Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors NBA Pick – April 3

The NBA is set up with a solid slate of basketball on April 3. Twelve games are up on the board throughout Sunday. One of these games will be between the Miami Heat and the Toronto Raptors. These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will tip off at around 7:00 PM Eastern time.

Miami has earned a record of 50-28 so far this season, which has them in first place of the Eastern Conference. The Heat have won three games in a row, but have lost four of their last seven. Miami has a one and a half game lead on the second seed. The Heat will look to widen that gap with a big win on the road on Sunday night.

The Raptors have put up a record of 45-32 throughout this season, which has them in fifth place of the Eastern Conference. Toronto has won five games in a row and eleven of their last thirteen. The Raptors are two games back on the fourth spot in the Conference. Toronto will look to come out strong at home in this one.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look to grab a pivotal win in this one. The Heat are coming off a win on Saturday night and will look to avoid a slow start in this one. Toronto has been on a roll as of late and will look to get going early in this one. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Miami Heat +3 (-110) Over 212 ½ (-110)
Toronto Raptors -3 (-110) Under 212 ½ (-110)

 

Team Data Miami Heat Toronto Raptors
Overall Record 50-28 45-32
Away/ Home Record 23-16 21-16
PPG 109.3 109.3
PPG Away/ Home 108.7 110.5
PAPG 105.1 106.8
PAPG Away/ Home 105.2 106.1

Betting Trends

Miami Heat

  • 43-33 ATS this season
  • 15-5 ATS as an underdog
  • 24-14 ATS in road games
  • 1-0 ATS in April
  • 1-3 ATS on Sunday
  • 5-8 ATS when playing on back to back days
  • 8-9 ATS against Atlantic division
  • 14-13 ATS after a win by 10 or more points
  • 8-9 ATS after three or more straight wins
  • 22-18 ATS against team with a winning record

Toronto Raptors

  • 43-33 ATS this season
  • 24-17 ATS as a favorite
  • 18-18 ATS in home games
  • 1-0 ATS in April
  • 3-7 ATS on Sunday
  • 10-6 ATS against Southeast division
  • 7-13 ATS after allowing 100 points or less
  • 11-12 ATS after a win by 10 or more points
  • 27-14 ATS against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up three times on the season. Jimmy Butler dropped 19 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists in the first game as Miami earned a 104-99 win. Gary Trent Jr. scored 33 points in the second meeting to lead the Raptors to a 124-120 win. Trent Jr. put up 33 points again in the third matchup as Toronto won 110-106.

Field Goal Shooting

The Heat have been solid shooting the ball on the season. Miami has made 46.4 percent of their shots from the field, which is 14th in the NBA. The Heat have been shooting 37.4 percent from behind the arc, which is 1st in the league. Miami has drained 81 percent of their shots from the free throw line, which is 5th in the NBA.

Toronto has struggled a bit shooting the ball throughout the season. The Raptors have made 44.5 percent of their shots from the field, which is 25th in the league. Toronto has shot 35.1 percent from deep, which is 16th in the NBA. The Raptors have sunk 75.6 percent of their shots from the charity stripe, which is 24th in the league.

Miami has been better shooting the ball on the season and have the edge on defense. The Heat have held their opponents to a 44.5 percent from the field, which is 4th in the league. The Raptors have allowed opposing teams to make 46 percent of their shots from the field, which is 17th in the NBA. Both teams will look for their defenses to step up in this one.

Top Performers

Jimmy Butler and Tyler Hero have been the leaders for Miami on the season. Butler has averaged 21.3 points per game. Herro is averaging 20.6 points per game. Bam Adebayo has averaged 19 points and 10.2 rebounds per game. Kyle Lowry is averaging 13.3 points and 7.6 assists. Duncan Robinson has averaged 11 points, while Max Strus is averaging 10.4 points per game to round out the lineup.

Pascal Siakam and Fred VanVleet have been strong for the Raptors. Siakam is averaging 22.3 points and 8.4 rebounds per game. VanVleet has averaged 20.3 points and 6.6 assists per game. Gary Trent Jr. is averaging 18.1 points, while OG Anunoby has averaged 17.3 points per game. Scottie Barnes rounds out the lineup, averaging 15.4 points per game.

These two teams have been led by their stars throughout this season. Max Strus is questionable in this matchup. The Heat are coming off a strong performance on Saturday night and will look to come out quickly in this one. Toronto will look for their own stars to step up with the extra rest. If either team can grab the early lead, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams are in the middle of an exciting Eastern Conference playoff race and will look for a big win in this one. The Heat have lost their last two games against Toronto and will look for a big win in this one. Miami is coming off a win on Saturday and I think they will build on it early in this one. If the Heat can come out fast, I like their chances to keep this game close.

Bovada has the Raptors listed as a -3 against the spread in this matchup. This gives a slight edge to Toronto at home in this one. I think that this line should be closer to even with Miami being the better team on the season. The Heat will look to avoid a slow start in this matchup. As underdogs in this one, I like the value on Miami with the points.

The Bet
Miami Heat +3
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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