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Jazz vs. Grizzlies Pick NBA – March 4th

Another big challenge. Another dominant late performance.

The Warriors passed yet another test and are beginning to shift the conversation from “can they possibly equal the Bulls” to “how is this record NOT falling.” They moved to 55-5 last night, and even with two trips to San Antonio remaining, only need to go 18-4, a substantially lower pace than they are currently on, to become part of history. Their perfect 26-0 record is impressive. What is even more impressive is that they have MORE home game remaining than any team in the NBA with 15 of their final 22 games coming at the Roaricle.

I DO think they will get two good series in the postseason. But for now, the best regular season record in NBA history feels more than inevitable….

Friday’s are usually pretty good nights in the NBA, and tonight has a few good matchups, though nothing that flies off the page. The Pacers try to snap their struggles against the Hornets as they meet for the third time in just a few weeks and the Wizards try to keep their playoff surge moving with a tough trip to Cleveland. And if you really, really like Kobe, you can watch the Lakers and Hawks play well after midnight on ESPN…

Let’s see if we can start the weekend off with a winner.

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Today’s Free Pick:

Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies (EVEN)

When Marc Gasol was lost for the season, it seemed to reason that the Grizzlies season would be lost as well. However, Memphis has continued to hang on to the fifth seed in the West and own a four game cushion over Dallas. They’ve won two in a row and six of their last ten. Defensive stopper Tony Allen has missed six games and is likely out tonight as well, but it still hasn’t had a real detrimental effect. Perhaps it is due to Mike Conley picking up the slack, or perhaps it is because they are a slightly different, more versatile and better shooting team with the lineup changes.

Utah is just 9-20 on the road this season, and even with the return of Rudy Gobert, they still haven’t been able to get over their road hurdles. They are one of the more efficient defensive teams in the NBA with him on the floor, so perhaps an UNDER play is warranted tonight as well. It is more than likely that offenses will not rule the night at the Grindhouse. However, underrated defensive lynchpin Rodney Hood is listed as questionable I’ll stick with my pick of Memphis at home.

The Grizzlies 22-9 at home SU this season and have covered four of their last five home games. They are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 home games, a ridiculously high clip – and yet the line tonight is giving them very little home respect. Generally the better team at home is laying at least four or five. Tonight the price is EVEN. It feels like a bargain to me. Utah has lost five of their last six games and has failed to cover in both their last five games overall and their last five road games. It appears that Vegas, just like me, though Utah was poised to make a run at the #8 seed once they got healthy. It hasn’t happened. So instead of hope, I’m going with data. And the numbers all favor Memphis at home.

Free Pick: Memphis Grizzlies (EVEN)