Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers Game 4 Pick – NBA May 8, 2022

The Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers dance at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia on Sunday evening. The 76ers are looking to tie this series up at 2-2 before heading back to Miami for Game 5.

This is no doubt the biggest game in the series, with the Heat only needing one more win if they find a victory in Philadelphia. Conversely, this thing is all knotted up at two games with a 76ers win.

The Sixers can’t afford to go down 3-1 and need three straight wins. There are teams that will tough to come from behind against. The Heat are on that list, with their defense making it tough to complete a comeback.

The 76ers are coming off a 99-79 win over the Heat in Game 2. It was a lifeless performance from the Heat, as they looked empty after winning the first two games in Miami, 106-92 and 119-103.

The defensive effort was present from the Heat in that one. The offense had no flow or consistency. Kyle Lowry made his return to the floor and looked rusty.

Lowry had no points in 25 minutes for the Heat. It was his first game since April 22 against the Atlanta Hawks. He didn’t look prepared to play, but should look much better tonight.

Expect Lower to be in much better form after shaking off the cobwebs in Game 3. He’s not the kind of player to struggle like that in back-to-back spots, especially in big games.

Lowry was well-known for his tenacity during the Raptors’ championship run. He was a pitbull on both ends of the floor. If Lowry has that motivation tonight, the Heat will be fine.

Lowry wasn’t the only Heat that failed to show up. Bam Adebayo wasn’t effective, as he put in 9 points and just 3 rebounds. Jimmy Butler is the only Heat that came through nicely.

Butler needs more help tonight after he scored 33 points and 9 rebounds. He carried the load with little help from his teammates. In his return to the lineup, Joel Embiid scored 18 points and 11 boards.

Head below for our free Heat vs. 76ers Game 4 prediction on May 8, 2022.

Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers Game 4 Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Miami Heat +2.5 (-110) +120 Over 208 (-110)
Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 (-110) -140 Under 208 (-110)
Team Data Miami Heat Philadelphia 76ers
Overall Record 58-30 55-34
ATS Record 50-37-1 41-46-2
Away/Home Record 25-18 26-18
ATS Away/Home 26-16-1 19-25-0
Points Per Game 109.9 109.8
Points Against Per Game 105.0 107.0
Field Goal % 46.6 44.6
Three Point % 37.6 33.7

Heat vs. 76ers Game 4 Prediction:

The performance from the Heat in Game 3 was one of the worst we’ve seen from this team in a while. They were all out of sorts with nothing working.

Well, Jimmy Butler was working hard, but it takes more than one player to show up versus the 76ers. The Heat have played like a team so much this season that it was surprising to see them derailed that badly.

When Kyle Lowry is active, the team goes through him. He struggled in Game 3 and the rest of the team followed.

This time in Game 3, expect Lowry to put up a big showing on the heels of his worst playoff performance of all time. The rest of the team should follow Lowry’s lead and play with a lot more spark.

I’m not concerned with the Heat defense tonight. Despite getting blown out in Game 3, the defense still held well against the 76ers even with Embiid back in the lineup.

Miami is the fourth-best team in the NBA, with an average of 105.6 points against per game. They’ve kept their opponents in check, with a 44.6% field goal percentage.

The most points the 76ers have scored is 103 points in a 119-103 loss in Game 2. If the Heat gets their offense flowing, which I believe they will behind Lowry’s bounce back, the 76ers should have it tough tonight.

Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers Game 4 Betting Trends:


  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games as an underdog on the road
  • 4-0 ATS in their previous four games after failing to cover the spread
  • 11-4-1 ATS in their previous 16 games on the road
  • 9-3 ATS in their previous 12 games versus a team with a winning record
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games on the road versus a team with a winning record
  • 7-3-1 ATS in their previous 11 games versus the 76ers


  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games on a Sunday
  • 3-8 ATS in their previous 11 games after covering the spread
  • 3-7 ATS in their previous ten games on a one-day break
  • 3-7-1 ATS in their previous 11 games versus the Heat
  • 2-5 ATS in their previous seven semifinal games
  • UNDER is 5-0 in their previous five games as a betting favorite

The 76ers haven’t had the best offensive fireworks this season. They are 18th in the NBA with 109.9 points scored per game and the Heat have boggled them up through the first three games.

If the Heat had some form of an offensive game in Game 3, they win that game and have a chance for a sweep tonight. The Heat likely bring their defense back to Wells Fargo Center tonight, with the offense avoiding back-to-back ugly games.

This looks like a close game that may come down to the final seconds. The Heat are unlikely to play as poorly as they did in Game 3 and should force this game into a nailbiter.

Embiid and the 76ers will fight back, but Lowry is going to fight back even harder to give the Heat a chance to close out the Sixers back at home in Game 5.

The public will be all over the 76ers in this one, which I’m fine with to get better value on the Heat. The line is creeping up, with 2 or 2.5 points a good number to jump on the underdog. A slim Heat win or loss at the buzzer is what I’m angling towards in Game 4.


Heat vs. 76ers Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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