Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings NBA Pick – December 31

The NBA is set up with another great day of basketball throughout December 31. Ten games will be up on the board throughout New Years Eve. One of these matchups will be between the Dallas Mavericks and the Sacramento Kings. These two teams have struggled early in the season, but will look for a big win in this one. This game will tip off at around 6:00 PM Eastern time.

Dallas has earned a record of 16-18 throughout this season, which has them eighth place of the Western Conference. The Mavericks are coming off a loss in their last game and have lost five of their last seven. Dallas is a game and a half back on the fifth seed and will look to get going in this one. I expect the Mavericks to come out fast on the road.

The Kings have put up a record of 15-21 to open up the season, which has them in eleventh place of the Western Conference. Sacramento has won their last two games and will look to build on it in this one. The Kings are a half a game back on the tenth seed, which would have them in the play-in. Sacramento will look to carry momentum into this one for a fast start.

These two teams have struggled a bit to open up the season, but will look for a big win in this one. The Mavericks have been the better overall team on the season and will look to bounce back. Sacramento will look to keep this winning streak alive though. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the pivotal win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Dallas Mavericks -2 (-110) -130 Over 218 (-110)
Sacramento Kings +2 (-110) +110 Under 218 (-110)

 

Team Data Dallas Mavericks Sacramento Kings
Overall Record 16-18 15-21
Away/ Home Record 8-10 9-11
PPG 105.3 109.7
PPG Away/ Home 105.3 107.7
PAPG 105.2 113.8
PAPG Away/ Home 105.7 111.1

Betting Trends

Dallas Mavericks

  • 15-18 ATS this season
  • 10-8 ATS in road games
  • 7-8 ATS in December
  • 2-3 ATS on Friday nights
  • 4-3 ATS against Pacific division
  • 2-7 ATS after allowing 100 points or less
  • 8-2 ATS after scoring 100 points or less
  • 5-7 ATS when playing team with losing record

Sacramento Kings

  • 16-20 ATS this season
  • 9-11 ATS in home games
  • 7-7 ATS in December
  • 3-5 ATS on Friday nights
  • 4-5 ATS against Southwest division
  • 2-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or less
  • 3-5 ATS after scoring 100 points or less
  • 8-7 ATS against team with losing record

These two teams have met up twice throughout the season. Dallas hosted the first game on October 31. Luca Doncic dropped 23 points and 10 assists in the first meeting as the Mavericks won 105-99. The second game was on December 29 in Sacramento. Jalen Brunson dropped 25 points, but it was not enough. De’Aaron Fox put up 16 points as the Kings grabbed a 95-94 win at home.

Field Goal Shooting

The Mavericks have struggled shooting the ball a bit throughout this season. Dallas has made 44.7 percent of their shots from the field, which is 22nd in the NBA. The Mavericks have shot 32.7 percent from deep, which is 26th in the league. Dallas has drained 76 percent of their free throw attempts, which is 21st in the NBA.

Sacramento has not been great shooting the ball either this season. The Kings have been shooting 45.2 percent from the field, which is 18th in the league. Sacramento has made 34.1 percent of their shots from behind the arc, which is 22nd in the NBA. The Kings have sunk 75.8 percent of their shots at the charity stripe, which is 23rd in the league.

These two teams have not been great shooting the ball, but Dallas has a slight edge on defense. The Mavericks have held opposing teams to a 46 percent from the field, which is 19th in the league. Sacramento has allowed opponents to shoot 46.7 percent, which is 28th in the NBA. Both teams will look for another strong defensive performance in this one.

Top Performers

Dallas has been held back by their own COVID outbreak as of late. Luka Doncic and/ or Tim Hardaway Jr. could return for the Mavericks on Friday. Doncic has averaged 25.6 points, 8 rebounds and 8.5 assists per game. Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 20.4 points and 7.9 rebounds. Jalen Brunson has averaged 16.1 points, while Hardaway Jr. is averaging 14.9 points. Dorian Finney-Smith has averaged 10.3 points to round out this lineup.

De’Aaron Fox has been the leader for the Kings on the season. Fox has averaged 20.5 points and 5.1 assists per game. Harrison Barnes is averaging 17.2 points, while Buddy Hield has averaged 15.4 points per game. Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 13.5 points and 6.6 assists per game. Richaun Holmes rounds out the lineup, averaging 12.7 points and 8.8 rebounds per game.

These two teams have been led by their stars on the season. The Mavericks will look for some players to step up with COVID still looming over the team. If Dallas can get either Hardaway or Doncic back on Friday night, it could give them a big boost in this one. Sacramento will look for their own depth to step up once again in this one though.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been struggling a bit throughout this season. This game will be the second half of a back to back. Sacramento will look to carry momentum into this one after winning the first meeting. I think that the Mavericks will come out faster in this one though as they try to even up this back to back on the road. If Dallas can shoot better from the field early, I think they can win this one.

BetOnline has the Mavericks listed as a -2 against the spread in this one. I think that this line is accurate with both teams looking for a much needed win in this one. Dallas lost the first half of this back to back, but I like their chances to earn the win if they can get a bit healthier before tip off. As slight favorites, I really like the value on the Mavericks.

The Bet
Dallas Mavericks -2
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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