Los Angeles Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns NBA Odds and Pick for April 5th

The NBA took Monday off in order to clear the way for the NCAA National Championship Game. That was a pretty weak move by the NBA, but they’re back in a big way on Tuesday with a hefty 12-game slate. We’re now down to just six days left in the regular season before the play-in tournaments begin next week. The actual playoffs will follow shortly thereafter.

Needless to say, quite a few of the games on Tuesday’s schedule have playoff implications. Plenty of others have draft implications. The Los Angeles Lakers will, essentially, put their season on the line when they head to Phoenix for a date with the Suns.
As of now, the Lakers are on the outside looking in at the Western Conference play-in tournament. Los Angeles has lost each of their last six games coming into this one, and they’ll have to pull off a massive upset in this game to realistically keep their postseason hopes alive.

The Suns, meanwhile, aren’t playing for much at this point. Phoenix has already clinched the top overall seed in the Western Conference playoffs. With less than a week to go, the Suns’ primary goal the rest of the way should be to try and stay as healthy as possible before the playoffs.

BetOnline has the Suns listed as huge 11.5-point home favorites in this game. The contest also features an over/under of 233 points.

Los Angeles Lakers

Just about everything that could have possibly gone wrong for the Lakers this season has done just that. Perhaps Murphy’s Law should be renamed in honor of the team’s GM, Rob Pelinka.

Despite the return of Anthony Davis last week, the Lakers can’t stop losing. Los Angeles hasn’t won a game since an upset win over the Cavaliers in Cleveland back on March 21st. The scheduling gods did the Lakers no favor with a tough run-in, and tonight’s game in Phoenix is yet another daunting task for the flailing team. LA is 0-3 so far this season against Phoenix, and they’ve been outscored by a whopping 57 points through those first three matchups.

The Lakers still have some injury issues, too. LeBron James sat out Sunday’s loss to Denver, and he’s questionable to play again tonight with his lingering ankle issue. Davis is also questionable despite having played in back-to-back games with the foot problem that has been plaguing him since February.

At this point, I have no idea whether LeBron will suit up. Every game is a “must-win” for the Lakers at this point, but that wasn’t enough to get him into the lineup on Sunday afternoon. A championship is certainly not in the Lakers’ immediate future anymore, so perhaps James doesn’t see much impetus to fight through the injury and play.
A Lakers loss in Phoenix tonight coupled with a Spurs win in Denver will officially eliminate Los Angeles from play-in consideration. Entering Tuesday’s action, the 31-47 Lakers are 11th in the Western Conference standings and two full games behind San Antonio.

If the Lakers are put out of their misery tonight, it’s highly unlikely we see much, if any, of LeBron or AD the rest of the way.

Phoenix Suns

While the Suns don’t have to go all-out in this game, you can bet they’ll be motivated. Just last month, Devin Booker took exception when Davis said publicly that the Lakers likely would’ve beaten the Suns in last year’s playoffs had AD stayed healthy. Phoenix wound up disposing of the injured Lakers in six games on their way to their first NBA Finals berth since 1993.

So, while they don’t have anything to play for in the standings, you can be sure the Suns will be gunning to try and end the Lakers’ fading postseason hopes. The Suns are also gunning for a franchise record. A win tonight would be Phoenix’s 63rd of the season, which would surpass their previous single-season record set in both 1993 and in 2004.

Phoenix rested the likes of Devin Booker, Deandre Ayton, and Jae Crowder in Sunday’s loss to the Thunder. With a rivalry game on tap in front of their home fans, however, all three starters are expected to return to the lineup tonight. Frank Kaminsky and Dario Saric, who have both been out for quite some time, are the only names left on the Suns’ injury report ahead of this one.

As mentioned, all three previous meetings between the Lakers and Suns so far this season have been decided by double digits. Phoenix picked up a 10-point win in LA back on October 22. The Suns beat the Lakers by 18 points in their most recent trip to the Crypto.com Arena on December 21 before a 29-point demolition of the lowly Lakers in the desert just last month.

The Suns are 42-36-0 so far this season against the spread. The Lakers, as you may expect, have been one of the worst ATS bets in the league all year. LA’s 32-46-0 against-the-spread mark is the fourth-worst in the NBA.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns NBA Game Pick

Unless the Suns randomly decide to sit some of their regulars tonight, I see no reason to believe Los Angeles can keep pace in this game. LA has blown some late leads in recent games, but they also haven’t faced any teams of the Suns’ caliber amid their active losing streak.

Please Note:
Three of the Lakers’ six losses over the course of their streak have come by at least 10 points. Assuming the Lakers fail to advance to the playoffs, this will mark the second time in James’ four seasons with the team that the Lakers will have failed to qualify for postseason play.

Is this point spread uncomfortably large in this game? Absolutely. However, I think there’s a pretty strong chance LeBron sits this one out. With the Suns operating at full strength, this game has serious potential to get out of hand in the first half. I like Phoenix to wipe the floor with LA tonight and to cover the 11.5-point spread in the process. Bet the Suns to win and cover at home.

Phoenix Suns -11.5

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Recap

  • Moneyline: Lakers +800, Suns -1400
  • Point Spread: Lakers +11.5, Suns -11.5
  • Over/Under: Over 233 points (-110), Under 233 points (-110)
  • Pick: Phoenix Suns -11.5 (-110)


Taylor Smith / Author

Taylor is a sports writer based in Southern California. While he primarily specializes in basketball, baseball and football, he will also dabble in things like soccer and politics from time to time. He has lived in just about every corner of the United States at one point or another, and he has been covering sports and sports betting for the better part of a decade. Taylor currently lives in Long Beach with his fiancé and their two cats.

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