Magic vs. Cavaliers Pick – April 4th

The Cleveland Cavaliers will look to take out some frustration on the visiting Orlando Magic tonight.  Can they do enough damage to win AND cover?

We got an NBA winner, albeit NARROWLY last night with the Blazers covering by a point in Minnesota.  The Blazers covered, but it is of no consolation to Damian Lillard who had a good look at a game-winning buzzer beater but came up short.  The loss leaves the Blazers just one game up on Denver in the loss column for the eighth and final playoff spot out West.

That was the only game on the NBA slate last night as the pros moved aside for the college kids.  Congrats to North Carolina for winning yet another National Title, but BOOOO to the referees who turned the second half of that game into an unwatchable slopfest of fouls and bricked free throws.  Ok, it isn’t the refs fault the free throw shooting also sucked, but there was absolutely no rhythm of flow to the second half of the game and it seemed like a very unfortunate way to crown a champion…

Alas, the pros now have center stage for the rest of the Spring, and launch back into action with a nice slate of games including the Raptors visiting the DESPERATE Pacers, the more-desperate Hornets visiting the Wizards, the Bucks and Thunder in a fun ESPN game between Giannis and Russ, and both Portland and Denver in action, at New Orleans and at Utah respectively.  And if you are still up at 11pm EST, there’s never a BAD reason to watch the Warriors, even if they do meet the tired T-Wolves.

Today’s NBA Pick:

Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers -9

The sky is falling in Cleveland, but there aren’t many better “get right” games than a visit from the hapless Orlando Magic.  Orlando is 13-26 SU on the road this season against Cleveland’s 31-8 mark, so this immediately reeks of a mismatch game.  The ATS numbers aren’t great for the Magicians either.  They are a respectable 19-20 ATS on the road, but it isn’t like the large cushion of points are getting them a bunch of covers.  They are at best mediocre and at their worst, terrible.

Cleveland has the big game against Boston tomorrow night, so I’d imagine they’d like to put this game to bed early; get out to a 20-plus lead and then let the bench hold on to the win and cover in the fourth quarter.  That’s exactly what I think will happen tonight.  Look for Cleveland to pour it on early and to take out some frustration on Orlando.  Everyone is listed as “go” for the Cavs, so no real “resting” concerns tonight.

Orlando is 3-9 ATS in their last twelve games and has lost seven of eight straight up away from home.  Cleveland’s recent trends are also famously lousy, but they have covered seven of their last eight against Orlando and this current Magic squad isn’t scaring anyone.

I like Cleveland to roll, to win and to cover the reasonable nine-point spread.