Hornets vs. Nuggets Pick – March 4th

The Hornets have been one on the worst road road teams in the NBA since the calendar turned to 2017, but they have won two of their last four on the road.  Can they get another tonight in the Denver altitude??

What a crazy night in the NBA!

Russell Westbrook recorded his 25th game with at least a 30/10/10 stat line this season, already only the second player in the NBA to record twenty such games since 1988-1989 (Michael Jordan).  The odd thing is that this one was again in a losing effort as the Thunder fell to the Suns 118-111.   Elsewhere the Cavs broke a record that just seems to be getting broken over and over lately, dropping an NBA-record 25 three-pointers in a 135-130 win over the Atlanta Hawks.  Even though the Hawks lost at home, it’d be hard to argue you didn’t get your money’s worth last night if you had a ticket to that craziness…

Even without Joel Embiid (and Ben Simons, and, and, and…) the Sixers continue to be pesky at home – particularly to the New York Knicks.  The Sixers got ‘em again last night in a 105-102 win that means little in the broader scope of the 2017 season, but is a fun reminder that things are getting close to interesting in the city of Brotherly Love…

It’s a good Saturday of action, highlighted by The King’s visit to Miami, his former home, with the Heat furiously trying to cap off a playoff comeback, the Grizzlies at the Rockets and the ABC showdown between the Clippers and the Bulls (ok, that last one is only good because of the Little John promos…)

Let’s get after it!

Today’s NBA Pick:

Charlotte Hornets at Denver Nuggets -5

The Hornets have been bad on the road this season at just 10-22 straight up, and those road woes are a big part of why their once-promising season now headed towards Lottery ping-pong balls.  Meanwhile, Denver, a generous beneficiary of the top-heavy West, is in solid playoff position despite being five games UNDER .500.  They ARE winning at home, 16-13 SU and 15-14 ATS.  Charlotte is 13-17-1 ATS on the road this season.

Denver is 6-4 over their last ten, and Charlotte has stabilized somewhat at 4-6 SU in their last ten contests.  The edge today is situational: Denver is pretty good at home when they are supposed to be, posting an eighth best 12-9 ATS at home as the favorite.

They are 2-14 SU in their last 16 road games, and the two wins, while recent, are at the Lakers and at the Kings immediately P.B. (post-Boogie).  They’re a BAD road team, and Denver is a decent home team with a lot to play for these final weeks of the regular season.

I’ll take the Nuggets to handle their business at home and get the win and the relatively narrow cover.  The Hornets are poor on the road, and somewhat less-obvious, but equally important, this is their FIFTH STRAIGHT road game.  That’s a great recipe for a clunker.

Today’s Pick:  Denver Nuggets -5