We split our NBA picks last night, with the Wizards winning and covering with a ton of room to spare and the Bulls and Pelicans pick going slightly over the total. When I typed that they would stay under 192, what I meant to type was “these two will combine for a triple-overtime thriller that will net the most points the Bulls have scored in years and they will STILL lose even though the Pelicans are missing Anthony Davis.” Damn typos…
Alas, just as I’ll gladly scoop up the cash whether a pick covers buy half a point or by a hundred, a loss only counts once, so I’ll move forward with a smile, intent upon starting another nice winning run tonight. It’s a limited slate of NBA action tonight, but I do have one play that I’m fond of.
Let’s dig in to today’s free pick:
Orlando Magic at Philadelphia 76’ers -3.5 (Total:207.5 )
Let’s start with all the things that could possibly scare you away unnecessarily: The 76’ers have lost four games in a row and eight of their last nine. The 76’ers are clearly coming back to Earth as a mediocre team after a surprising start, Philadelphia, well, isn’t any good.
Okay, true on all those points. But the last two things can also be said about the Magic. And at the risk of being a broken record, they have two other things going against them; they are playing on the ROAD where they are now 1-6 this season and they played LAST NIGHT on the road as well and got housed by Washington.
Let’s add more ammo to the mix. The Magic will likely be without their best player, Nicola Vucavic tonight who is listed as doubtful with a strained hamstring. Even WITH Vucovic, I like Philly tonight, but with the likelihood he sits, I am even more eager to pounce on this line before it spreads to the 5 or 6 points is should be already listed.
Philadelphia has definitely struggled lately, but seem to have everyone healthy now and Michael Carter Williams is still the most pleasant rookie surprise in the NBA. These two teams are actually pretty even talent-wise, and with Philly healthier and at home, it seems like a great night for the to get right. Orlando played well in a “jump-up and try harder game” at Miami. Other than that, they’ve lost their last three road games by 15+ points.