Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Game 4 Pick – NBA October 6

The NBA Finals continue on Tuesday night as the Los Angeles Lakers and the Miami Heat meet up in Game 4 of their best of seven series. These two teams have met in a great series so far and I expect another good one in this one. With the Lakers up in the series, look for Miami to come out strong in this one. This game will tip off at around 9:00 PM Eastern time on ABC.

Los Angeles finished the regular season with a record of 52-19, which had them in first place of the Western Conference. The Lakers eliminated the Portland Trail Blazers, Houston Rockets and the Denver Nuggets to reach the finals. Los Angeles jumped out to a 2-0 series lead, but dropped Game 3. They will look to bounce back with a big win in this one.

The Heat earned a record of 44-29 throughout the regular season, which had them in fifth place of the Eastern Conference. Miami went on to upset the Indiana Pacers, Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics in the playoffs. The Heat were able to earn a big win in Game 3 of this series and will look to build upon that momentum coming into this game.

These two teams have met in a great Finals series so far, but the Lakers hold a 2-1 series lead over Miami. Los Angeles will look to push the Heat to the brink of elimination with a big win in Game 4. Both of these teams will look to come out hot on Tuesday night as they try to set the pace. Look for the stars to step up early in this one as both teams look to gain momentum.

Previous Matchups

Game 1 of this series was back on September 30. Jimmy Butler led the Heat with 23 points, while Kendrick Nunn dropped 18 points. It was not enough for Miami though. Anthony Davis finished with 34 points and 9 rebounds. LeBron James added 25 points, 13 rebounds and 9 assists. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope scored 13 as the Lakers took a 1-0 series lead with a 116-98 win.

The second game of this series was on October 2. Jimmy Butler put up another 25 points and 13 assists, while Kelly Olynyk scored 24 points and 9 rebounds off the bench. The Heat still came up short though. LeBron James scored 33 points, 9 assists and 9 rebounds. Anthony Davis dropped 32 points and 14 rebounds as Los Angeles won 124-114 to take a 2-0 series lead.

The third game of this series was back on October 4. LeBron James scored 25 points and 10 rebounds. Markieff Morris and Kyle Kuzma both dropped 19 off the bench, but the Lakers fell short. Jimmy Butler scored 40 points, 11 rebounds and 13 assists. Tyler Herro and Kelly Olynyk both scored 17 points to help the Heat win 115-104 to close the series lead.

Los Angeles dominated in Game’s 1 and 2 to take a 2-0 series lead, but it was all Jimmy Butler in Game 3 as the Heat closed the series to 2-1. Butler has done it all for the Heat this series and will need to keep it up if Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic are both still out. The Lakers will need to make adjustments on Butler in this one to avoid another takeover from Miami’s star.

Field Goal Shooting

The Lakers have been the best field goal shooting team throughout the postseason. Los Angeles has been able to make around 49.3 percent of their shots from the field these playoffs. The Lakers have shot around 35.5 percent from behind the arc in the playoffs. In this series, the Lakers have shot 46.5 percent from the field and 35.4 percent from deep.

Miami has been solid from the field throughout their playoff run. The Heat have been able to make around 46.2 percent of their shots from the field. Miami has also shot around 35.6 percent from deep in the postseason. The Heat have made around 47.9 percent of their shots from the field and 35.4 percent of their shots from behind the arc in this series.

Los Angeles has been the better shooting team throughout the postseason, but the Heat have outshot the Lakers from the field this series. Both teams have had the same shooting percentage from behind the arc in this series. Los Angeles will look to tighten their defense in this one, while Miami will look to keep up their defense against a lethal Lakers team.

Top Performers

LeBron James and Anthony Davis have dominated throughout this postseason and it is no different in the playoffs. James is averaging 27.5 points, 10.5 rebounds and 8.5 assists per game in this series. Davis has averaged 27 points and 9.5 rebounds per game against the Heat. Kyle Kuzma and Markieff Morris are both averaging 11 points per game off the bench, while Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 9.5 points per game.

Jimmy Butler has been playing on another level in this series. Butler is averaging 29.5 points, 7 rebounds and 10.5 assists per game for the Heat in this series. Tyler Herro has averaged 16 points per game against the Lakers. Kelly Olynyk is averaging 15 points per game off the bench, while Jae Crowder has averaged 12 points per game. Kendrick Nunn is averaging 11.5 points per game off the bench.

The Heat will need players to continue to step up as Goran Dragic and Bam Adebayo’s appearance is in question in Game 4. Duncan Robinson needs to step up for Miami to earn a big win. Los Angeles saw a quieter game from Anthony Davis in Game 3 and will need him to bounce back with a big performance in Game 4.

Pick Overview

The Heat were able to earn a big win in Game 3 of this series, but I believe that the Lakers will bounce back with a win of their own in Game 4. I expect Davis and James to dominate right out of the gate after losing the last one. These two players have taken over in the big moments and I expect this one to be no different. Jimmy Butler had to dominate in Game 3 for the win and I expect Los Angeles to slow him down a bit in this one.

BetOnline has Los Angeles listed as a -7 ½ against the spread for Game 4. This gives a solid edge to the Lakers in this matchup. I believe that this is right for this game. Los Angeles has been on a mission and I expect them to bounce back after this one. The Lakers are not going to complacent after losing, even if Adebayo and Dragic are out. I am taking Los Angeles against the spread.

Los Angeles Lakers -7.5
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.