripe, which is 2nd in the postseason.

These two teams have been solid shooting the ball throughout the playoffs and will look for a big win in this one. Miami has been the better team from the field and free throw line, but the Celtics have the edge from deep. Both teams have been very strong on defense as well in the playoffs. If either team can come out shooting quickly, it could be enough for the win.

Top Performers

Jimmy Butler has been great for Miami throughout this postseason run. Butler has averaged 28.1 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. Bam Adebayo is averaging 14.9 points and 7.7 rebounds. Tyler Herro has averaged 13.5 points, while Max Strus is averaging 12.2 points per game. Victor Oladipo has averaged 10.5 points to round out the lineup.

Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown have both been great for the Celtics in the playoffs. Tatum is averaging 26.9 points per game. Brown has averaged 23.7 points and 7.1 rebounds per game, while Marcus Smart is averaging 15.8 points and 6.8 assists. Al Horford has averaged 13.3 points and 9.2 rebounds per game. Grant Williams rounds out the lineup, averaging 11.2 points.

These two teams have been led by their stars throughout this postseason. Butler is dealing with an injury, but is expected to play in Game 4. His minutes could be limited though and Boston could take advantage. The Celtics will look for some players to step up early in this one. If either team can have some players step up quickly in this one, it could lead their team to the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win on Monday night. The Heat have been solid throughout this series and will look to take a big 3-1 series lead. I think Boston will bounce back at home though. The Celtics have been great after a loss all postseason. If Boston can grab the early lead in this one, I think they can control Game 4.

Bovada has the Celtics listed as a -6 ½ against the spread in this one. This gives a slight edge to Boston on the road in this one. I agree with this line as Miami has some injury concerns and the Celtics are at home. Boston is undefeated when down a game in the playoffs. I think the Celtics can keep that trend going with a big win in this one.

The Bet
Boston Celtics -6.5
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.