Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors NBA Pick – Game 5

The NBA is set up with another great slate of action on May 26. The Dallas Mavericks and the Golden State Warriors will meet up in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals. These two teams have been solid throughout this series and will look for a big win in this one. This game will tip off at around 9:00 PM Eastern time on TNT.

Dallas has earned a record of 9-8 throughout the postseason as the fourth seed in the Western Conference. The Mavericks knocked off the Utah Jazz and the Phoenix Suns to reach the Conference Finals. Dallas fell down 3-0 in this series, but was able to stay alive with a win in Game 4. The Mavericks will look for an upset on the road in this one.

The Warriors have put up a record of 11-4 so far in the playoffs as the third seed in the Western Conference. Golden State eliminated the Denver Nuggets in the first round and the Memphis Grizzlies in the second round. The Warriors will look to reach the NBA Finals with a big win in Game 5 at home. Golden State will look to set the tone early on Thursday night.

These two teams have been strong throughout this series and will look for a big win in Game 4. The Mavericks have been fallen down in this series and will look for a big win to keep their season alive. Golden State will look to book a spot in the Finals with a win at home. If either team can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Dallas Mavericks +7 (-105) +260 Over 215 ½ (-110)
Golden State Warriors -7 (-115) -320 Under 215 ½ (-110)

 

Team Data Dallas Mavericks Golden State Warriors
Playoff Record 9-8 11-4
Away/ Home Playoff Record 3-6 8-0
Playoff PPG 106.1 114.1
Playoff PPG Away/ Home 105.9 117.8
Playoff PAPG 104.8 109.0
Playoff PAPG Away/ Home 111.3 102.6

Betting Trends

Dallas Mavericks

  • 55-42 ATS this season
  • 22-22 ATS as an underdog
  • 27-23 ATS in road games
  • 15-14 ATS against Pacific division
  • 10-7 ATS in Playoffs
  • 5-3 ATS when trailing in series
  • 15-15 ATS after a win by 10 or more points
  • 34-21 ATS against team with a winning record

Golden State Warriors

  • 50-47 ATS this season
  • 38-37 ATS as favorite
  • 30-19 ATS in home games
  • 12-16 ATS against Southwest division
  • 8-7 ATS in Playoffs
  • 5-6 ATS when leading in series
  • 5-6 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more
  • 30-22 ATS against team with a winning record

These teams have met in an exciting four games so far. Steph Curry scored 21 points and 12 rebounds in Game 1 as the Warriors earned a 112-87 win. Curry dropped 32 points in Game 2 to lead Golden State to a 126-117 win. Curry had 31 points and 11 assists in the third game as the Warriors won 109-100. Luka Doncic put up 30 points, 14 rebounds and 9 assists in Game 4 to give Dallas a 119-109 win.

Field Goal Shooting

The Mavericks have been struggling a bit shooting the ball in the playoffs. Dallas has made 44.9 percent of their shots from the field, which is 4th in the field of 4. The Mavericks have been shooting 37.9 percent from deep, which is 1st in the postseason. Dallas has sunk 77.2 percent of their shots from the charity stripe, which is 3rd in the playoffs.

Golden State has been solid shooting the ball in the postseason. The Warriors have shot 49.2 percent from the field, which is 1st in the remaining field. Golden State has made 37.8 percent of their shots from behind the arc, which is 2nd in the playoffs. The Warriors have drained 74.3 percent of their shots from the free throw line, which is 4th in the postseason.

These two teams have been solid shooting the ball throughout these playoffs. Golden State has been better from the field, but both teams have been strong from deep in the run. The Warriors will look to shoot better from the free throw line. Both teams will also look for their defense to step up with a strong push in this one.

Top Performers

Luka Doncic has been great for Dallas throughout the postseason. Doncic is averaging 31.9 points, 9.9 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game. Jalen Brunson has averaged 22.2 points per game. Spencer Dinwiddie is averaging 13.5 points, while Dorian Finney-Smith has averaged 11.6 points per game. Reggie Bullock rounds out the lineup, averaging 10.8 points.

Stephen Curry has been the leader for the Warriors in this playoff run. Curry has averaged 26.7 points and 6 assists per game. Klay Thompson is averaging 19 points per game, while Jordan Poole has averaged 18.5 points. Andrew Wiggins is averaging 15.7 points per game. Draymond Green has averaged 15.7 points, 7 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game.

These two teams have been led by their stars throughout these playoffs. Doncic stepped up in a big way in Game 4 to extend this series, but will need some support if the Mavericks want to go back home for a Game 6. Curry will look to bounce back and will also look for some support. If either team can have some depth players step up, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been strong throughout these playoffs and will look for a huge win in Game 5. Golden State has not lost at home yet this postseason and will look to keep it going in this one. The Warriors have been better on both sides of the ball in the playoffs and will lean on their leadership in this one.  Dallas will throw everything at them though with their backs against the wall.

Bovada has Golden State listed as a -7 against the spread in this one. This gives a big edge to the Warriors at home. I think that this line should be closer to even with both teams competing in the Conference Finals. Dallas will look for their defense to step up and will continue to keep the Warriors on their toes. As big underdogs, I like the value on the Mavericks to keep this game close.

The Bet
Dallas Mavericks +7
-105
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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