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Nets vs. Heat Pick NBA – May 14th

Doc Rivers has more reason to be upset than just an apparent blown call late in last night’s thriller. His Clippers were uncharacteristically unpoised down the stretch and let an enormously pivotal Game Five slip from their grasp. The result is they now sit on the precipice of elimination, needing to win at home in Game Six to force a Game Seven in Oklahoma City this weekend.

As thrilling and memorable and well-played as the games in the Thunder/Clippers series have been, you can reverse all those adjectives for the Pacers and Wizards affair. Just when it seemed like Indy had finally figured it all out, they go home for a close out game and get absolutely humiliated. Even though I am 3-2 ATS in this series, like any other basketball fan, I’m throwing my hands up at this result – this series simply makes no sense. From one game to the next you have absolutely no idea what you are going to get from either team. The Wizards scored 63 points at home in a game and Marcin Gortat was benched in the fourth quarter. Last night, they went into Indy, scored 102 points, led by more than 20 most of the game and Gortat looked like Wilt Chamberlain… go figure.

Perhaps things will make a little more sense tonight as the two reigning conference champs looks to close things out on their home floor, each with a 3-1 series lead and heavy favorites tonight. So will order be restored in the NBA?? Let’s take a look at tonight’s free picks.

Today’s Free Pick:

Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat -7 (Total: 189)

I think Miami finishes Brooklyn off tonight, despite a furious effort from their aging veterans. Pierce and Garnett will go down swinging, but this Miami team is just too good. They had a chance in Game Four, and when that slipped away, so too did any chance of winning this series.

However, I’m not real wild about laying a full seven points. Miami has let Brooklyn hang around in three of the four games (they closed with a flurry to cover Game Two) and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this one remain a contest most of the night.

Instead, I’m taking the OVER 189. Three of the four games in the series have gone over that number comfortably, and I could see some points being scored late when the Nets try to push tempo and get into desperation mode; lots of quick shots and lots of potential foul shots to goose up the total.

I’d be very surprised if Brooklyn extends the series, but not surprised to see them hang tough.

Free Pick: Point TOTAL OVER 189