Monday could end up being a lot of fun in NBA DFS, as we have nine games to work with on FanDuel’s main slate. Anthony Davis registers as the top stud on the board, but injuries to both Russell Westbrook and Stephen Curry open things up for some of their teammates.
One question you have to ask yourself is who the top stud on this slate really is and if you need to pay for them. Beyond that, is it smarter to just blindly roll with the top chalk, or could it make sense to fade guys like PG-13, Kevin Durant, Dennis Schroder and others.
For this GPP squad, I’m going to toe both lines and really try to maximize value. Let’s dig into some of my favorite daily fantasy basketball picks at FanDuel for Monday:
PG: Quinn Cook – Golden State Warriors ($5.4k)
Stephen Curry remains out, so I won’t get cute and fade Cook. He put up 41 fantasy points in a start in Golden State’s last game and tonight he’ll face the Clippers. That game projects well and if he’s going to play anywhere close to how well he did his last time out, he’s an impossible fade at this price.
PG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Los Angeles Clippers ($5k)
There are certainly some great point guards available to you tonight, as John Wall and Ben Simmons lead a pretty strong group. I even love Derrick Rose ($6.9k) with Jimmy Butler finally out of town. However, I’ll just drop down again with SGA getting elite run and having a really nice up-tempo matchup with the Dubs at home.
This game understandably has one of the better Totals of the night, so if I can get some exposure to it without forcing things, that’s not a bad thing.
I totally understand if you feel the need to spend at PG tonight, but I don’t see the point if these value picks can keep rolling.
SG: Devin Booker – Phoenix Suns ($7.5k)
This slate is all about value for me. Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan are very good options, but they’re a little too expensive for my liking. Instead, I’ll drop down and get a very similar play in Booker, who has been known to blow up as a scorer and play-maker.
Booker will be on the road against a capable OKC defense, but he’s been fairly matchup proof in the past. The reality is he’s just too cheap given his upside.
SG: Luka Doncic – Dallas Mavericks ($7.7k)
I see Dennis Schroder as a great pick with Russell Westbrook still out, but he’s bound to be very chalky. I don’t really think he bombs at home against the Suns, but I just prefer Luka Doncic’s versatility at this point. He’s scored the ball really well, but can also impact the game with his passing and rebounding.
Dallas has just as good of a matchup as they prepare to battle the Bulls in Chicago, so I don’t mind taking the (hopefully) contrarian approach and paying $500 extra to land Doncic.
SF: Kawhi Leonard – Toronto Raptors ($9.4k)
KD and PG-13 are the chalkier plays due to the elite usage they’re seeing thanks to injuries, but Kawhi is too nice of a value. He’s not even $9.5k and absolutely has the floor and ceiling of his studly SF counterparts. He also has just as good of a matchup as Durant or George thanks to a home date with the New Orleans Pelicans.
The only way I’m fading Leonard is if he’s expected to be limited or ends up being scratched. There’s no real reason to expect either.
SF: T.J. Warren – Phoenix Suns ($5.8k)
Warren doesn’t have the easiest matchup at Oklahoma City tonight, but he’s still a good price and has wrecked with 40+ fantasy points in each of his last two games. He is really feeling it right now and as long as the Suns are going to hand him elite run and let him show what he can do, I’ll bite.
PF: LaMarcus Aldridge – San Antonio Spurs ($8.4k)
Anthony Davis is by far the most expensive PF and one of the best studs on the board tonight. Unfortunately, he’s on the road against the Raptors and they can play some defense. I’m not too eager to pay for him as my top stud, especially when there are viable PF pivots like Ridged and Tobias Harris.
I trust Aldridge a bit more tonight, as he’s technically the superior value and also has a great matchup against a terrible Kings defense.
PF: Jarell Martin – Orlando Magic ($3.5k)
This is the play that ties everything together, assuming Aaron Gordon misses a second straight game. I’m piecing this NBA DFS lineup together early in the day, so it’s still very possible AG plays and messes my NBA DFS picks up. Regardless, Martin logged 27 minutes with Gordon out in Orlando’s last game and if that’s the case again he’s a lock for me tonight.
Remember, FanDuel drops your lowest score, so seeking a guy around $3.5k that can actually still compete for some points is a great way to try to build your lineup. If Martin isn’t on the table, consider another PF punt.
C: Deandre Ayton – Phoenix Suns ($7.1k)
This slate is loaded with nasty centers. I love all of the top options, but nobody offers more value – possibly on the entire slate – than Ayton.
I know the matchup with Steven Adams is tough and I know I’m three Suns deep here, but he’s just too cheap for a guy who can easily notch 35-40 fantasy points and also hasn’t really revealed his upside yet. Ayton is too cheap to ignore. Fade Booker or Warren if you need to, but I’m playing Ayton tonight.
If you need a contrarian lineup with a lot of upside, this squad certainly fits the bill. I obviously don’t feel amazing about stacking a trio of Phoenix players, but let’s consider the fact that OKC will again be without Russ. That probably tightens up this betting line and keeps this game more interesting than usual.
The rest of the way, I’m just locating value I can’t pass up. The beauty is I still have plenty of potential studs on this roster. Kawhi, Devin, Luka, Ayton and Ridge all offer savings, but they also can all get to 50 fantasy points if things break just right.
Everyone will be on Dennis, PG-13 and KD, so switching things up a bit in tourneys may not be a bad call.
As always, you can use this NBA DFS lineup as is, or mix my daily fantasy basketball picks in with your own. Either way, thanks for reading and good luck!