Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics NBA Pick – Game 6

The NBA is set up with another strong slate of basketball on Friday night. The Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics will meet up in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals on May 27. These two teams have met in a great series so far and will look for a huge win in this one. This game will tip off at around 8:30 PM Eastern time on ESPN.

Miami has earned a record of 10-6 throughout this postseason as the top seed in the Eastern Conference. The Heat eliminated the Atlanta Hawks and Philadelphia 76ers to reach the Conference Finals. Miami has dropped the last two games of this series to fall behind. The Heat will look to come out fast on the road to force a Game 7.

The Celtics have put up a record of 11-5 so far in the playoffs as the second seed in the Eastern Conference. Boston knocked off the Brooklyn Nets and the Milwaukee Bucks in the first two rounds. The Celtics have been strong the last two games and are now one game away from the NBA Finals. Boston will look to step up early at home as they eye a spot in the NBA Finals.

These two teams have been strong throughout this postseason and will look for a big win in this one. The Heat have been great throughout the postseason, but have struggled in their last two games. Boston will look to continue to attack as they look to finish this series out. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Miami Heat +8 ½ (-110) +310 Over 201 (-110)
Boston Celtics -8 ½ (-110) -415 Under 201 (-110)
Team Data Miami Heat Boston Celtics
Playoff Record 10-6 11-5
Away/ Home Playoff Record 3-4 5-3
Playoff PPG 104.3 107.8
Playoff PPG Away/ Home 99.6 106.0
Playoff PAPG 100.3 100.7
Playoff PAPG Away/ Home 101.0 98.8

Betting Trends

Miami Heat

  • 55-41 ATS this season
  • 19-8 ATS as an underdog
  • 28-19 ATS in road games
  • 8-4 ATS on Friday nights
  • 15-14 ATS against Atlantic division
  • 9-7 ATS in Playoffs
  • 0-0 ATS when trailing in series
  • 23-11 ATS after allowing 100 points or less
  • 12-6 ATS after a win by 10 or more points
  • 12-8 ATS after scoring 100 or less points
  • 34-25 ATS against team with a winning record

Boston Celtics

  • 54-40 ATS this season
  • 36-31 ATS as a favorite
  • 23-24 ATS in home games
  • 7-9 ATS on Friday nights
  • 13-10 ATS against Southeast division
  • 10-5 ATS in Playoffs
  • 3-0 ATS when leading in series
  • 21-11 ATS after allowing 100 or less points
  • 17-19 ATS after a win by 10 points or more
  • 11-5 ATS after scoring 100 points or more
  • 34-18 ATS against team with a winning record

These two teams have met in an exciting five games. Jimmy Butler scored 41 points in the first game as the Heat earned a 118-107 win. Jayson Tatum put up 27 points in Game 2 as Boston won 127-102. Bam Adebayo dropped 31 points and 10 rebounds as Miami earned a 109-103 win. Jayson Tatum finished with 31 points and 22 points in Game’s 4 and 5 as the Celtics won 102-82 and 93-80.

Field Goal Shooting

The Heat have been struggling shooting the ball in the playoffs a bit. Miami has made 44.6 percent of their shots from the field, which is 3rd in the field of 3. The Heat have been shooting 31.2 percent from behind the arc, which is also 3rd in the postseason. Miami has sunk 80.2 percent of their shots from the charity stripe, which is 2nd in the playoffs.

Boston has been solid shooting the ball in the postseason. The Celtics have shot 45.7 percent from the field, which is 2nd in the remaining field. Boston has made 36.5 percent of their shots from deep, which is 2nd in the playoffs. The Celtics have drained 80.4 percent of their shots from the free throw line, which is 1st in the postseason.

These two teams have been strong on defense throughout these playoffs and it has shown the last two games. Boston’s defense has stepped up big time on defense and will look to keep it going at home. Miami will look to come out stronger on offense with their backs against the wall. If either team can shoot well early, it could be enough for the win.

Top Performers

Jimmy Butler has been the leader for Miami throughout these playoffs. Butler has averaged 25.6 points and 7.1 rebounds per game. Bam Adebayo is averaging 14.7 points and 7.8 rebounds. Tyler Herro has averaged 13.5 points per game off the bench, while Max Strus is averaging 10.9 points. Victor Oladipo has averaged 10.8 points to round out the lineup.

Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown have been strong for the Celtics in the postseason. Tatum is averaging 26.9 points per game. Brown has averaged 23.1 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. Marcus Smart is averaging 15 points and 6.9 assists, while Al Horford has averaged 12.9 points and 9.3 rebounds per game. Grant Williams rounds out the lineup, averaging 10.6 points per game.

These two teams have been led by their stars throughout this postseason. Butler has been dealing with an injury and has struggled the last few games. Herro is listed as questionable after missing the last two games. Tatum and Brown will look to continue to take over at home. If either team can have some players step up early, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams will meet in a pivotal Game 6 on Friday night. Boston has won the last two games of this series and will look to finish it off at home. The Celtics are the healthier team right now and I think they can get it done. Boston has been better shooting the ball and have the better depth with Herro potentially out. If the Celtics can come out fast, I think they can earn the win.

Bovada has Boston listed as a -8 ½ against the spread in this one. This gives a solid edge to the Celtics at home in this one. I agree with this line as Boston’s defense has been strong recently and Miami is dealing with some injury concerns. If the Celtics can come out fast at home, I like the value on them to cover the spread and book a spot in the NBA Finals.

The Bet
Boston Celtics -8.5
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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