New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat Pick – NBA March 25, 2022

The New York Knicks are in Miami, and they aren’t there for the Miami Open on Friday night. The Knicks and Heat will square off at FTX Arena in an Eastern Conference matchup in Florida.

Going into this campaign, the Knicks and Heat were probably expected to be nearby each other. However, one team is at the top, while the other has failed to live up to lofty expectations in 2022.

The Heat are going into this one with a record of 47-26 and the lead in the East. They have a one-game advantage on the Milwaukee Bucks for top honors in the conference. It’s a crowded place in the East as we inch closer to April.

The Celtics, 76ers, Bucks, and Heat are just a game and a half within reach. If you’re looking for a clear contender coming out of the conference and going to the NBA Finals, that’s not happening. Parity is strong in the East, and it should make for a good playoff.

Meanwhile, the Knicks have been a disappointment after failing to follow up on last season’s success. The Knicks went 41-31 and finished fourth in the Eastern Conference. Heading into Friday, the Knicks are 31-42 and 11th.

They are fighting for a spot in the play-in tournament, but it’s looking highly unlikely with a five-game deficit behind the Atlanta Hawks. The Knicks provided hope to their fans a season ago. It’s back to headaches and frustration.

Everything looked so promising for the Knicks last year, including Julius Randle. However, he’s looked disinterested, and it is probably holding the team back. On Wednesday, Randle was absent for a 121-106 win over the Hornets.

Miami is coming off a horrid performance in a 118-104 loss to the Golden State Warriors at home two days back. A lot more was expected in that big spot.

Head below for our free Knicks vs. Heat prediction on March 25, 2022.

New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of MyBookie:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
NY Knicks +5.5 (-110) +195 Over 215.5 (-110)
Miami Heat -5.5 (-110) -235 Under 215.5 (-110)
Team Data NY Knicks Miami Heat
Overall Record 31-42 47-26
ATS Record 34-39-0 40-32-1
Away/Home Record 16-21 26-10
ATS Away/Home 20-17-0 18-18-0
Points Per Game 106.3 109.4
Points Against Per Game 106.9 105.1
Field Goal % 43.7 46.2
Three Point % 35.7 37.3

Knicks vs. Heat Prediction:

The Knicks hoped to improve their offense in the offseason by adding Kemba Walker to the roster. On paper, this deal looked like a good signing for the Knicks.

They needed some offensive help and added a guard coming off six straight years with north of 20 points per game. It made sense at the time, but this has ended up being a flop for the Knicks.

Walker hasn’t played since February 16 and struggling at the time with less than 10 points scored in 11 of 12 games. That included two scoreless outings for him. Certainly, this isn’t what the Knicks envisioned.

Overall, the Knicks are 27th with 106.3 points per game and a 43.7% field goal percentage. They are shooting just 74.7% from the free-throw line going into Miami.

The offense came to life versus the Hornets without Julius Randle, but that’s a weak defense that Charlotte is employing. They will face more resistance from the Heat in Miami tonight.

New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat Betting Trends:

  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games at Miami
  • 2-8 ATS in their previous ten games versus the Heat
  • 6-13 ATS in their previous 19 games on one-day rest
  • 0-6 overall in their previous six games at Miami
  • 2-10 overall in their previous 12 games versus the Eastern Conference
  • 5-0 ATS in their previous five games after a double-digit loss at home
  • 5-1 ATS in their previous six games versus a team with a losing record
  • 10-4-1 ATS in their previous 15 games after a loss
  • 8-3-1 ATS in their previous 12 games on one-day rest
  • 8-3 ATS in their previous 12 games on a Friday

The Knicks looks like a good spot for the Heat to get back on track. Their defense should have a physical performance versus a soft Knicks team in this one.

Miami is in the top-5 in defensive success, with 105.1 points against per game and a 44.5% field goal percentage. They’ve limited teams to a 34.1% three-point percentage from downtown.

At home this season, the Heat have conceded an impressive 104.7 points per game and a 44.8% field goal percentage. Coming off two losses and disarray with players arguing amongst themselves, the Knicks look like a good team to beat up on to get back on track.

RJ Barrett is coming off back-to-back big outings, but the Heat likely cool him off. I’m looking at a 112-101 win for the Heat to win and cover at home on Friday night.


Knicks vs. Heat Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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