We have only five games on the NBA slate for Tuesday, but there are a lot of moving parts at this time of the year. With teams jockeying for playoff seeding and draft lottery odds, you never really know what you’re going to get on a day-to-day basis around the league.
The 76ers, meanwhile, had a three-game winning streak snapped by the Suns over the weekend. Philadelphia is 6-4 over their last 10 games, and they enter this game as slight favorites over the Bucks. The latest odds from BetOnline have the 76ers listed as one-point favorites on their home floor in this one.
As mentioned, all of Antetokounmpo, Middleton, and Holiday will be in the lineup for Mike Budenholzer tonight after missing time recently. Giannis has reportedly been battling some knee soreness. Middleton was dealing with a sore wrist, while Holiday sat out the last game against the Grizzlies with an ankle issue.
Fresh off of their first championship in 50 years, the Bucks haven’t made winning games during the regular season a huge priority. What really matters is getting healthy in time for the playoffs. In addition to the three All-Stars, Milwaukee also got Brook Lopez back from injury recently. His return couldn’t have come at a better time, as he’ll be tasked with checking Joel Embiid for most of tonight’s clash.
Milwaukee is 1-1 against Philadelphia across their first two meetings of the campaign. The champs picked up an impressive nine-point win on the road in Philly back in November, only to fall, 123-120, when they met in Milwaukee just last month.
On the season, the Bucks are a relatively disappointing 35-39 against the spread. Milwaukee has successfully covered the margin in four of their last six entering tonight’s contest, however. The Bucks covered as seven-point favorites over the 76ers in November but obviously failed to cover as 6.5-point favorites in their most recent loss to the Sixers.
The Sixers are still trying to work out the kinks down the stretch of the season. Unlike the Bucks, whose core has been in place since the start of the 2020-21 campaign, Doc Rivers and co. are having to try and incorporate a major new piece on-the-fly. Harden has played well since coming to Philly, but the transition hasn’t been an easy one for this team.
Philadelphia is 14-6 since the trade deadline, including 10-4 in the games Harden has played. The 2018 NBA MVP is averaging 22.4 points, 9.9 assists, and 7.6 rebounds per game in a 76ers uniform. However, his usage is way down playing alongside Joel Embiid in this offense. Harden is attempting just over 13 shots per game with Philly, his lowest average since his final season in Oklahoma City when he was playing off the bench.
Embiid will have his hands full tonight in a matchup with Lopez, who is quietly one of the game’s best rim protectors. Embiid posted a monster game in a losing effort in Phoenix over the weekend, finishing with 37 points and 15 rebounds in the 76ers’ 114-104 loss.
He had an even better game in his lone meeting with the Bucks earlier this year. After missing the clash in November due to injury, the Sixers’ MVP-caliber center went off for 42 points, 14 rebounds, and five assists at Milwaukee’s expense at the Fiserv Forum a little over a month ago.
Philadelphia is 36-37-1 so far this season against the spread. The Sixers enter tonight’s game with covers in three of their last five outings. Between March 10 and March 16, however, the Sixers failed to cover across a four-game span.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Philadelphia 76ers NBA Game Pick
Doc Rivers hinted at the possibility of getting Embiid and Harden some rest in anticipation of the playoffs, but both will be on the floor for a huge game tonight. The Bucks, of course, should be fairly well-rested after giving their star players some much-needed R&R over the past week or so.
Neither team has been a particularly profitable against-the-spread wager this season, but something has to give tonight. I like the value on Philadelpha to win and cover the spread at -107 in this one. You’re getting a little more upside there than you are in the Sixers’ -112 moneyline odds. As long as Philadelphia wins this one by at least two points, you’re golden. I like the Sixers to win and cover at home on Tuesday night.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Recap
- Moneyline: Bucks -108, 76ers -112
- Point Spread: Bucks +1 (-113), 76ers -1 (-107)
- Over/Under: Over 231 points (-110), Under 231 points (-110)
- Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -1 (-107)