Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Pick – Game 1

The NBA Playoffs are underway and are set with a great slate of games on Saturday. Four games are up on the board as the playoffs get underway. One of these games will be between the Utah Jazz and the Dallas Mavericks. These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will tip off at around 1:00 PM Eastern time on ESPN.

Utah finished out the regular season with a record of 49-33, which has them sitting in fifth place of the Western Conference. The Jazz closed the regular season with a win and had won four of their last six. Utah will look to ride that momentum into their first round series. I expect the Jazz to try and set the pace quickly on the road in this one.

The Mavericks put up a record of 52-30 throughout the regular season, which had them earn the fourth seed in the Western Conference. Dallas won their last four games of the regular season and nine of their last eleven. The Mavericks will look to pick up the pace quickly in this one. Dallas will look to step up early on Saturday though.

These two teams have been solid throughout the season and will look for a win in this one. The Jazz have been strong this season, but will look to start the playoffs strong. Dallas ended the season on a strong winning streak and will look to remain hot. If either team can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Utah Jazz -5 (-110) -210 Over 209 ½ (-110)
Dallas Mavericks +5 (-110) +175 Under 209 ½ (-110)

 

Team Data Utah Jazz Dallas Mavericks
Overall Record 49-33 52-30
Away/ Home Record 20-21 29-12
PPG 113.6 108.0
PPG Away/ Home 110.4 108.4
PAPG 107.6 104.7
PAPG Away/ Home 108.2 102.1

Betting Trends

Utah Jazz

  • 34-46 ATS this season
  • 31-38 ATS as a favorite
  • 17-24 ATS in road games
  • 2-2 ATS in April
  • 3-9 ATS on Saturday
  • 3-2 ATS when playing on three or more days rest
  • 4-13 ATS against Southwest division
  • 4-10 ATS after a divisional game
  • 9-6 ATS after allowing 100 points or less
  • 15-18 ATS after a win by 10 or more points
  • 14-19 ATS against team with a winning record

Dallas Mavericks

  • 45-35 ATS this season
  • 15-16 ATS as an underdog
  • 22-17 ATS in home games
  • 4-5 ATS on Saturday
  • 1-2 ATS when playing on three or more days rest
  • 11-7 ATS against Northwest division
  • 5-9 ATS after a divisional game
  • 13-12 ATS after a win by 10 or more points
  • 3-3 ATS after scoring 130 points or more
  • 24-14 ATS against team with a winning record

These two teams met up four times during the season. Donovan Mitchell scored 33 points in the first meeting as the Jazz earned a 120-116 win at home. Mitchell put up 33 points again in the second game to lead Utah to a 114-109 win. Luka Doncic dropped 35 points and 16 rebounds in the third matchup as Dallas won 111-103. Doncic added 32 points in the fourth game as the Mavericks won 114-100.

Field Goal Shooting

The Jazz have been strong shooting the ball throughout the season. Utah has made 47.1 percent of their shots from the field, which is 6th in the league. The Jazz have shot 36 percent from behind the arc, which is 11th in the NBA. Utah has sunk 76.7 percent of their shots from the charity stripe, which is 20th in the league this season.

Dallas has been solid shooting the ball on the season. The Mavericks have been shooting 46.1 percent from the field, which is 18th in the NBA. Dallas has made 35 percent of their shots from deep, which is 19th in the league. The Mavericks have drained 77.1 percent of their shots from the free throw line, which is 16th in the NBA.

Utah has a slight edge shooting the ball in this one and have the edge on defense. The Jazz have held their opponents to a 45.3 percent from the field, which is 9th in the league. Dallas has allowed opposing teams to shoot 45.7 percent from the field, which is 12th in the NBA. Both teams will look for their defenses to step up in this one.

Top Performers

Donovan Mitchell has been the leader for Utah throughout the season. Mitchell is averaging 25.9 points and 5.3 assists per game. Bojan Bogdanovic has averaged 18.1 points per game. Jordan Clarkson is averaging 16 points off the bench. Rudy Gobert has averaged 15.6 points and 14.7 rebounds per game. Mike Conley is averaging 13.7 points to round out the lineup.

Luka Doncic has been the leader for the Mavericks throughout the season. Doncic has averaged 28.4 points, 9.1 rebounds and 8.7 assists per game. Jalen Brunson has averaged 16.3 points and 4.8 assists per game. Spencer Dinwiddie is averaging 15.8 points per game, while Dorian Finney-Smith has averaged 11 points per game.

These two teams have been led by their stars throughout the season and will look to step up early in this one. Doncic is listed as doubtful for Dallas, which could really hurt their lineup. Tim Hardaway Jr. is already out for the Mavericks as well. Dallas will look for some players to step up early in this one as they try to get an early lead in the series.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been strong throughout the season and will look for a big win in Game 1 of the series. The Mavericks have been the better team, but without Doncic or Hardaway Jr., I think Utah could pull off the win on the road. The Jazz have been better shooting the ball and on defense. If Utah can grab an early lead in this one, I like their chances.

Bovada has the Jazz listed as a -5 against the spread in this one. I think that this line is accurate with Doncic likely to miss the game. Utah has more playoff experience as well and will look to get going early. If Mitchell can step up early, I do not think Dallas can keep up. As slight favorites in this one, I really like the value on the Jazz.

The Bet
Utah Jazz -5
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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